6 Months Later: A Look At Our 2018 Most Anticipated Films And How They Measured Up

Written by Tom Sheffield

Back in December we asked our team what their most anticipated films of 2018 were, and we compiled a list of our top 10. We are now half way through the year, and eight films that made our top ten have been released – but did they live up to our expectations? Click the film titles to be taken to our official verdicts!

The two films in our list we are still twiddling our thumbs waiting for at Martin Scorsese’s ‘The Irishman’, which has now been pushed back to 2019, and the return of the Parr family in ‘Incredibles 2’, which we only have a few more weeks to wait for!

We’ve also just had a fantastic week of trailers for upcoming films to be excited for, so be sure to check them out if you missed any!


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#10 – The Irishman

 

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#9 – A Wrinkle in Time

“With stunning visual effects and incredible costume, hair and make-up design; this film was a feast for the eyes”

 

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#8 – Deadpool 2

“There are problems abound that come with trying to exceed the expectations set by a great first outing, but I honestly feel ‘Deadpool 2′ has more re-watchability than the original because of its attempts to go bigger than the first.”

 

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#7 – Incredibles 2

 

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#6 – Ready Player One

“Ultimately, one of 2018’s most anticipated productions does not disappoint, nor purge Ernest Cline’s concept of its defining qualities. Instead, Sir Steven — God of euphoric adventure — deserves one thunderous high-five for letting us break free from the mundane and witness a magical journey too colossal for the real world.”

 

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#5 – Annihilation

“It’s a miraculous achievement in filmmaking across the board, and it deserves your attention. It’s on Netflix right now. Watch it, experience it, and prepare for it to take over your every thought for some time.”

 

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#4 – Solo: A Star Wars Story

“Is this a Star Wars film we needed in the timeline? Not really, but I’m glad we have it because Ron Howard just whetted my appetite for more of this sort of anthology film away from the ‘Episodes’. And on the basis of a certain cameo towards the end, the timeline just got a whole lot spicier!”

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#3 – Isle of Dogs

“‘Isle of Dogs’ stumbles occasionally when the dogs aren’t on screen, but this doesn’t diminish the film as an impressive achievement in animation. Most importantly, ‘Isle of Dogs’ is better than ‘Fantastic Mr. Fox’  in my opinion. Yes, I went there.”

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#2 – Black Panther

“‘Black Panther’ wasn’t just a Marvel superhero movie, it was a rattling of the cages type film. It spoke a lot of truth that we often sweep under the rug about the world we live in. It raises awareness and then offers the global society an olive branch. ‘Black Panther’ is well-crafted in every sense of the word. “

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#1 – Avengers: Infinity War

“‘Avengers Infinity War’ at its best is epic, emotional and very, very shocking. It has impressive set pieces and of course it’s very funny. The few faults it does have are going to be down purely to the viewer. A knowledge of all that has happened before is essential. This is not the film for newbies. “

 

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Weekend BO Results: Three Weekends In, And ‘Infinity War’ Becomes The Fifth Biggest Film Of All Time On Mother’s Day Weekend In The U.S.

Written by Dapo Olowu

Dread it, run from it, but the 5th spot will still arrive. That’s right, ‘Avengers: Infinity War’ has fought off competition to become not only the biggest Marvel movie of all time, but the 5th biggest film ever worldwide, with a current figure of $1.61bn. The gross, under $70m away from 4th spot (2015s ‘Jurassic World’), was bolstered by a combination of this weekend’s $62.1m domestic taking and a massive $200m opening in China (the second biggest opening over there, after ‘Fate of the Furious’ last year and exchange rate changes). This is all, remember, after just 3 weekends in release, making it the quickest film to ever reach $1.5bn (after also reaching $1bn in record time).  

Domestically, ‘Infinity War’ sits in 8th place, behind ‘The Last Jedi’ and ahead of ‘The Dark Knight’, on $547.8m. This weekend in the U.S. saw it (again) top the charts with a total of $62.1m – just a 46% drop from last weekend’s gross. An interesting insight into this number; only 3 weekends in and its already below ‘Black Panther’s 3rd weekend of $66.3m, a trend that’ll only continue as ‘Black Panther’s domestic over-performance begins to become truly clear. Still, with at least another $100m in the bank from the U.S. (and another $100m from China) to go, ‘Infinity War’ has a chance of nearing ‘Black Panther’s domestic total, and of course that coveted $2bn target.

In possibly the biggest disappointment of the weekend, Melissa McCarthy’s ‘Life of the Party’ opened to only $17.9m – her worst opening since ‘St. Vincent’ made $7.8m in its limited-to-wide release in 2015, and since ‘This is 40’ made $11.6m in its purely wide releasing opening weekend in 2012. The question now, is whether this marks a declining trend in Melissa McCarthy’s comedies, or if this was in fact just a poor release time. Mother’s Day aside, with ‘I Feel Pretty’ and ‘Overboard’ potentially filling the comedy void for many in the last few weekends, a poorly-rated Melissa McCarthy comedy perhaps wasn’t going to break the bank like expected. The hope now is that ‘Life of the Party’ is still breathing in coming weeks, and we should be optimistic, seeing how well the other comedies have held their ground.

With a per-cinema average just shy of $7,000, ‘Breaking In’ really smashed through our expectations, with a gross just $300k short of second place’s ‘Life of the Party’. This was Gabrielle Union’s biggest opening weekend since 2014’s ‘Think Like a Man Too’, which topped the charts with $29.2m. The $6m thriller also received an average B on CinemaScore. Universal will hope this doesn’t affect the film’s staying power in the coming weeks, especially with how skewed the audiences are (68% female & 73% over 25 years old), but with nearly $20m already in the bank, it shouldn’t take long for this film to break-even.

Next is ‘Overboard’, with an impressive 33% drop from last weekend. The film made 42% of its weekend gross on Sunday alone – an indication into just how much of a boost Mother’s Day was for the romantic comedy. Then, we have ‘A Quiet Place’ with (yet again) the top ten’s best drop, with only a 17% difference between this weekend’s and last weekend’s gross. Now virtually at $170m domestically, it stands as Paramount’s biggest film stateside since ‘Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation’ in 2015, and with at least $10m left in the tank, we’re crossing our fingers for Paramount to finally have their overdue resurgence.

Although the expected Mother’s Day boost for ‘I Feel Pretty’ didn’t materialise, the $3.8m grossed this weekend lands the film with a respectable domestic total of $44m (and a worldwide number at $53.9m) –  solid numbers once you forget the $32m production costs. While it struggles to minimises its losses, ‘Rampage’ can potentially see profits (albeit small) after this weekend’s 25% drop meant that it brought in another $3.5m. With the worldwide number at $398.2m (just $2m off its reported break-even figure), it seems as if The Rock can do no wrong in the Box Office (just don’t mentionBaywatch’).

Tully’ brought in $2.25m for 8th place, just above ‘Black Panther’ which is clawing for the $700m domestic figure. Its current total of $696.3m will surely hit the 700-club in the upcoming weeks, although its DVD & Blu-ray release on today may seriously scupper this. Still, with 13 consecutive weeks in the top 10, 1989’s ‘Batman’ is the only other superhero movie to match the achievement – a brilliant way to conclude ‘Black Panther’s Box Office run, as it inevitably leaves the top 10 next week. Rounding off the list, is a surprise with limited release ‘RBG’, a documentary about Supreme Court Justice, Ruth Bader Ginsburg, holding off ‘A Wrinkle in Time’s wide re-release for 10th spot.

Join us in a few days as we predict the upcoming weekend’s Box Office results. With ‘Show Dogs’, ‘Book Club’, and of course ‘Deadpool 2’ entering the fray, what will happen to ‘Infinity War’ and co? Let us know your thoughts on Twitter and Instagram – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week Rank Film Weekend Gross Total U.S. Gross Weekend drop Jumpcut’s prediction Difference Week number
1 1 Avengers: Infinity War $62.1m $548.1m -45.9% $58.5m $3.6m 3
2 Life of the Party $17.9m $17.9m $22m $4.1m 1
3 Breaking In $17.6m $17.6m $15.6m $2m 1
4 2 Overboard $9.9m $29.4m -32.9% $6.5m $3.4m 2
5 3 A Quiet Place $6.5m $169.6m -16.8% $5.4m $1.1m 6
6 4 I Feel Pretty $3.8m $44m -24.7% $2.3m $1.5m 4
7 5 Rampage $3.5m $89.8m -25.3% $2.8m $0.7m 5
8 6 Tully $2.2m $7m -31.5% $1.9m $0.3m 2
9 7 Black Panther $2.1m $696.3m -36.2% $2.1m $0m 13
10 15 RBG $1.2m $2m +105.9% 2

Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Life Of The Party’ & ‘Breaking In’ Welcome Strong Weekend For Newcomers as ‘Infinity War’ Makes It 3 In A Row

Written by Dapo Olowu

Two new wide releases, ‘Life of the Party’ and ‘Breaking In’, enter the frame this weekend, looking comfortable to snatch the podium spots below ‘Infinity War’. Meanwhile, the older releases continue to battle for a top ten finish. What will the newbies make, and how will the other films fare this weekend?

So, what’s opening?

Melissa McCarthy comedies can typically fall into two categories, based on their critical reception. First, you have the well-received, fan-loved ‘Bridesmaids’, ‘Spy’, and ‘The Heat’, with the first two in particular viewed as some of the best comedies released in the past decade. You’re then faced with the second group, one that involves ‘Tammy’, ‘The Boss’, and ‘Identity Thief’ – all of which are under 25% on Rotten Tomatoes. These inconsistencies only stretch as far as reviews, however, as her movies are (almost) always guaranteed money-makers. ‘Tammy’, her lowest opening out of the 6 (and another directed by husband Ben Falcone), brought in a solid $21.6m in its first 3 days back in the summer of 2014, meaning that, apart from ‘St. Vincent’ and ‘This Is 40’, Melissa McCarthy movies consistently hit the $20m opening figure – an underrated Box Office achievement.

With ‘Life of the Party’, Melissa McCarthy goes back to college, and like another University-focused comedy in 2016 (‘Neighbors 2’), we’re seeing this opening with a little over $20m. ‘Neighbors 2’ similarly opened 2 weeks after another MCU behemoth, ‘Civil War’, and was able to offset its audience-limiting R-rating (and direct competition withThe Nice Guys’) by being the sequel to a film that made $150m in the U.S. a couple of years before. ‘Life of the Party’, however, isn’t a sequel, but it only has a PG-13 rating and is at the advantage of opening after competition like ‘Overboard’ and ‘I Feel Pretty’. Adding the fact that Melissa McCarthy is basically immune to bad reviews (apart fromGhostbusters’), I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw an opening of $22m.

We also have ‘Breaking In’ entering cinemas across the States this weekend, and honestly these types of thrillers are both a joy and a curse to predict. It’s the lack of specific-ness surrounding the thriller genre that gets me – will it be another ‘Traffik’, or a ‘Get Out’? The film, starring Gabrielle Union and opening in around 2,600 cinemas, does exactly what it says on the tin, and features Union battling convicts as they try to force their way into her deceased father’s mansion. After looking at a few similar films with female leads (‘Acrimony’, ‘Proud Mary’, ‘Kidnap’, ‘Strangers: Prey at Night’), we saw that they all a) open in around 2,500 cinemas and b) have a per-cinema average opening of between $4,000 and $8,000. So, with this, ‘Breaking In’ should open to between $15m and $16m.

What else is on?

Of course, we can’t forget ‘Infinity War’, which will secure another 1st place finish this weekend with an estimated $58.5m gross. The predicted 49% drop comes from the fact that there’s now no U.S. Thursday preview number from the first weekend to contend with, giving us a smaller figure than the 55.5% we saw last weekend. The big news here, however, is that the film is finally opening in China, and has potential to absolutely demolish the records that stand over there. Its already earned $9.2m from midnight screenings on Thursday – the second biggest figure ever, behind the $9.8m made by ‘Fate of the Furious’ last year; it will even hope to break ‘F8’s record as the biggest Hollywood film in China ever, by pulling in over $392m.

Overboard’s competition from ‘Life of the Party’ almost mirrors ‘How to Be a Latin Lover’s 58% fall in its 2nd weekend last year, after it had to contend with ‘Guardians of the Galaxy 2’ – so a similar drop is in play. Next is ‘A Quiet Place’, which is sitting just behind ‘Infinity War’ and ‘Black Panther’ in the U.S. domestic charts this year, and should thus drop around 30% again this weekend for a total domestic gross nearing $170m. This weekend will also be an impressive one for ‘Rampage’, closing in on the $90m domestic mark with a $2.8m gross. This estimated 40% fall will be similar to its drop last weekend. Luckily, it’s made its money before ‘Deadpool 2’ and ‘Solo’ open in the upcoming weeks.

I Feel Pretty’ has been defying the odds every weekend with impressive drops, but surely, surely, this is the weekend where direct competitor ‘Life of the Party’ gives Amy Schumer’s comedy a run for its money, and leads to a 55% fall from last weekend. With a break-even point between $70m and $90m, there’s fear that ‘I Feel Pretty’ is coming to an ugly Box Office end. The same can’t be said for ‘Black Panther’ which, in the week where it became available for digital download, looks to become the only (alongside 1989s ‘Batman’) superhero film to ever have 13 consecutive weeks in the top 10; it should see a 3-day gross of just over $2m, putting it firmly in 8th place. Finally, we have ‘Tully’ and ‘Truth or Dare’ rounding off the top 10 with $1.9m and $1.2m respectively.

What are your estimates? Where will ‘Life of the Party’ land? How impressed have you been with ‘A Quiet Place’s numbers? Let us know on Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week’s Rank Film US Gross so far Budget Jumpcut’s prediction Weekend drop Week no. BoxOfficeMojo’s prediction Deadline’s Prediction Variety’s Prediction
1 1 Avengers: Infinity War $479.1m $300m+ $58.5m -49% 3 $62m $60m-$63m $50m-$60m
2 Life of the Party $30m $22m 1 $21m $18m-$21m $18m-$21m
3 Breaking In $15.6m 1 $18m $14m-$17m $14m-$17m
4 2 Overboard $18.4m $12m $6.5m -56% 2 $9m
5 3 A Quiet Place $162.4m $17m $5.4m -30% 6 $4.8m
6 5 Rampage $86m $120m $2.8m -40% 5 $2.5m
7 4 I Feel Pretty $39.7m $32m $2.3m -55% 4 $2.9m
8 7 Black Panther $694m $200m $2.1m -35% 13 $2.1m
9 6 Tully $4.4m $1.9m -42% 2 $1.8m
10 7 Truth or Dare $38.7m $2.5m $1.2m -37% 5

Weekend BO Results: ‘Infinity War’ Leads The Way In Poor Box Office Weekend For New Openers

Written by Dapo Olowu

In just 11 days, ‘Infinity War’ became the quickest film to ever reach $1bn worldwide, a number bolstered by a domestic total of $453.1m (already the 15th biggest of all time) and made all the more impressive by it not opening in China until this Friday. If it wasn’t clear before, Disney (and the MCU) is a Box Office powerhouse, so it’s no surprise that this ‘must-see’ blockbuster is looking to break every record in its path.

However, one record it has missed out on this weekend was the biggest second weekend of all time. ‘The Force Awakens’ still stands strong with $149.2m, but ‘Infinity War’ only brought in a total of $114.8m, easing into second spot in the rankings (ahead ofBlack Panther’). A drop of 55.5% not only fell right in line with our prediction, but also alongside other ‘third-in-trilogy’ MCU movies (‘Iron Man 3’ – 58.4%, ‘Captain America: Civil War’ – 59.5%, and ‘Thor: Ragnarok’ – 53.5%). It may be a little premature to estimate ‘Infinity War’s final domestic gross in just its sophomore weekend, but by looking at the aforementioned films’ domestic total/opening weekend multipliers, we’d get the following numbers:

  • If ‘Infinity War’ performed like ‘Iron Man 3’: Domestic Total of $605.6m (2.35x multiplier).
  • If ‘Infinity War’ performed like ‘Civil War’: Domestic Total of $587.6m (2.28x multiplier).
  • If ‘Infinity War’ performed like ‘Thor: Ragnarok’: Domestic Total of $662.3m (2.57x multiplier).

With ‘Infinity War’ looking to be the first summer film to ever hit $2bn, it’ll need to perform similarly to ‘Ragnarok’, or even better, and look to reach closer to the $700m figure like ‘Black Panther’. A big ask, even for a film like ‘Infinity War’, with competition such as ‘Deadpool 2’ and ‘Solo’ coming later this month.

Now, onto the other films this weekend — sailing steadily in second place was Eugenio Derbez’s ‘Overboard’, pulling in $14.7m. Another strong opening for Derbez and Pantelion Films who, after ‘Instructions Not Included’s $7.9m opening (from 350 cinemas), and ‘How To Be A Latin Lover’s $12.2m opening last year, are starting to master the art of getting the most of out of target audiences in under 2,000 cinemas. This must be a sigh of relief for Anna Faris, who would have to look all the way back to 2012 for the last time she had a non-animated opening this big (2012’s ‘The Dictator’ with $17.4m). ‘Overboard’ can also be proud of its relatively small $12m budget, which should hopefully ensure a bit of profit.

Next is ‘A Quiet Place’, which posted a remarkable drop of just 29.5% — the lowest in the top 10 this weekend. The post-‘Infinity War’ stabilisation of the Box Office meant that ‘A Quiet Place’ brought in $7.8m from Friday to Sunday, pushing its worldwide gross to $255.5m, just $300k over ‘Get Out’ and into the 11th spot in the all-time biggest horror movies list (just $1m under 2014’s ‘Annabelle’ for 10th). Similarly, ‘I Feel Pretty’ held steady by grossing $5.1m (a 38% drop) and will now be hoping to cross the $40m domestic mark during the week. What’s impressive here, is how well it held up against competition from ‘Overboard’, and even though its reviews are less than spectacular, the power of original content seems to be boosting its word-of-mouth reviews.

Another impressive performance this week came from The Rock’s ‘Rampage’, dropping just 36% to take 5th place. Although its chances of making $100m domestically are dead and buried, Warner Bros will be pleased that a $90m+ total is nearly guaranteed, and its $378.8m worldwide may at least help it break-even (although the $140m spent on printing & advertisements may come back to bite its tail).

New release, ‘Tully’, was one of the 2 new releases that failed to impress in the Box Office this weekend (‘Bad Samaritan’ didn’t even make the top 10). The $3.3m gross was a disappointment, regardless of the budget, and tore a hole in our $4.5m predictions last week. To put this into context, ‘Black Panther’ also grossed $3.3m, but in its 12th week of release. In fact, ‘Black Panther’ remaining in the top 10 of the Box Office for 12 consecutive weekends has only been bettered by a handful of films in the last decade: ‘La La Land’, ‘Zootopia’, ‘Frozen’, and ‘Avatar’.

Truth or Dare’ continued this weekend’s trend of lower-than-expected drops by posting a fall of only 42%, allowing it to creep ever-so-quietly towards the $40m mark where its expected to finish. ‘Super Troopers 2’ brought in $1.9m, with a per-cinema-average gross of just $884 — a sure indication that theatres will begin to remove the film from its screens ASAP. Finally, ‘Blockers’ edged out ‘Bad Samaritan’ for the 10th spot, earning $1.8m during the weekend.

So, where do you think ‘Infinity War’ will finish? Have you ever been impressed by a Box Office performance like ‘Black Panther’s before? Shocked that ‘I Feel Pretty’ is still in the top 5, after three weekends? Let us know your thoughts on Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

 

Rank Last Week Rank Film Weekend Gross Total U.S. Gross Weekend drop Jumpcut’s prediction Difference Week number
1 1 Avengers: Infinity War $114.8m $453.1m -55.5% $116m $1.2m 2
2 Overboard $14.7m $14.7m $14m $0.7m 1
3 2 A Quiet Place $160.1m $7.8m -29.5% $6.6m $1.2m 5
4 3 I Feel Pretty $5.1m $37.9m -38.2% $4.1m $1m 3
5 4 Rampage $4.6m $84.8m -35.6% $3.6m $1m 4
6 Tully $3.3m $3.3m $4.5m $1.2m 1
7 5 Black Panther $3.3m $693.2m -31.3% $3.3m $0m 12
8 7 Truth or Dare $1.9m $38.2m -42.2% $1.3m $0.6m 4
9 6 Super Troopers 2 $1.9m $25.5m -49.8% $1.3m $0.6m 3
10 8 Blockers $1.8m $56.2m -41.1% 5

 

Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Infinity War’ Continues To Conquer While New Openers Battle For A Top 10 Finish

Written by Dapo Olowu

While ‘Infinity War’ gets ready to enjoy another weekend at the top of the table, three new openers (‘Overboard’, ‘Bad Samaritan’, and ‘Tully’) look to establish themselves in a Box Office weekend that’s as close as ever. The question is, what will drop out of the top ten?

So, what’s opening this weekend?

Firstly, we have ‘Overboard’ starring Anna Faris and Eugenio Derbez, in a gender-swapped remake of the 1987 cult-classic, which featured couple Kurt Russell and Goldie Hawn. What’s interesting here, is its similarities to 2017’s ‘How to Be a Latin Lover’: the producers, production company, lead actor, release date, genre, age-rating, and even the reviews are mirroring the comedy that opened to $12.2m last year. ‘Overboard’ is hoping to emulate Latin Lover’s success with the Hispanic community, and opening in 500 more cinemas could give it that needed boost in the Box Office totals. Diminishing returns from the extra seats may set in, but we predict a solid $14m start nonetheless.

Opening in around 1,350 cinemas is Charlize Theron’s ‘Tully’, a difficult one to predict, as we’d usually expect such a highly rated comedy-drama to have a limited (under 600 cinemas) release at first. From this, we’ve done a bit more maths than we’d have wanted and predicted an opening of around $4.5m, based mainly on the per-cinema averages of similar films, like 2017’s ‘Lady Bird’. Its 90% on Rotten Tomatoes, as well as director Jason Reitman’s previous successes (‘Juno’, ‘Up in the Air’), gives us reason to be optimistic — but this is a poor opening regardless.

Finally, ‘Bad Samaritan’ looks to be the lowest earner from the newbies this weekend, even though it’s the only new release entering at least 2,000 cinemas. ‘Bad Samaritan’ doesn’t even have the luxury of being potential counter-programming to ‘Infinity War’, as direct competitor ‘A Quiet Place’ continues to hold strong in week 5 of its release. We’re using last year’s ‘A Cure for Wellness’s $4.4m opening as a measure: both had middling reviews, both opened during a competitor’s 5th week (‘Split’ had been out for over a month by then), and both had no true star power in the lead roles. ‘Bad Samaritan’, however, also has the looming figure of ‘Infinity War’ clouding its horizon, so we estimate around a gross around $3m.

What else is on?

Infinity War’ will comfortably top the charts by a good $100m+ margin in its second weekend, but will fall short of ‘The Force Awakens’ record of $149.2m, with an estimated $116m (a 55% drop). This is not an issue, as ‘Infinity War’ aims to reach $1bn worldwide by Sunday (without China) and could be the quickest to do this (beating ‘The Force Awakens’ record of 12 days). Even if somehow it doesn’t manage this, it’ll always have the record of out-grossing the entirety of ‘Justice League’ in 3.5 days — a lovely plaque to have on the shelf.

Next, we have ‘A Quiet Place’, which has continued to perform strongly going into its 5th weekend of release. It’ll hope to reach the coveted quarter-of-a-billion dollars mark worldwide by the end of the weekend, with still enough gas in the tank to potentially land in the $270m region. Taking into account ‘Split’s 41% average weekend drop (in wide release) and ‘A Quiet Place’s 39.4% average so far, a 40% fall is a safe bet.

After the release of ‘Overboard’, it isn’t absurd to wonder if this would have a large effect on ‘I Feel Pretty’, which suffers from poorer reviews than the comedy starring Anna Faris. However, being available to watch in 1,500 more cinemas gives it a locational advantage, which should lead to just a 50% drop this week. A similar fall is in store for ‘Rampage’, which could bounce back from the major hit it took during ‘Infinity War’s opening last week.

Black Panther’s resurgence in the wake of ‘Infinity War’ means its sights are firmly on the $700m domestic goal, a feat only two films (‘The Force Awakens’, and ‘Avatar’) have ever achieved. A 30% drop is expected this week as normal service resumes, but I won’t be surprised if it ends in a much lower drop, with filmgoers continuing their MCU double-bills.

The horror ‘Truth or Dare’ has been consistent with its 58% weekend drops, so there’s little reason to deviate from the average here, and it should pull in around $1.3m going into its 4th weekend. Finally, ‘Super Troopers 2’ shouldn’t plunge to the 75%+ depths that it did last weekend, but it won’t be impressing anybody with a $1.3m haul to round off the top 10.

What do you think ‘Infinity War’ will make in its 2nd weekend? Will the new releases impress, or will the older films prevail? Let us know on Twitter – we’re @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week’s Rank Film US Gross so far Budget Jumpcut’s prediction Weekend drop Week no. BoxOfficeMojo’s prediction Deadline’s Prediction Variety’s Prediction
1 1 Avengers: Infinity War $322.8m $300m+ $116m -55% 2 $116m $100m-$125m $100m-$130m
2 Overboard $15m $14m 1 $15.2m ~$12.2m $10m-$12m
3 2 A Quiet Place $151.4m $17m $6.6m -40% 5 $6.8m
4 Tully $4.5m $4.1m $3m-$4m $4m
5 3 I Feel Pretty $32.1m $32m $4.1m -50% 3 $4.3m
6 4 Rampage $3.6m -52% 4 $4m
7 5 Black Panther $689.6m $200m $3.3m -30% 12 $3.3m
8 Bad Samaritan $3m $2m $2m
9 7 Truth or Dare $36.2m $3.5m $1.3m -59% 4
10 6 Super Troopers 2 $23.3m $13.5m* $1.3m -66% 3 $1.8m

*I wrongly suggested ‘Super Troopers 2’s budget to be $4.4m in previous posts. Oops.

Weekend BO Results: ‘Infinity War’ Conquers The Box Office As Opening Records Are Destroyed

Written by Dapo Olowu

Just weeks after ‘Black Panther’ broke domestic and worldwide Box Office records, ‘Avengers: Infinity War’ flexes its own financial muscles to absolutely annihilate the opening weekend record gross in the United States, and demolish any fears of a superhero fatigue.

A 3-day haul of $257.7m smashes ‘The Force Awakens’ record by $10m and has set the film up to be one of the biggest of all time. Not only has ‘Infinity War’ reclaimed the opening weekend record for the MCU (‘The Avengersheld it from 2012 to 2015 with $207.4m), but it also maintains Disney’s recent Box Office dominance; as 9 out of the 10 biggest domestic openings of all time are currently all Disney movies.

With a worldwide opening weekend of $640.5m, ‘Infinity War’ cruised to the title of biggest worldwide opening of all time, around $100m over the $541.9m ‘Fate of the Furious’ made last year. All this, mind you, without ‘Iinfinity War’ opening in China (the 2nd-biggest market in the world) and Russia. While ‘F8′ can still boast about having the biggest non-US opening ($443.2m vs. IW’s $382.8m), ‘Infinity War’ will now be looking at the bigger picture: hitting the billions.

As expected, ‘A Quiet Place’ came in at number 2 with a very respectable gross of $11m – a drop of just 47%, a fantastic number considering the circumstances. What this also means, is that this was the biggest difference ever between the top 2 films in the Box Office during one weekend, at $246.7m. As the records keep trickling in, ‘A Quiet Place’ will surely be pleased that it’s now bigger than horror-hit ‘Split’ in the U.S. ($148.5m vs. $138.3m), and is now just $30m away from ‘Get Out’s domestic (and $20m from its worldwide) gross.

Next on the list was Amy Schumer’s ‘I Feel Pretty’, and similarly to ‘A Quiet Place’, this suffered an impressive drop of under 50%, a welcome surprise for the comedy that’s now just $2m short of matching its budget in the Box Office. It should be looking to make another $15-20m before it’s run is done, a nice little return on a frankly bloated production cost.

The first major calamity at the hands of ‘Infinity War’ was of course ‘Rampage’, the action-adventure flick that not even Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson could save this weekend. A 64% drop was always coming, making hopes of a $100m domestic return a distant dream, as well as the potential for $400m worldwide to break-even. Regardless, having $335m in the bank is a testament to a) The Rock’s pulling power, and b) the public’s willingness to watch giant monkeys causing havoc in urban cities.

Now we come to ‘Black Panther’, which I (rightly) predicted would see a boost from IW, but also (wrongly) predicted would actually increase from last weekend’s gross. It brought in a mighty $4.7m (in its 11th weekend!), only dropping 4%, which is a fantastic achievement. Although, I can’t be sure if Disney did embrace the ‘Disney double’ and offered discounts, but I’m sure many cinema-goers took it upon themselves to watch T’Challa and the rest before seeing ‘Infinity War’. Now officially bigger than ‘The Last Jedi’, ‘Black Panther’ will surely aim to beat ‘Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt.2’ for no. 7 on the all-time charts.

Much like last week, ‘Super Troopers 2’ surprised us all, but this time with the biggest weekend drop of the top 10, falling 75% and posting just $3.7m. The front-loaded comedy dropped like a stone this week, a bigger fall than ‘Truth or Dare’, that stayed consistent during its 3rd weekend with another 58% drop. It looks like ‘Truth or Dare’ will make another $5m max to reach a $40m domestic total, a likely profit from just a $3.5m budget.

Blockers’ posted its biggest drop yet, with just under 57%, making $3m in a weekend that is proving fruitful for comedies. The less audience crossover the better, it seems, as ‘Ready Player One’ suffered a heavy 65% loss in gross compared to last weekend. With $130.8m from the U.S. and $545m worldwide, ‘Ready Player One’ will be jumping for joy at the fact it opened a full month before ‘Infinity War’, meaning it made its money (and then some) before any meaningful competition came into play. Finally, it was ‘Traffik’, not ‘Isle of Dogs’ that snatched 10th place with $1.6m (just $200k over 11th).

Next week we’re back at the races with 3 new wide releases: ‘Bad Samaritan’, ‘Overboard’, and ‘Tully’. Who’ll fall out of the top 10, who’ll remain, and how much will ‘Infinity War’ make in its 2nd weekend? Let us know your thoughts, we’re on Twitter at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week Rank Film Weekend Gross Total U.S. Gross Weekend drop Jumpcut’s prediction Difference Week number
1 Avengers: Infinity War $257.7m $257.7m $240m $17.7m 1
2 1 A Quiet Place $11m $148.5m -47.4% $11.7m $0.7m 4
3 3 I Feel Pretty $8.2m $29.6m -49% $7.5m $0.7m 2
4 4 Rampage $7.2m $78m -64.1% $8.2m $1m 3
5 8 Black Panther $4.7m $688.4m -4% $5.6m $0.9m 11
6 4 Super Troopers 2 $3.7m $22.2m -75.4% $5.7m $2m 2
7 5 Truth or Dare $3.3m $35.4m -58.1% $3.2m $0.1m 3
8 7 Blockers $3m $53.2m -56.5% $3.4m $0.4m 4
9 6 Ready Player One $2.6m $130.8m -65.4% $3.2m $0.6m 5
10 9 Traffik $1.7m $6.8m -58% 2

Weekend BO Prediction: Forget Infinity Stones – Thanos Aims For The Opening Record

Written by Dapo Olowu

What this weekend lacks in new releases, it more than makes up for in pure spectacle. ‘Avengers: Infinity War’, the culmination of a decade’s-worth of MCU films, opens in the U.S. this Friday, leaving the rest of the Box Office in its wake. The big question is, of course, what records will this break?

So, what’s opening this weekend?

Opening in almost 4,500 cinemas in the U.S. (nearly a record in itself), the Russo brothers flick is looking to break all sorts of records, both in the States and abroad. From Vietnam and India, to Australia and America, it seems as if ‘Infinity War’ is breathing down the neck of various opening weekend records across the globe. Just a couple of weeks ago, its U.S. pre-sales (according to Fandango) were already outpacing the last 7 MCU films combined. Here’s a reminder of the records it may actually achieve this weekend:

  • Sixth film to make over $200m in its opening weekend (after ‘The Force Awakens’, ‘The Last Jedi’, ‘Jurassic World’, ‘The Avengers’, and ‘Black Panther’)
  • Biggest MCU opening (beating ‘The Avengers’ $207.4m in 2012)
  • Biggest pre-summer opening (beating ‘Black Panther’s $202m in 2018)
  • Biggest opening of 2018 so far (beating ‘Black Panther’s $202m in 2018)
  • Biggest April opening (beating ‘Furious 7’s $147.2m in 2015)
  • Biggest Spring opening (beating ‘Beauty and the Beast’s $174.8m in 2017)
  • Biggest worldwide opening (beating ‘Fate of the Furious’ $541.9m in 2017)

What ‘Infinity War’ is really aiming for, is the final jewel in the gauntlet: the domestic opening record. It’s currently held by the biggest film in the U.S. of all time, ‘The Force Awakens’, at $248m, but Marvel will hope to take the crown from their Disney-counterparts over at LucasFilm. We at Jumpcut think it’ll be a tight race, but ‘Infinity War’ may just fall short and reach $240m. With some sites predicting a high of $275m, however, nobody can say for definite where this film will land.

What else is on?

After last week’s close encounter, ‘A Quiet Place’ will put more distance between itself and ‘Rampage’ this weekend. The counter-programming element to ‘AQP’ sets it apart from the rest of the pack, meaning that it won’t drop as much this week as the others will. But, the same can’t be said for ‘Rampage’, which is looking like the first casualty of ‘Infinity War’s introduction. We’re expecting to see close to a 60% drop, as Thanos takes no prisoners in his quest for top spot.

For ‘I Feel Pretty’, which opened to a decent $16m last week, we’re comparing it to ‘Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2’, which dropped by around 60% in its 3rd week in 2015 – after the release of ‘Age of Ultron’ that is. There are multiple differences between the 2 films, but around $7.5m (thus a similar 53% drop) is probable.

The biggest surprise of last weekend, ‘Super Troopers 2’, isn’t looking to replicate the astonishing achievements of its opening. Its daily grosses haven’t been encouraging; its heavy 4/20 Friday promotion and fan-base popularity imply a front-loaded box office run, a point bolstered by the fact that 52% of its opening weekend gross was made on Friday (including Thursday previews). So, we’re predicting a drop between 60-65%, fairing slightly worse than another cult sequel, ‘Harold and Kumar Escape from Guantanamo Bay’ (2008).

Now, here’s a strange one to predict: ‘Black Panther’. Back in 2012 when ‘The Avengers’ was released, we saw quite a large consolation boost to Disney’s flop, ‘John Carter’ at the same time. As it turns out, many cinemas across the U.S. played a Disney-double bill, allowing viewers to watch both at a discount. A similar scenario may play out this weekend with ‘Infinity War’, and we’ve already seen ‘Black Panther’s latest Tuesday and Wednesday grosses improve upon last week’s totals. It can go either way, but we’re thinking it could maybe surprise the rest and get a good boost from ‘Infinity War’. Maybe.

Truth or Dare’ will continue its steep drop by pulling in just over $3m this weekend, as its been unable to establish itself in an already crowded market after an $18.7m opening. Once ‘Ready Player One’ was surprisingly hit hard by ‘Rampage’ a couple of weeks back, I suspect ‘Infinity War’ to turn the screw, with ‘Ready Player One’ pulling in a similar amount to ‘Truth or Dare’. ‘Blockers’ may be insulated, though, and leave this weekend with a decent 50% drop. Finally, its ‘Isle of Dogs’ that rounds off the top 10 again, closely battling ‘Traffik’, but only just prevailing with a $2.1m gross.

What do you think? Will Infinity War break the box office opening record in the US? Will Black Panther get a IW boost? Let us know on Twitter at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week’s Rank Film US Gross so far Budget Jumpcut’s prediction Weekend drop Week no. BoxOfficeMojo’s prediction
1 Avengers: Infinity War $300m+ $240m 1 $230m
2 1 A Quiet Place $136.3m $17m $11.7m -44% 4 $10.2m
3 2 Rampage $70m $120m $8.2m -59% 3 $9m
4 3 I Feel Pretty $20.3m $32m $7.5m -53% 2 $8.9m
5 4 Super Troopers 2 $17.9m $4.4m $5.7m -62.5% 2 $5.9m
6 8 Black Panther $683.1m $200m $5.6m +15% 11 $2.9m
7 7 Blockers $49.9m $21m $3.4m -50% 4 $3.4m
8 5 Truth or Dare $31.8m $3.5m $3.2m -59% 3 $3.7m
9 6 Ready Player One $127.9m $175m $3.2m -57% 5 $3.4m
10 9 Isle of Dogs $4.9m $2m -42% 2 $1.7m

Weekend BO Results: ‘Super Troopers 2’ Steals The Show As ‘A Quiet Place’ Sneaks Back To #1

Written by Dapo Olowu

What do you get when you make an R-rated sequel to a 2002 cult classic, that made under $20m domestically, and opened in only 2,000 cinemas? Well, you get a film making a ground-breaking $15.2m in 3 days, absolutely smashing pre-release estimates (including ours).

Yes, ‘Super Troopers 2’, which came in at number 4 in the Box Office charts this weekend, smashed the $5m-$6m 3-day prediction in its first official night, with $7.95m in the bank on Friday. I can’t stress enough how well this film has done; with 1,400 cinemas less than ‘Zoolander 2’ (and with an R-rating), ‘Super Troopers 2’ still made $1m more in its opening weekend (and is just $3.2m short of the entire domestic total of the first ‘Super Troopers’ film in 2002). Incredible.

Jumping to the top of the leaderboard now, it was ‘A Quiet Place’, starring John Krasinski and Emily Blunt, that crept back into first place with $20.9m. It fought off tough competition with ‘Rampage’, with the two just $800k apart in this weekend’s results. The burgeoning rivalry ends, however, when comparing domestic totals: as ‘A Quiet Place’ is now the 2nd biggest film of the year in the U.S., with $131.3m, it’s sitting pretty worldwide at $206m, with ‘Get Out’ ($255m) and ‘Split’ ($278.5m) firmly in its sights. This is a much-needed win for Paramount Studios, who haven’t seen a film hit these domestic heights since ‘Star Trek: Beyond’ made $158.8m back in 2016.

Let’s not take anything away from ‘Rampage’, though. With just a 44% drop this weekend (better than the 2nd weekend fall of ‘Tarzan’, a summer movie and all), it’s succeeding in its attempt to make as much money as possible before the juggernaut that is ‘Infinity War’ drops in a few days. This is the case internationally too, as it topped non-US markets with a solid $57m from 61 countries. Worldwide, its total of $283.3m (including $65.6m in the US, and $56m in China) is a brilliant return on its $120m investment so far, and it should break-even if it makes around $100m more.

I Feel Pretty’ came in 3rd with a little over $16m. Although it’s Amy Schumer’s worst opening yet (continuing a discouraging downwards trend), we need to remember that a $16m opening from a $32m budget isn’t the worst start in the world. It faired well with its target audience too, (under-18s gave it an A+ on Cinemascore), hopefully indicating a decent Box Office run to come. Another female-focused movie, ‘Truth or Dare’, performed as predicted and dropped by around 60% in its 2nd weekend. The frontloaded-horror is performing similarly to other teen-oriented scares like ‘Unfriended’ and ‘Happy Death Day’, and will probably finish with a domestic total of around $38m-$41m.

Two films that held up surprisingly well this weekend were ‘Ready Player One’ and ‘Blockers’, with their smallest weekend drops to date (35.6% and 36.5%) showing that drops in cinema counts aren’t as impactful as first imagined. The same can be said for ‘Black Panther’, whose remarkable 15% drop this week leaves it with a strong chance to remain in the Box Office’s top 10 when ‘Infinity War’ comes out. The last time 2 films of the same franchise were in the top ten? Ten years ago. The films? ‘Iron Man’ and ‘The Incredible Hulk’. The power of the MCU, eh?

Finally, ‘Traffik’ impressed in only 1,000 cinemas with a respectable $3.9m opening, and ‘Isle of Dogs’ dropped by just 37% to post a 3-day cume of $3.5m. The big question now is, how will all of these fair when ‘The Avengers: Infinity War’ hits American cinemas on Friday? I’ll be back before the weekend with my predictions, but feel free to let us know yours on Twitter at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week Rank Film Weekend Gross Total U.S. Gross Weekend drop Jumpcut’s prediction Difference Week number
1 2 A Quiet Place $20.9m $131.3m -36.6% $22.4m $1.5m 3
2 1 Rampage $20.1m $65.7m -43.8% $21.1m $1m 2
3 I Feel Pretty $16m $16m $13.5m $2.5m 1
4 Super Troopers 2 $15.2m $15.2m $5m $10.2m 1
5 3 Truth or Dare $7.8m $30.3m -58.3% $7.1m $0.7m 2
6 4 Ready Player One $7.4m $126.1m -35.6% $5.8m $1.6m 4
7 5 Blockers $6.8m $48.1m -36.5% $5.1m $1.7m 3
8 6 Black Panther $4.9m $681.4m -14.6% $3.9m $1m 10
9 Traffik $3.9m $3.9m $2.7m $1.2m 1
10 7 Isle of Dogs $3.5m $24.4m -36.8% $2.5m $1m 5

JUMPCUT’s Top 5: Marvel Cinematic Universe

With ‘Avengers: Infinity War’ practically within touching distance, we asked our team to vote on their favourite films in the Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU). We’d like to make it clear that this list doesn’t reflect any of the team’s personal lists, but is in fact based on the results of a voting system we used. The team would love to discuss their favourite MCU films, so feel free to join in the discussion on Twitter – @JUMPCUT_ONLINE 

Our journey to ‘Infinity War’ started 10 years ago with ‘Iron Man’ as we watched Tony Stark create a suit of metal whilst being held hostage in a cave. Since then we’ve been introduced to a whole range of different heroes, we watched a skinny kid from Brooklyn become Captain America (thanks to a little super soldier serum), a dramatic and never ending sibling rivalry between Norse Gods, a walking, talking stick sacrificing his life for a bunch of criminals he’s known 5 minutes and making everyone cry, only for his son to then make everyone go ‘awwww’, and a King running round in a cat suit to protect his country.

Before we announce our Top 5, we also asked our team to tell us their least favourite film from this iconic universe. The team’s overall pick may not come as too much of a surprise, but there are a couple members of our team who had this film in their personal top 5 lists and are very unhappy about this particular result!

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JUMPCUT’s Least Favourite

Thor: The Dark World

The second film in Thor’s trilogy saw the God of Thunder go toe-to-toe with Malekith (Christopher Eccleston), a dark elf who threatens to bring darkness to the Nine Realms as he wields the power of the Aether. After coming into contact with the Aether, Thor must save Jane, and the rest of the world from it’s dark power. A highly forgettable sequel, which even Christopher Eccleston recently admitted he hated being a part of, and not enough of Jaimie Alexander’s Lady Sif if we’re being completely honest! 

We also asked our team to vote for their most anticipated upcoming MCU film (which has been confirmed) and beating the likes of ‘Avengers 4’, ‘Ant-Man and The Wasp’, and ‘Black Panther 2’ is…

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JUMPCUT’s Most Anticipated

Captain Marvel

This week the cameras began rolling for Brie Larson’s solo film debut as ‘Captain Marvel’. We will of course see Captain Marvel make her first appearance in ‘Avengers 4’, or maybe even ‘Infinity War’ if rumours are to be believed! Either way, we’re excited to see her in action and become the first female superhero in the MCU to have her own solo film (Way overdue Marvel! *angrily shakes fist*). 

Without further a do, here’s our Top 5 MCU films based on votes from our team!

JUMPCUT’s Top 5

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#5 – The Avengers (2012)

I can already hear the trumpets blaring as the camera circles Captain America, Iron Man, Black Widow, Hulk, Thor, Hawkeye as they came together to stop Loki and his chitauri army from invading Earth. ‘The Avengers’ was a box office smash in 2012, four years after we witnessed the start of the MCU with ‘Iron Man’ and the post credit scene that built all our hopes up after we witnessed Samuel L. Jackson’s Nick Fury tell Tony Stark that he wasn’t the only superhero in the world and gave everyone goosebumps when he mentioned the ‘Avengers initiative’. This was it. This was what we had been waiting to see and it didn’t disappoint!

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#4 – Black Panther (2018)

‘Black Panther’ is currently on it’s 5th week at #1 at the box office and is the first film to hold it’s top spot since Jame Cameron’s ‘Avatar’. We first met Black Panther in ‘Captain America: Civil War’ where he became an instant fan favourite. ‘Black Panther’ takes place just days after the events of ‘Civil War’ as Chadwick Boseman’s T’challa is sworn in as King of Wakanda following the death of his father. Killmonger (Michael B. Jordan) has other ideas and returns to Wakanda to challenge T’Challa for the throne so he can run things his way. The film boasts a fantastic cast, stunning visuals, and one of the best villains the MCU has seen. Michael B. Jordan absolutely killed it as Killmonger and is the second Human Torch to be redeemed by the MCU.

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#3 – Guardians of the Galaxy (2014)

Coming in at #3 is this bunch of a-holes. The success of this film came as quite a surprise to many, but with a catchy soundtrack and some stunning visuals, James Gunn actually did it! Who would have thought that a film with a smack-talking raccoon and a talking stick would bring a tear to your eyes, both with laughter and from pulling at your heart strings. ‘Guardians of the Galaxy’ took us to out to the stars where we met a whole host of new races and faces, and it was the perfect set up to learn about the Infinity Stones, which fans  (and Thanos) have been keeping a very close eye out for ever since…

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#2 – Thor: Ragnarok (2017)

Compared the other solo films in the MCU, it’s fair to say that Thor never really got the film he deserved, that was, until Taika Waititi delivered us ‘Ragnarok’. After being left out of the events of ‘Civil War’, many had wondered where Thor had gotten to – but it turns out he had bigger (and greener) problems on his hands! Waititi injected a lot of colour and humour into ‘Ragnarok’ and also blessed us with Jeff Goldblum’s Grandmaster and of course, Korg. Tessa Thompson’s Valkyrie was a very much welcomed addition to the ‘Revengers’ team and we’re keeping our fingers crossed Valkyrie doesn’t become one of the many fatalities we’re expecting to be forced to witness in ‘Infinity War’! 

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#1 – Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014)

Our #1 may not come as much of a surprise to many, especially because it didn’t feature anywhere earlier in our Top 5 list, but ‘Captain America: The Winter Soldier’ sits proudly at the top of JUMPCUT’s favourite MCU list. With some fantastic fight choreography and the proud owner of one of the more memorable scores of the entire franchise, ‘The Winter Soldier’ kept things grounded (for the most part) as we learned that S.H.I.E.L.D had been compromised and Hydra had their hands on the steering wheel the whole time. But that’s not all Steve Rogers had to deal with, no sir. It also turns out that his best friend Bucky is still alive… and trying to kill him. Steve’s friendship with Bucky has always been at the heart of his trilogy but could Thanos put an end to it once and for all in ‘Infinity War’?

And that’s it! That’s our top five films of the MCU. How does your Top 5 compare to ours? We’d love to here your thoughts over on Twitter – @JUMPCUT_ONLINE