Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Hotel Transylvania 3’ Checks In At First Place In A Tight Weekend
Real estate rules the Box Office this weekend, with Genndy Tartakovsky’s ‘Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation’ looking to tower over ‘Skyscraper’ in the U.S. The Sony-produced ‘HT3’, which stars the voices of Adam Sandler, Andy Samberg, and Selena Gomez (among many others), currently hosts 63% on the Tomatometer — by far the best of the franchise and better than ‘Ice Age 3: Dawn of the Dinosaurs’, which opened to $41.7m in 2009.
Similarly, ‘Kung Fu Panda 3’ grossed $41.3m in its first 3 days, so a $42m gross for ‘HT3’ isn’t unrealistic. This would make it the smallest opening of the trilogy (by just $500k, mind), but a strong start on an $80m budget nonetheless. Being the first summer opening of the franchise, this could see it fair better than the trilogy-best $473.2m global gross, made by ‘Hotel Transylvania 2’.
Falling just short is Dwayne Johnson’s ‘Skyscraper’, with tracking showing it’ll open its doors to a $35m gross, similar to his last film ‘Rampage’ ($35.8m). The $125m-budget action flick reunites The Rock with director Rawson Marshall Thurber, who directed hit comedy ‘Central Intelligence’ (which opened to $35.5m) in the summer of 2016. ‘Skyscraper’ also stars Neve Campbell as Sarah Sawyer, the wife of The Rock’s character, Will, as well as Chin Han and Pablo Schreiber.
‘Skyscraper’ opens across 56 foreign countries this weekend as it looks to take pole position internationally, furthering Dwayne Johnson’s overseas star-power in the process. But, its 51% on Rotten Tomatoes might just hinder its staying power in the U.S.
‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ may have its wings clipped this weekend as the 2 major wide releases should gross close to $80m between them. Peyton Reed’s MCU-sequel has seen its dailies almost mirror that of the first ‘Ant-Man’, even though it opened to almost $20m less. A large ‘First Phase’-like drop may be in play, but we at JUMPCUT are an optimistic bunch, and can see ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ buzzing close to $32.6m.
This weekend finally sees ‘Incredibles 2’ leapfrog ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’, even though the former has direct animated competition in ‘HT3’. ‘Incredibles 2’ should open around $18.5m — a similar drop to last weekend’s, while ‘JW:FK’ will pull in around $16m. Blumhouse-produced horror ‘The First Purge’ will endure a front-loaded nightmare, and could see a weekend drop above 60%. A $6.6m gross will see the film close in on a $60m gross worldwide, a number ‘Sicario: Day of the Soldado’ will pass by Saturday, with a weekend gross of $3.8m.
Closing in on ‘Sicario 2’ is sports-comedy ‘Uncle Drew’, playing for a $3.7m gross this weekend, while ‘Ocean’s 8’ looks to sneak in around $2.9m. We also see rapper-turned-director, Boots Riley’s star-studded ‘Sorry to Bother You’ open in wide release by expanding into over 800 cinemas. ‘Sorry to Bother You’, released by Annapurna Pictures, stars ‘Get Out’ and ‘Atlanta’s Lakeith Stanfield, alongside ‘Creed’ and ‘Thor: Ragnarok’s Tessa Thompson, as well as Omari Hardwick, Terry Crews, and Armie Hammer. The independent film looks to open around $2.6m, based on last summer’s comedy ‘The Big Sick’s per-cinema average in wide release.
In a tight race to the top of the Box Office, who do you think will prevail? How well will ‘Sorry to Bother You’ do in its wide release? Let us know your thoughts on Instagram and Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.