Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Deadpool 2’ Looks To Break Its Own Record As ‘Infinity War’ Grabs 4th on All-Time List

Written by Dapo Olowu

It’s exciting times in the Box Office this weekend, with ‘Deadpool 2’ looking to break its own opening record, as well as ‘Infinity War’s recent dominance, to truly usher in the summer movie season. If that wasn’t enough, two more films (‘Book Club’ and ‘Show Dogs’) enter the running on a weekend looking to be as close as ever.

What’s opening this weekend?

It’s safe to say that 2016’s ‘Deadpool’ was a phenomenon; there’s even an entire Wikipedia page solely dedicated to the Box Office records it broke upon its release. The R-rated, $58m, action comedy, by a first-time director, not only became the biggest X-Men film ever, but also had the biggest February opening in the U.S. of all time at $132.4m (before ‘Black Panther’ made $202m this year). So, a sequel was always to be hotly anticipated, but with the release just weeks after ‘Infinity War’, you’d be quickly forgiven to say that excitement for ‘D2’ has been relatively muted.

The fears are justified; long-range tracking had the film opening way below the heights ‘Deadpool’ reached 2 years ago. However, ‘Deadpool 2’ soon began to break pre-sale records, coupled with Ryan Reynolds & Co.’s viral marketing campaigns, and an ever-so-slightly better 84% on Rotten Tomatoes, it quickly established itself as the next big film to see. The sequel aspect is important here too, as it doesn’t need to build an audience like its predecessor did: it already has one. From this (alongside its R-rated record $18.6m from Thursday previews), we’re predicting a stronger opening of over $140m — breaking its own R-rated domestic opening records in the process, and even aiming for the global opening crown too.

Whilst the ‘Deadpool’ franchise thrives on is its edginess and meta-jokes (that are as divisive as they are appealing), this weekend also sees a more traditional release: the romantic comedy ‘Book Club’. Its middling 64% on Rotten Tomatoes shouldn’t deter the older, female audience that it’s primarily intended for, as Hollywood haven’t been fruitful with their options recently. The film, starring Diane Keaton, Jane Fonda, Mary Steenburgen, and Andy Garcia, could well be looking to emulate ‘My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2’, which opened to $17.9m alongside the superhero epic ‘Batman v Superman’ back in March 2016. However, ‘Book Club’ doesn’t have the privilege of being the sequel to the biggest ever romantic comedy of all time, and therefore may only open to around $12m-$13m.

Finally, we have ‘Show Dogs’, which boasts possibly the most ridiculous cast of the year so far, with Ludacris, Will Arnett, Natasha Lyonne, Stanley Tucci, Alan Cumming, RuPaul, and Shaquille O’Neal starring in the child-friendly comedy. The 33% on Rotten Tomatoes and lack of IP ensures this won’t open as large as anthromorpic-darling, ‘Peter Rabbit’ did in February, and instead hopes to emulate Will Arnett’s last feature, ’The Nut Job 2’, with around $8m.

What else is on?

Interestingly, ‘Infinity War’ has performed similarly to another MCU movie, ‘Guardians of the Galaxy 2’. Both had exactly 55.5% drops during their second weekends, and while ‘Infinity War’ dropped 45.9% the next weekend, ‘Guardians’ nearly matched this with 46.9%. Its 4th weekend drop of 40% won’t be matched by ‘Infinity War’ this time around, however, with ‘Deadpool 2’ proving worthy competition. A gross of around $30m is expected, which doesn’t cause too much worry — as we speak, ‘Infinity War’ has taken another scalp in its quest for the $2bn mark, in the form of ‘Jurassic World’s 4th spot on the all-time global list.

We’ve seen comedies like ‘Overboard’ and ‘I Feel Pretty’ exceed expectations, by holding firm against competition and blockbusters, regardless of critical reception. ‘Life of the Party’ looks to continue this trend with a gross of $10m this weekend, just a 40% drop from a week ago. The same can’t be said for ‘Breaking In’, which is performing very similarly to other female-led thrillers that are usually characterised by 50%-ish second weekend drops. From this, an $8m weekend is expected, similar to Halle Berry’s 2013 hit, ‘The Call’.

The introduction of rom-com ‘Book Club’ should, in theory, mean strong competition (and thus a larger fall) for ‘Overboard’, as both seem to cater for a similar market. But, if the last few weeks have taught us anything, its that comedies are not to be messed with. ‘Overboard’ should gross a solid $5.5m in its 3rd weekend, to set it towards reaching $40m domestically next week. Even better news comes from Paramount, as ‘A Quiet Place’ looks to finally overtake ‘Split’s global gross of $278.4m gross soon, with a near-20% drop this weekend. We round off this weekend’s predictions with ‘I Feel Pretty’ and ‘Rampage’ taking 9th and 10th place, with around $2.2m each.

What do you guys think? Will ‘Deadpool 2break its own Box Office records, or will it fall at the final hurdle? Let us know on Twitter or Instagram – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week’s Rank Film US Gross so far Budget Jumpcut’s prediction Weekend drop Week no. BoxOfficeMojo’s prediction Deadline’s Prediction Variety’s Prediction
1 Deadpool 2 $110m $143m 1 $138m $130m-$150m $130m-$150m
2 1 Avengers: Infinity War $562.9m $300m+ $29.8m -52% 4 $29.2m $32m $30m
3 Book Club $12.5m 1 $12m $9m-$10m $7m-$10m
4 2 Life of the Party $22.3m $30m $10m -44% 2 $9.5m
5 2 Breaking In $21.5m $6m $8m -55% 2 $7.4m
6 Show Dogs $7m 1 $6.3m $4m-$9m
7 3 Overboard $31.7m $12m $5.9m -40% 3 $5.8m
8 5 A Quiet Place $171.7m $17m $5m -23% 7 $4m
9 6 I Feel Pretty $45.1m $32m $2.2m -42% 5
10 7 Rampage $90.8m $120m $2.1m -39% 6 $1.6m

Weekend BO Results: Three Weekends In, And ‘Infinity War’ Becomes The Fifth Biggest Film Of All Time On Mother’s Day Weekend In The U.S.

Written by Dapo Olowu

Dread it, run from it, but the 5th spot will still arrive. That’s right, ‘Avengers: Infinity War’ has fought off competition to become not only the biggest Marvel movie of all time, but the 5th biggest film ever worldwide, with a current figure of $1.61bn. The gross, under $70m away from 4th spot (2015s ‘Jurassic World’), was bolstered by a combination of this weekend’s $62.1m domestic taking and a massive $200m opening in China (the second biggest opening over there, after ‘Fate of the Furious’ last year and exchange rate changes). This is all, remember, after just 3 weekends in release, making it the quickest film to ever reach $1.5bn (after also reaching $1bn in record time).  

Domestically, ‘Infinity War’ sits in 8th place, behind ‘The Last Jedi’ and ahead of ‘The Dark Knight’, on $547.8m. This weekend in the U.S. saw it (again) top the charts with a total of $62.1m – just a 46% drop from last weekend’s gross. An interesting insight into this number; only 3 weekends in and its already below ‘Black Panther’s 3rd weekend of $66.3m, a trend that’ll only continue as ‘Black Panther’s domestic over-performance begins to become truly clear. Still, with at least another $100m in the bank from the U.S. (and another $100m from China) to go, ‘Infinity War’ has a chance of nearing ‘Black Panther’s domestic total, and of course that coveted $2bn target.

In possibly the biggest disappointment of the weekend, Melissa McCarthy’s ‘Life of the Party’ opened to only $17.9m – her worst opening since ‘St. Vincent’ made $7.8m in its limited-to-wide release in 2015, and since ‘This is 40’ made $11.6m in its purely wide releasing opening weekend in 2012. The question now, is whether this marks a declining trend in Melissa McCarthy’s comedies, or if this was in fact just a poor release time. Mother’s Day aside, with ‘I Feel Pretty’ and ‘Overboard’ potentially filling the comedy void for many in the last few weekends, a poorly-rated Melissa McCarthy comedy perhaps wasn’t going to break the bank like expected. The hope now is that ‘Life of the Party’ is still breathing in coming weeks, and we should be optimistic, seeing how well the other comedies have held their ground.

With a per-cinema average just shy of $7,000, ‘Breaking In’ really smashed through our expectations, with a gross just $300k short of second place’s ‘Life of the Party’. This was Gabrielle Union’s biggest opening weekend since 2014’s ‘Think Like a Man Too’, which topped the charts with $29.2m. The $6m thriller also received an average B on CinemaScore. Universal will hope this doesn’t affect the film’s staying power in the coming weeks, especially with how skewed the audiences are (68% female & 73% over 25 years old), but with nearly $20m already in the bank, it shouldn’t take long for this film to break-even.

Next is ‘Overboard’, with an impressive 33% drop from last weekend. The film made 42% of its weekend gross on Sunday alone – an indication into just how much of a boost Mother’s Day was for the romantic comedy. Then, we have ‘A Quiet Place’ with (yet again) the top ten’s best drop, with only a 17% difference between this weekend’s and last weekend’s gross. Now virtually at $170m domestically, it stands as Paramount’s biggest film stateside since ‘Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation’ in 2015, and with at least $10m left in the tank, we’re crossing our fingers for Paramount to finally have their overdue resurgence.

Although the expected Mother’s Day boost for ‘I Feel Pretty’ didn’t materialise, the $3.8m grossed this weekend lands the film with a respectable domestic total of $44m (and a worldwide number at $53.9m) –  solid numbers once you forget the $32m production costs. While it struggles to minimises its losses, ‘Rampage’ can potentially see profits (albeit small) after this weekend’s 25% drop meant that it brought in another $3.5m. With the worldwide number at $398.2m (just $2m off its reported break-even figure), it seems as if The Rock can do no wrong in the Box Office (just don’t mentionBaywatch’).

Tully’ brought in $2.25m for 8th place, just above ‘Black Panther’ which is clawing for the $700m domestic figure. Its current total of $696.3m will surely hit the 700-club in the upcoming weeks, although its DVD & Blu-ray release on today may seriously scupper this. Still, with 13 consecutive weeks in the top 10, 1989’s ‘Batman’ is the only other superhero movie to match the achievement – a brilliant way to conclude ‘Black Panther’s Box Office run, as it inevitably leaves the top 10 next week. Rounding off the list, is a surprise with limited release ‘RBG’, a documentary about Supreme Court Justice, Ruth Bader Ginsburg, holding off ‘A Wrinkle in Time’s wide re-release for 10th spot.

Join us in a few days as we predict the upcoming weekend’s Box Office results. With ‘Show Dogs’, ‘Book Club’, and of course ‘Deadpool 2’ entering the fray, what will happen to ‘Infinity War’ and co? Let us know your thoughts on Twitter and Instagram – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week Rank Film Weekend Gross Total U.S. Gross Weekend drop Jumpcut’s prediction Difference Week number
1 1 Avengers: Infinity War $62.1m $548.1m -45.9% $58.5m $3.6m 3
2 Life of the Party $17.9m $17.9m $22m $4.1m 1
3 Breaking In $17.6m $17.6m $15.6m $2m 1
4 2 Overboard $9.9m $29.4m -32.9% $6.5m $3.4m 2
5 3 A Quiet Place $6.5m $169.6m -16.8% $5.4m $1.1m 6
6 4 I Feel Pretty $3.8m $44m -24.7% $2.3m $1.5m 4
7 5 Rampage $3.5m $89.8m -25.3% $2.8m $0.7m 5
8 6 Tully $2.2m $7m -31.5% $1.9m $0.3m 2
9 7 Black Panther $2.1m $696.3m -36.2% $2.1m $0m 13
10 15 RBG $1.2m $2m +105.9% 2

Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Life Of The Party’ & ‘Breaking In’ Welcome Strong Weekend For Newcomers as ‘Infinity War’ Makes It 3 In A Row

Written by Dapo Olowu

Two new wide releases, ‘Life of the Party’ and ‘Breaking In’, enter the frame this weekend, looking comfortable to snatch the podium spots below ‘Infinity War’. Meanwhile, the older releases continue to battle for a top ten finish. What will the newbies make, and how will the other films fare this weekend?

So, what’s opening?

Melissa McCarthy comedies can typically fall into two categories, based on their critical reception. First, you have the well-received, fan-loved ‘Bridesmaids’, ‘Spy’, and ‘The Heat’, with the first two in particular viewed as some of the best comedies released in the past decade. You’re then faced with the second group, one that involves ‘Tammy’, ‘The Boss’, and ‘Identity Thief’ – all of which are under 25% on Rotten Tomatoes. These inconsistencies only stretch as far as reviews, however, as her movies are (almost) always guaranteed money-makers. ‘Tammy’, her lowest opening out of the 6 (and another directed by husband Ben Falcone), brought in a solid $21.6m in its first 3 days back in the summer of 2014, meaning that, apart from ‘St. Vincent’ and ‘This Is 40’, Melissa McCarthy movies consistently hit the $20m opening figure – an underrated Box Office achievement.

With ‘Life of the Party’, Melissa McCarthy goes back to college, and like another University-focused comedy in 2016 (‘Neighbors 2’), we’re seeing this opening with a little over $20m. ‘Neighbors 2’ similarly opened 2 weeks after another MCU behemoth, ‘Civil War’, and was able to offset its audience-limiting R-rating (and direct competition withThe Nice Guys’) by being the sequel to a film that made $150m in the U.S. a couple of years before. ‘Life of the Party’, however, isn’t a sequel, but it only has a PG-13 rating and is at the advantage of opening after competition like ‘Overboard’ and ‘I Feel Pretty’. Adding the fact that Melissa McCarthy is basically immune to bad reviews (apart fromGhostbusters’), I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw an opening of $22m.

We also have ‘Breaking In’ entering cinemas across the States this weekend, and honestly these types of thrillers are both a joy and a curse to predict. It’s the lack of specific-ness surrounding the thriller genre that gets me – will it be another ‘Traffik’, or a ‘Get Out’? The film, starring Gabrielle Union and opening in around 2,600 cinemas, does exactly what it says on the tin, and features Union battling convicts as they try to force their way into her deceased father’s mansion. After looking at a few similar films with female leads (‘Acrimony’, ‘Proud Mary’, ‘Kidnap’, ‘Strangers: Prey at Night’), we saw that they all a) open in around 2,500 cinemas and b) have a per-cinema average opening of between $4,000 and $8,000. So, with this, ‘Breaking In’ should open to between $15m and $16m.

What else is on?

Of course, we can’t forget ‘Infinity War’, which will secure another 1st place finish this weekend with an estimated $58.5m gross. The predicted 49% drop comes from the fact that there’s now no U.S. Thursday preview number from the first weekend to contend with, giving us a smaller figure than the 55.5% we saw last weekend. The big news here, however, is that the film is finally opening in China, and has potential to absolutely demolish the records that stand over there. Its already earned $9.2m from midnight screenings on Thursday – the second biggest figure ever, behind the $9.8m made by ‘Fate of the Furious’ last year; it will even hope to break ‘F8’s record as the biggest Hollywood film in China ever, by pulling in over $392m.

Overboard’s competition from ‘Life of the Party’ almost mirrors ‘How to Be a Latin Lover’s 58% fall in its 2nd weekend last year, after it had to contend with ‘Guardians of the Galaxy 2’ – so a similar drop is in play. Next is ‘A Quiet Place’, which is sitting just behind ‘Infinity War’ and ‘Black Panther’ in the U.S. domestic charts this year, and should thus drop around 30% again this weekend for a total domestic gross nearing $170m. This weekend will also be an impressive one for ‘Rampage’, closing in on the $90m domestic mark with a $2.8m gross. This estimated 40% fall will be similar to its drop last weekend. Luckily, it’s made its money before ‘Deadpool 2’ and ‘Solo’ open in the upcoming weeks.

I Feel Pretty’ has been defying the odds every weekend with impressive drops, but surely, surely, this is the weekend where direct competitor ‘Life of the Party’ gives Amy Schumer’s comedy a run for its money, and leads to a 55% fall from last weekend. With a break-even point between $70m and $90m, there’s fear that ‘I Feel Pretty’ is coming to an ugly Box Office end. The same can’t be said for ‘Black Panther’ which, in the week where it became available for digital download, looks to become the only (alongside 1989s ‘Batman’) superhero film to ever have 13 consecutive weeks in the top 10; it should see a 3-day gross of just over $2m, putting it firmly in 8th place. Finally, we have ‘Tully’ and ‘Truth or Dare’ rounding off the top 10 with $1.9m and $1.2m respectively.

What are your estimates? Where will ‘Life of the Party’ land? How impressed have you been with ‘A Quiet Place’s numbers? Let us know on Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week’s Rank Film US Gross so far Budget Jumpcut’s prediction Weekend drop Week no. BoxOfficeMojo’s prediction Deadline’s Prediction Variety’s Prediction
1 1 Avengers: Infinity War $479.1m $300m+ $58.5m -49% 3 $62m $60m-$63m $50m-$60m
2 Life of the Party $30m $22m 1 $21m $18m-$21m $18m-$21m
3 Breaking In $15.6m 1 $18m $14m-$17m $14m-$17m
4 2 Overboard $18.4m $12m $6.5m -56% 2 $9m
5 3 A Quiet Place $162.4m $17m $5.4m -30% 6 $4.8m
6 5 Rampage $86m $120m $2.8m -40% 5 $2.5m
7 4 I Feel Pretty $39.7m $32m $2.3m -55% 4 $2.9m
8 7 Black Panther $694m $200m $2.1m -35% 13 $2.1m
9 6 Tully $4.4m $1.9m -42% 2 $1.8m
10 7 Truth or Dare $38.7m $2.5m $1.2m -37% 5

Weekend BO Results: ‘Infinity War’ Leads The Way In Poor Box Office Weekend For New Openers

Written by Dapo Olowu

In just 11 days, ‘Infinity War’ became the quickest film to ever reach $1bn worldwide, a number bolstered by a domestic total of $453.1m (already the 15th biggest of all time) and made all the more impressive by it not opening in China until this Friday. If it wasn’t clear before, Disney (and the MCU) is a Box Office powerhouse, so it’s no surprise that this ‘must-see’ blockbuster is looking to break every record in its path.

However, one record it has missed out on this weekend was the biggest second weekend of all time. ‘The Force Awakens’ still stands strong with $149.2m, but ‘Infinity War’ only brought in a total of $114.8m, easing into second spot in the rankings (ahead ofBlack Panther’). A drop of 55.5% not only fell right in line with our prediction, but also alongside other ‘third-in-trilogy’ MCU movies (‘Iron Man 3’ – 58.4%, ‘Captain America: Civil War’ – 59.5%, and ‘Thor: Ragnarok’ – 53.5%). It may be a little premature to estimate ‘Infinity War’s final domestic gross in just its sophomore weekend, but by looking at the aforementioned films’ domestic total/opening weekend multipliers, we’d get the following numbers:

  • If ‘Infinity War’ performed like ‘Iron Man 3’: Domestic Total of $605.6m (2.35x multiplier).
  • If ‘Infinity War’ performed like ‘Civil War’: Domestic Total of $587.6m (2.28x multiplier).
  • If ‘Infinity War’ performed like ‘Thor: Ragnarok’: Domestic Total of $662.3m (2.57x multiplier).

With ‘Infinity War’ looking to be the first summer film to ever hit $2bn, it’ll need to perform similarly to ‘Ragnarok’, or even better, and look to reach closer to the $700m figure like ‘Black Panther’. A big ask, even for a film like ‘Infinity War’, with competition such as ‘Deadpool 2’ and ‘Solo’ coming later this month.

Now, onto the other films this weekend — sailing steadily in second place was Eugenio Derbez’s ‘Overboard’, pulling in $14.7m. Another strong opening for Derbez and Pantelion Films who, after ‘Instructions Not Included’s $7.9m opening (from 350 cinemas), and ‘How To Be A Latin Lover’s $12.2m opening last year, are starting to master the art of getting the most of out of target audiences in under 2,000 cinemas. This must be a sigh of relief for Anna Faris, who would have to look all the way back to 2012 for the last time she had a non-animated opening this big (2012’s ‘The Dictator’ with $17.4m). ‘Overboard’ can also be proud of its relatively small $12m budget, which should hopefully ensure a bit of profit.

Next is ‘A Quiet Place’, which posted a remarkable drop of just 29.5% — the lowest in the top 10 this weekend. The post-‘Infinity War’ stabilisation of the Box Office meant that ‘A Quiet Place’ brought in $7.8m from Friday to Sunday, pushing its worldwide gross to $255.5m, just $300k over ‘Get Out’ and into the 11th spot in the all-time biggest horror movies list (just $1m under 2014’s ‘Annabelle’ for 10th). Similarly, ‘I Feel Pretty’ held steady by grossing $5.1m (a 38% drop) and will now be hoping to cross the $40m domestic mark during the week. What’s impressive here, is how well it held up against competition from ‘Overboard’, and even though its reviews are less than spectacular, the power of original content seems to be boosting its word-of-mouth reviews.

Another impressive performance this week came from The Rock’s ‘Rampage’, dropping just 36% to take 5th place. Although its chances of making $100m domestically are dead and buried, Warner Bros will be pleased that a $90m+ total is nearly guaranteed, and its $378.8m worldwide may at least help it break-even (although the $140m spent on printing & advertisements may come back to bite its tail).

New release, ‘Tully’, was one of the 2 new releases that failed to impress in the Box Office this weekend (‘Bad Samaritan’ didn’t even make the top 10). The $3.3m gross was a disappointment, regardless of the budget, and tore a hole in our $4.5m predictions last week. To put this into context, ‘Black Panther’ also grossed $3.3m, but in its 12th week of release. In fact, ‘Black Panther’ remaining in the top 10 of the Box Office for 12 consecutive weekends has only been bettered by a handful of films in the last decade: ‘La La Land’, ‘Zootopia’, ‘Frozen’, and ‘Avatar’.

Truth or Dare’ continued this weekend’s trend of lower-than-expected drops by posting a fall of only 42%, allowing it to creep ever-so-quietly towards the $40m mark where its expected to finish. ‘Super Troopers 2’ brought in $1.9m, with a per-cinema-average gross of just $884 — a sure indication that theatres will begin to remove the film from its screens ASAP. Finally, ‘Blockers’ edged out ‘Bad Samaritan’ for the 10th spot, earning $1.8m during the weekend.

So, where do you think ‘Infinity War’ will finish? Have you ever been impressed by a Box Office performance like ‘Black Panther’s before? Shocked that ‘I Feel Pretty’ is still in the top 5, after three weekends? Let us know your thoughts on Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

 

Rank Last Week Rank Film Weekend Gross Total U.S. Gross Weekend drop Jumpcut’s prediction Difference Week number
1 1 Avengers: Infinity War $114.8m $453.1m -55.5% $116m $1.2m 2
2 Overboard $14.7m $14.7m $14m $0.7m 1
3 2 A Quiet Place $160.1m $7.8m -29.5% $6.6m $1.2m 5
4 3 I Feel Pretty $5.1m $37.9m -38.2% $4.1m $1m 3
5 4 Rampage $4.6m $84.8m -35.6% $3.6m $1m 4
6 Tully $3.3m $3.3m $4.5m $1.2m 1
7 5 Black Panther $3.3m $693.2m -31.3% $3.3m $0m 12
8 7 Truth or Dare $1.9m $38.2m -42.2% $1.3m $0.6m 4
9 6 Super Troopers 2 $1.9m $25.5m -49.8% $1.3m $0.6m 3
10 8 Blockers $1.8m $56.2m -41.1% 5

 

Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Infinity War’ Continues To Conquer While New Openers Battle For A Top 10 Finish

Written by Dapo Olowu

While ‘Infinity War’ gets ready to enjoy another weekend at the top of the table, three new openers (‘Overboard’, ‘Bad Samaritan’, and ‘Tully’) look to establish themselves in a Box Office weekend that’s as close as ever. The question is, what will drop out of the top ten?

So, what’s opening this weekend?

Firstly, we have ‘Overboard’ starring Anna Faris and Eugenio Derbez, in a gender-swapped remake of the 1987 cult-classic, which featured couple Kurt Russell and Goldie Hawn. What’s interesting here, is its similarities to 2017’s ‘How to Be a Latin Lover’: the producers, production company, lead actor, release date, genre, age-rating, and even the reviews are mirroring the comedy that opened to $12.2m last year. ‘Overboard’ is hoping to emulate Latin Lover’s success with the Hispanic community, and opening in 500 more cinemas could give it that needed boost in the Box Office totals. Diminishing returns from the extra seats may set in, but we predict a solid $14m start nonetheless.

Opening in around 1,350 cinemas is Charlize Theron’s ‘Tully’, a difficult one to predict, as we’d usually expect such a highly rated comedy-drama to have a limited (under 600 cinemas) release at first. From this, we’ve done a bit more maths than we’d have wanted and predicted an opening of around $4.5m, based mainly on the per-cinema averages of similar films, like 2017’s ‘Lady Bird’. Its 90% on Rotten Tomatoes, as well as director Jason Reitman’s previous successes (‘Juno’, ‘Up in the Air’), gives us reason to be optimistic — but this is a poor opening regardless.

Finally, ‘Bad Samaritan’ looks to be the lowest earner from the newbies this weekend, even though it’s the only new release entering at least 2,000 cinemas. ‘Bad Samaritan’ doesn’t even have the luxury of being potential counter-programming to ‘Infinity War’, as direct competitor ‘A Quiet Place’ continues to hold strong in week 5 of its release. We’re using last year’s ‘A Cure for Wellness’s $4.4m opening as a measure: both had middling reviews, both opened during a competitor’s 5th week (‘Split’ had been out for over a month by then), and both had no true star power in the lead roles. ‘Bad Samaritan’, however, also has the looming figure of ‘Infinity War’ clouding its horizon, so we estimate around a gross around $3m.

What else is on?

Infinity War’ will comfortably top the charts by a good $100m+ margin in its second weekend, but will fall short of ‘The Force Awakens’ record of $149.2m, with an estimated $116m (a 55% drop). This is not an issue, as ‘Infinity War’ aims to reach $1bn worldwide by Sunday (without China) and could be the quickest to do this (beating ‘The Force Awakens’ record of 12 days). Even if somehow it doesn’t manage this, it’ll always have the record of out-grossing the entirety of ‘Justice League’ in 3.5 days — a lovely plaque to have on the shelf.

Next, we have ‘A Quiet Place’, which has continued to perform strongly going into its 5th weekend of release. It’ll hope to reach the coveted quarter-of-a-billion dollars mark worldwide by the end of the weekend, with still enough gas in the tank to potentially land in the $270m region. Taking into account ‘Split’s 41% average weekend drop (in wide release) and ‘A Quiet Place’s 39.4% average so far, a 40% fall is a safe bet.

After the release of ‘Overboard’, it isn’t absurd to wonder if this would have a large effect on ‘I Feel Pretty’, which suffers from poorer reviews than the comedy starring Anna Faris. However, being available to watch in 1,500 more cinemas gives it a locational advantage, which should lead to just a 50% drop this week. A similar fall is in store for ‘Rampage’, which could bounce back from the major hit it took during ‘Infinity War’s opening last week.

Black Panther’s resurgence in the wake of ‘Infinity War’ means its sights are firmly on the $700m domestic goal, a feat only two films (‘The Force Awakens’, and ‘Avatar’) have ever achieved. A 30% drop is expected this week as normal service resumes, but I won’t be surprised if it ends in a much lower drop, with filmgoers continuing their MCU double-bills.

The horror ‘Truth or Dare’ has been consistent with its 58% weekend drops, so there’s little reason to deviate from the average here, and it should pull in around $1.3m going into its 4th weekend. Finally, ‘Super Troopers 2’ shouldn’t plunge to the 75%+ depths that it did last weekend, but it won’t be impressing anybody with a $1.3m haul to round off the top 10.

What do you think ‘Infinity War’ will make in its 2nd weekend? Will the new releases impress, or will the older films prevail? Let us know on Twitter – we’re @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week’s Rank Film US Gross so far Budget Jumpcut’s prediction Weekend drop Week no. BoxOfficeMojo’s prediction Deadline’s Prediction Variety’s Prediction
1 1 Avengers: Infinity War $322.8m $300m+ $116m -55% 2 $116m $100m-$125m $100m-$130m
2 Overboard $15m $14m 1 $15.2m ~$12.2m $10m-$12m
3 2 A Quiet Place $151.4m $17m $6.6m -40% 5 $6.8m
4 Tully $4.5m $4.1m $3m-$4m $4m
5 3 I Feel Pretty $32.1m $32m $4.1m -50% 3 $4.3m
6 4 Rampage $3.6m -52% 4 $4m
7 5 Black Panther $689.6m $200m $3.3m -30% 12 $3.3m
8 Bad Samaritan $3m $2m $2m
9 7 Truth or Dare $36.2m $3.5m $1.3m -59% 4
10 6 Super Troopers 2 $23.3m $13.5m* $1.3m -66% 3 $1.8m

*I wrongly suggested ‘Super Troopers 2’s budget to be $4.4m in previous posts. Oops.

Reel Women: May UK Releases

Written by Elena Morgan

At the start of each month we will be highlighting the films that will be released in UK cinemas that month, that are written and/or directed by women- a little feature we like to call ‘Reel Women’. As someone who’s taken part in the #52FilmsbyWomen for the past few years, I’ve started paying at least a little attention to who is writing and directing what I watch. It’s an enlightening experience and it’s a good way to watch films that I might not have normally have thought about and discover different filmmakers.

Now it’s time to look at May’s releases that are made by women. This month there are a whole host of genres including comedy, thriller, and documentary.

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4 May

I Feel Pretty
Directed by Abby Kohn and Marc Silverstein | Written by: Abby Kohn and Marc Silverstein

Renee (Amy Schumer) struggles with insecurities about her body and her abilities, that is until she bangs her head and wakes up believing she’s the most beautiful and capable woman on the planet.

This is both Abby Kohn and Marc Silverstein’s feature-length directorial debut but together they’ve written some rom-com classics like ‘Never Been Kissed’ and the romantic drama ‘The Vow’.

Mary and the Witch’s Flower
Directed by Hiromasa Yonebayashi Written by Riko Sakaguchi and Hiromasa Yonebayashi

The first film from new Japanese animation company, Studio Ponoc, ‘Mary and the Witch’s Flower’ is about a young girl who discovers a world of magic and danger after she picks a flower that only blooms once every seven years.

Riko Sakaguchi has written multiple television series and the Oscar nominated Studio Ghibli film, ‘The Tale of the Princess Kaguya’.

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11 May

How to Talk to Girls at Parties
Directed by John Cameron Mitchell | Written by Philippa Goslett and John Cameron Mitchell

It’s 1977 in London and when Enn (Alex Sharp) and his friends stubble across a weird party they meet alien Zan (Elle Fanning) who becomes fascinated with them, Earth and everything punk. Philippa Goslett has written four feature films including ‘Holy Money’ and ‘Mary Magdalene’.

Life of the Party
Directed by Ben Falcone | Written by Ben Falcone and Melissa McCarthy

After her husband suddenly asks for a divorce, Deanna (Melissa McCarthy) decides to join her teenage daughter (Molly Gordon) at college so she can complete her degree. Melissa McCarthy is a hilarious comedian who’s starred in so many great films like ‘The Heat’, ‘Bridesmaids’ and ‘Spy’. ‘Life of the Party’ is the third film she’s co-written with husband Ben Falcone after ‘The Boss’ and ‘Tammy’.

Raazi
Directed by Meghna Gulzar | Written by Meghna Gulzar and Bhavani Iyer

A thriller about Sehmat (Aalia Bhatt), a Kashmiri spy who is married to Iqbal (Vicky Kaushal), a Pakistani man during the Indo-Pakistani War of 1971, as she attempts to balance being a wife, mother and spy.

‘Raazi’ is Meghna Gulzar’s fourth feature film. Her previous film ‘Talvar’, is on Netflix and is well worth a watch. Bhavani Iyer has multiple writing credits to her name including the TV series ‘24: India’, the Indian remake of ‘24′.

Revenge
Directed by Coralie Fargeat | Written by Coralie Fargeat

Jen (Matilda Anna Ingrid Lutz) is enjoying a romantic getaway with her wealthy boyfriend, until his sleazy friends arrive for a hunting trip. When the situation abruptly turns to violence and Jen is left for dead, she prepares to take bloody revenge on them all.

Revenge is Coralie Fargeat’s debut feature film and she also was one of its editors.

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18 May

A Love That Never Dies
Directed by Jimmy Edmonds and Jane Harris

A documentary following Jimmy and Jane, who lost their son seven years previously, as they take a road trip across the USA to meet other grieving parents and to see how and why different people grieve.

This is Jane Harris’ first film.

Montparnasse Bienvenue
Directed by Léonor Serraille | Written by Clémence Carré, Bastien Daret and Léonor Serraille

Paula Simonian (Laetitia Dosch) is in her early-thirties, is broke and single. She’s spirited yet directionless as she struggles to get by in the lively Parisian metropolis; but if she can make it there, she’ll make it anywhere.

This is Léonor Serraille’s first feature film and it won her the Golden Camera award, which is the award for best first feature film, at Cannes Film Festival last year. ‘Montparnasse Bienvenue’ has won 10 awards and been nominated for 14 more. Clémence Carré has previously worked with Serraille as she edited Serraille’s short film ‘Body’.

Submergence
Directed by Wim Wenders | Written by Erin Dignam

While captured by jihadist fighters, Scotsman James Moore (James McAvoy) remembers meeting scientist Danielle Flinders (Alicia Vikander) who is preparing to dive in a submersible to the ocean floor. Both in their own confinements, they remember their brief yet intense romance as they struggle with what lies ahead.

Erin Digman’s previous writing credit was ‘The Last Face’ starring Charlize Theron and Javier Bardem. Digman’s directorial and screenplay debut was ‘Denial’ which was nominated for the Grad Jury Prize at Sundance Film Festival in 1990.

Cargo
Directed by Yolanda Ramke and Ben Howling | Written by Yolanda Ramke

Stranded in rural Australia after a violent pandemic, Andy (Martin Freeman) is a desperate father trying to find somewhere safe for his infant daughter. ‘Cargo’ is Yolanda Ramke’s first feature film and it is an adaptation of the short film of the same name she and Ben Howling made in 2013.

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25 May

Edie
Directed by Simon Hunter | Written by Elizabeth O’Halloran

After the death of her controlling husband, Edith Moore (Sheila Hancock) decides to attempt a lifelong ambition and climb a mountain in Scotland.

This is Elizabeth O’Halloran’s first screenplay.

The Breadwinner
Directed by Nora Twomey | Written by Anita Doron

After her father is thrown in jail, a young girl (Saara Chaudry) disguises herself as a boy in order to provide for her family.

‘The Breadwinner’ was nominated for Best Animated Feature at this years Oscars. Nora Twomey co-directed Cartoon Saloon’s first feature film ‘The Secret of Kells’. Anita Doran is a writer and director who has directed five feature films.

The Incredible Story of the Giant Pear
Directed by Amalie Næsby Fick, Jørgen Lerdam and Philip Einstein Lipski | Written by Bo Hr. Hansen

When friends Mitcho (Liva Elvira Magnussen) and Sebastian (Alfred Bjerre Larsen) find a message in a bottle, they go on an adventure inside a giant pear to find the missing mayor of their quaint town.

‘The Incredible Story of the Giant Pear’ is Amalie Næsby Fick’s first feature film.

Zama
Directed by Lucrecia Martel | Written by Lucrecia Martel

Don Diego de Zama (Daniel Giménez Cacho), a Spanish officer of the seventeenth century waits in Paraguay for news of his transfer to Buenos Aires. When he hears a man called Vicuña Porto (Matheus Nachtergaele) is raping women and attacking villages, Zama decides to help those in need.

Lucrecia Martel has won numerous awards including Best Film and Best Director for ‘The Headless Woman’ at the Argentinean Academy Awards, and the Alfred Bauer Award at the Berlin International Film Festival for ‘La Ciénaga. Zama’ is Martel’s fifth feature film.

Ibiza
Directed by Alex Richanback | Written by Lauryn Kahn

Harper (Gillian Jacobs) and her two best friends fly to Spain to find a hot DJ.

Lauryn Kahn has written over a dozen short films and Ibiza is her first feature film. It’s also one of Netflix’s original movies.


Those are the fifteen films that are written and/or directed by women and are being released in the UK this month. Some of these are likely to have smaller releases than others, especially foreign language films like ‘Montparnasse Bienvenue’ and ‘Zama’, but there is a couple of Netflix Originals here too, so you can watch them in the comfort of your own home. By writing this post I have discovered many UK releases I was previously unaware of, and I hope some of these films might have piqued your interest too.

We’d love to hear your thoughts on any of these films you if catch them this month! Be sure to leave us a message in the comments below, or tweet us at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE

Weekend BO Results: ‘Infinity War’ Conquers The Box Office As Opening Records Are Destroyed

Written by Dapo Olowu

Just weeks after ‘Black Panther’ broke domestic and worldwide Box Office records, ‘Avengers: Infinity War’ flexes its own financial muscles to absolutely annihilate the opening weekend record gross in the United States, and demolish any fears of a superhero fatigue.

A 3-day haul of $257.7m smashes ‘The Force Awakens’ record by $10m and has set the film up to be one of the biggest of all time. Not only has ‘Infinity War’ reclaimed the opening weekend record for the MCU (‘The Avengersheld it from 2012 to 2015 with $207.4m), but it also maintains Disney’s recent Box Office dominance; as 9 out of the 10 biggest domestic openings of all time are currently all Disney movies.

With a worldwide opening weekend of $640.5m, ‘Infinity War’ cruised to the title of biggest worldwide opening of all time, around $100m over the $541.9m ‘Fate of the Furious’ made last year. All this, mind you, without ‘Iinfinity War’ opening in China (the 2nd-biggest market in the world) and Russia. While ‘F8′ can still boast about having the biggest non-US opening ($443.2m vs. IW’s $382.8m), ‘Infinity War’ will now be looking at the bigger picture: hitting the billions.

As expected, ‘A Quiet Place’ came in at number 2 with a very respectable gross of $11m – a drop of just 47%, a fantastic number considering the circumstances. What this also means, is that this was the biggest difference ever between the top 2 films in the Box Office during one weekend, at $246.7m. As the records keep trickling in, ‘A Quiet Place’ will surely be pleased that it’s now bigger than horror-hit ‘Split’ in the U.S. ($148.5m vs. $138.3m), and is now just $30m away from ‘Get Out’s domestic (and $20m from its worldwide) gross.

Next on the list was Amy Schumer’s ‘I Feel Pretty’, and similarly to ‘A Quiet Place’, this suffered an impressive drop of under 50%, a welcome surprise for the comedy that’s now just $2m short of matching its budget in the Box Office. It should be looking to make another $15-20m before it’s run is done, a nice little return on a frankly bloated production cost.

The first major calamity at the hands of ‘Infinity War’ was of course ‘Rampage’, the action-adventure flick that not even Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson could save this weekend. A 64% drop was always coming, making hopes of a $100m domestic return a distant dream, as well as the potential for $400m worldwide to break-even. Regardless, having $335m in the bank is a testament to a) The Rock’s pulling power, and b) the public’s willingness to watch giant monkeys causing havoc in urban cities.

Now we come to ‘Black Panther’, which I (rightly) predicted would see a boost from IW, but also (wrongly) predicted would actually increase from last weekend’s gross. It brought in a mighty $4.7m (in its 11th weekend!), only dropping 4%, which is a fantastic achievement. Although, I can’t be sure if Disney did embrace the ‘Disney double’ and offered discounts, but I’m sure many cinema-goers took it upon themselves to watch T’Challa and the rest before seeing ‘Infinity War’. Now officially bigger than ‘The Last Jedi’, ‘Black Panther’ will surely aim to beat ‘Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt.2’ for no. 7 on the all-time charts.

Much like last week, ‘Super Troopers 2’ surprised us all, but this time with the biggest weekend drop of the top 10, falling 75% and posting just $3.7m. The front-loaded comedy dropped like a stone this week, a bigger fall than ‘Truth or Dare’, that stayed consistent during its 3rd weekend with another 58% drop. It looks like ‘Truth or Dare’ will make another $5m max to reach a $40m domestic total, a likely profit from just a $3.5m budget.

Blockers’ posted its biggest drop yet, with just under 57%, making $3m in a weekend that is proving fruitful for comedies. The less audience crossover the better, it seems, as ‘Ready Player One’ suffered a heavy 65% loss in gross compared to last weekend. With $130.8m from the U.S. and $545m worldwide, ‘Ready Player One’ will be jumping for joy at the fact it opened a full month before ‘Infinity War’, meaning it made its money (and then some) before any meaningful competition came into play. Finally, it was ‘Traffik’, not ‘Isle of Dogs’ that snatched 10th place with $1.6m (just $200k over 11th).

Next week we’re back at the races with 3 new wide releases: ‘Bad Samaritan’, ‘Overboard’, and ‘Tully’. Who’ll fall out of the top 10, who’ll remain, and how much will ‘Infinity War’ make in its 2nd weekend? Let us know your thoughts, we’re on Twitter at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week Rank Film Weekend Gross Total U.S. Gross Weekend drop Jumpcut’s prediction Difference Week number
1 Avengers: Infinity War $257.7m $257.7m $240m $17.7m 1
2 1 A Quiet Place $11m $148.5m -47.4% $11.7m $0.7m 4
3 3 I Feel Pretty $8.2m $29.6m -49% $7.5m $0.7m 2
4 4 Rampage $7.2m $78m -64.1% $8.2m $1m 3
5 8 Black Panther $4.7m $688.4m -4% $5.6m $0.9m 11
6 4 Super Troopers 2 $3.7m $22.2m -75.4% $5.7m $2m 2
7 5 Truth or Dare $3.3m $35.4m -58.1% $3.2m $0.1m 3
8 7 Blockers $3m $53.2m -56.5% $3.4m $0.4m 4
9 6 Ready Player One $2.6m $130.8m -65.4% $3.2m $0.6m 5
10 9 Traffik $1.7m $6.8m -58% 2

Weekend BO Prediction: Forget Infinity Stones – Thanos Aims For The Opening Record

Written by Dapo Olowu

What this weekend lacks in new releases, it more than makes up for in pure spectacle. ‘Avengers: Infinity War’, the culmination of a decade’s-worth of MCU films, opens in the U.S. this Friday, leaving the rest of the Box Office in its wake. The big question is, of course, what records will this break?

So, what’s opening this weekend?

Opening in almost 4,500 cinemas in the U.S. (nearly a record in itself), the Russo brothers flick is looking to break all sorts of records, both in the States and abroad. From Vietnam and India, to Australia and America, it seems as if ‘Infinity War’ is breathing down the neck of various opening weekend records across the globe. Just a couple of weeks ago, its U.S. pre-sales (according to Fandango) were already outpacing the last 7 MCU films combined. Here’s a reminder of the records it may actually achieve this weekend:

  • Sixth film to make over $200m in its opening weekend (after ‘The Force Awakens’, ‘The Last Jedi’, ‘Jurassic World’, ‘The Avengers’, and ‘Black Panther’)
  • Biggest MCU opening (beating ‘The Avengers’ $207.4m in 2012)
  • Biggest pre-summer opening (beating ‘Black Panther’s $202m in 2018)
  • Biggest opening of 2018 so far (beating ‘Black Panther’s $202m in 2018)
  • Biggest April opening (beating ‘Furious 7’s $147.2m in 2015)
  • Biggest Spring opening (beating ‘Beauty and the Beast’s $174.8m in 2017)
  • Biggest worldwide opening (beating ‘Fate of the Furious’ $541.9m in 2017)

What ‘Infinity War’ is really aiming for, is the final jewel in the gauntlet: the domestic opening record. It’s currently held by the biggest film in the U.S. of all time, ‘The Force Awakens’, at $248m, but Marvel will hope to take the crown from their Disney-counterparts over at LucasFilm. We at Jumpcut think it’ll be a tight race, but ‘Infinity War’ may just fall short and reach $240m. With some sites predicting a high of $275m, however, nobody can say for definite where this film will land.

What else is on?

After last week’s close encounter, ‘A Quiet Place’ will put more distance between itself and ‘Rampage’ this weekend. The counter-programming element to ‘AQP’ sets it apart from the rest of the pack, meaning that it won’t drop as much this week as the others will. But, the same can’t be said for ‘Rampage’, which is looking like the first casualty of ‘Infinity War’s introduction. We’re expecting to see close to a 60% drop, as Thanos takes no prisoners in his quest for top spot.

For ‘I Feel Pretty’, which opened to a decent $16m last week, we’re comparing it to ‘Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2’, which dropped by around 60% in its 3rd week in 2015 – after the release of ‘Age of Ultron’ that is. There are multiple differences between the 2 films, but around $7.5m (thus a similar 53% drop) is probable.

The biggest surprise of last weekend, ‘Super Troopers 2’, isn’t looking to replicate the astonishing achievements of its opening. Its daily grosses haven’t been encouraging; its heavy 4/20 Friday promotion and fan-base popularity imply a front-loaded box office run, a point bolstered by the fact that 52% of its opening weekend gross was made on Friday (including Thursday previews). So, we’re predicting a drop between 60-65%, fairing slightly worse than another cult sequel, ‘Harold and Kumar Escape from Guantanamo Bay’ (2008).

Now, here’s a strange one to predict: ‘Black Panther’. Back in 2012 when ‘The Avengers’ was released, we saw quite a large consolation boost to Disney’s flop, ‘John Carter’ at the same time. As it turns out, many cinemas across the U.S. played a Disney-double bill, allowing viewers to watch both at a discount. A similar scenario may play out this weekend with ‘Infinity War’, and we’ve already seen ‘Black Panther’s latest Tuesday and Wednesday grosses improve upon last week’s totals. It can go either way, but we’re thinking it could maybe surprise the rest and get a good boost from ‘Infinity War’. Maybe.

Truth or Dare’ will continue its steep drop by pulling in just over $3m this weekend, as its been unable to establish itself in an already crowded market after an $18.7m opening. Once ‘Ready Player One’ was surprisingly hit hard by ‘Rampage’ a couple of weeks back, I suspect ‘Infinity War’ to turn the screw, with ‘Ready Player One’ pulling in a similar amount to ‘Truth or Dare’. ‘Blockers’ may be insulated, though, and leave this weekend with a decent 50% drop. Finally, its ‘Isle of Dogs’ that rounds off the top 10 again, closely battling ‘Traffik’, but only just prevailing with a $2.1m gross.

What do you think? Will Infinity War break the box office opening record in the US? Will Black Panther get a IW boost? Let us know on Twitter at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week’s Rank Film US Gross so far Budget Jumpcut’s prediction Weekend drop Week no. BoxOfficeMojo’s prediction
1 Avengers: Infinity War $300m+ $240m 1 $230m
2 1 A Quiet Place $136.3m $17m $11.7m -44% 4 $10.2m
3 2 Rampage $70m $120m $8.2m -59% 3 $9m
4 3 I Feel Pretty $20.3m $32m $7.5m -53% 2 $8.9m
5 4 Super Troopers 2 $17.9m $4.4m $5.7m -62.5% 2 $5.9m
6 8 Black Panther $683.1m $200m $5.6m +15% 11 $2.9m
7 7 Blockers $49.9m $21m $3.4m -50% 4 $3.4m
8 5 Truth or Dare $31.8m $3.5m $3.2m -59% 3 $3.7m
9 6 Ready Player One $127.9m $175m $3.2m -57% 5 $3.4m
10 9 Isle of Dogs $4.9m $2m -42% 2 $1.7m

Weekend BO Results: ‘Super Troopers 2’ Steals The Show As ‘A Quiet Place’ Sneaks Back To #1

Written by Dapo Olowu

What do you get when you make an R-rated sequel to a 2002 cult classic, that made under $20m domestically, and opened in only 2,000 cinemas? Well, you get a film making a ground-breaking $15.2m in 3 days, absolutely smashing pre-release estimates (including ours).

Yes, ‘Super Troopers 2’, which came in at number 4 in the Box Office charts this weekend, smashed the $5m-$6m 3-day prediction in its first official night, with $7.95m in the bank on Friday. I can’t stress enough how well this film has done; with 1,400 cinemas less than ‘Zoolander 2’ (and with an R-rating), ‘Super Troopers 2’ still made $1m more in its opening weekend (and is just $3.2m short of the entire domestic total of the first ‘Super Troopers’ film in 2002). Incredible.

Jumping to the top of the leaderboard now, it was ‘A Quiet Place’, starring John Krasinski and Emily Blunt, that crept back into first place with $20.9m. It fought off tough competition with ‘Rampage’, with the two just $800k apart in this weekend’s results. The burgeoning rivalry ends, however, when comparing domestic totals: as ‘A Quiet Place’ is now the 2nd biggest film of the year in the U.S., with $131.3m, it’s sitting pretty worldwide at $206m, with ‘Get Out’ ($255m) and ‘Split’ ($278.5m) firmly in its sights. This is a much-needed win for Paramount Studios, who haven’t seen a film hit these domestic heights since ‘Star Trek: Beyond’ made $158.8m back in 2016.

Let’s not take anything away from ‘Rampage’, though. With just a 44% drop this weekend (better than the 2nd weekend fall of ‘Tarzan’, a summer movie and all), it’s succeeding in its attempt to make as much money as possible before the juggernaut that is ‘Infinity War’ drops in a few days. This is the case internationally too, as it topped non-US markets with a solid $57m from 61 countries. Worldwide, its total of $283.3m (including $65.6m in the US, and $56m in China) is a brilliant return on its $120m investment so far, and it should break-even if it makes around $100m more.

I Feel Pretty’ came in 3rd with a little over $16m. Although it’s Amy Schumer’s worst opening yet (continuing a discouraging downwards trend), we need to remember that a $16m opening from a $32m budget isn’t the worst start in the world. It faired well with its target audience too, (under-18s gave it an A+ on Cinemascore), hopefully indicating a decent Box Office run to come. Another female-focused movie, ‘Truth or Dare’, performed as predicted and dropped by around 60% in its 2nd weekend. The frontloaded-horror is performing similarly to other teen-oriented scares like ‘Unfriended’ and ‘Happy Death Day’, and will probably finish with a domestic total of around $38m-$41m.

Two films that held up surprisingly well this weekend were ‘Ready Player One’ and ‘Blockers’, with their smallest weekend drops to date (35.6% and 36.5%) showing that drops in cinema counts aren’t as impactful as first imagined. The same can be said for ‘Black Panther’, whose remarkable 15% drop this week leaves it with a strong chance to remain in the Box Office’s top 10 when ‘Infinity War’ comes out. The last time 2 films of the same franchise were in the top ten? Ten years ago. The films? ‘Iron Man’ and ‘The Incredible Hulk’. The power of the MCU, eh?

Finally, ‘Traffik’ impressed in only 1,000 cinemas with a respectable $3.9m opening, and ‘Isle of Dogs’ dropped by just 37% to post a 3-day cume of $3.5m. The big question now is, how will all of these fair when ‘The Avengers: Infinity War’ hits American cinemas on Friday? I’ll be back before the weekend with my predictions, but feel free to let us know yours on Twitter at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week Rank Film Weekend Gross Total U.S. Gross Weekend drop Jumpcut’s prediction Difference Week number
1 2 A Quiet Place $20.9m $131.3m -36.6% $22.4m $1.5m 3
2 1 Rampage $20.1m $65.7m -43.8% $21.1m $1m 2
3 I Feel Pretty $16m $16m $13.5m $2.5m 1
4 Super Troopers 2 $15.2m $15.2m $5m $10.2m 1
5 3 Truth or Dare $7.8m $30.3m -58.3% $7.1m $0.7m 2
6 4 Ready Player One $7.4m $126.1m -35.6% $5.8m $1.6m 4
7 5 Blockers $6.8m $48.1m -36.5% $5.1m $1.7m 3
8 6 Black Panther $4.9m $681.4m -14.6% $3.9m $1m 10
9 Traffik $3.9m $3.9m $2.7m $1.2m 1
10 7 Isle of Dogs $3.5m $24.4m -36.8% $2.5m $1m 5