JUMPCUT’s Top 10 Films Of 2018

As our 2018 movie window closes, and another one for 2019 is ready to burst open.

Taking a look back over the last 12 months of film and remembering all those big blockbusters, indie treasures and specialist cinema debuts are one thing, but narrowing them all down to just ten of the best is something else.

The staff at JumpCut Online locked themselves away from social media to draw up their own personal ‘Top 1O’. From that, each nominated film was awarded points (1st = 10, 2nd = 9 etc) until a definitive list was formed.

Ladies and gentlemen, for your debating pleasure, here is that list of the JumpCut Online Top 10 of 2018 in ascending order, based on UK release dates.


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#10 – A Star Is Born
[dir. Bradley Cooper]

Jack (Bradley Cooper), a washed-up, alcoholic musician helps young singer Ally (Lady GaGa) find fame with her natural talent. But his demons threaten to send his career and even his life into a into a downward spiral from which there may be no return…

“The first half of the movie may hit some beats you’ll likely expect, but the second half will knock you for six, diving deep into the aftermath of lovesick decisions, all before reaching a devastating conclusion. Despite the pain and the many, many tears, this is a film that demands an immediate revisit as soon as the credits roll. Cooper has landed a masterpiece on his first go. You could say, a star is born.” – Cameron Frew

 

 

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#9- You Were Never Really Here
[dir. Lynne Ramsay]

Joe (Joaquin Phoenix) is a traumatized gun-for-hire who is unafraid of violence. When a job spins out of control, Joe’s nightmares overtake him as a conspiracy is uncovered leading to what may be his death trip or his awakening…

“Truly edge of your seat stuff, and whilst the comparisons with ‘Taxi Driver’ kind of write themselves, it is still amazing on its own merit. Joaquin Phoenix gives an electric, and possibly career-best performance…this is one of the most genuinely thrilling films in a long time, and one which packs a mean punch into a relatively short space. An explosive, and unmissable film.”Sarah Buddery

 

 

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#8 – Avengers: Infinity War
[dirs. Joe & Anthony Russo]

Earth’s mightiest heroes, The Avengers, must reach out to their allies in order to unite and stop Thanos (Josh Brolin), a powerful warlord intent on acquiring the Infinity Stones and using them to wipe out half of all beings in the galaxy and change things forever…

“At its best is epic, emotional and very, very shocking. It has impressive set pieces and of course it’s very funny. The few faults it does have are going to be down purely to the viewer. A knowledge of all that has happened before is essential. This is not the film for newbies….overall this was worth the wait.”Dave Curtis

 

 

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#7 – Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse
[dirs. Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey]

Young teenager Miles Morales is involved in a freak accident and becomes Spider-Man. When the evil Kingpin creates a powerful machine that blends alternate dimensions, he crosses paths with five Spider-People from other dimensions who must work together and save all of their worlds…

“It’s a universal story that can be loved by everyone, filled with beautifully touching moments for both comic book and non-comic book fans alike, great laughs, and some pretty great music. This movie really showcases what minds like Steve Ditko and Stan Lee saw in these characters and what they wanted to express; a mask is a mask, but what really matters is who is underneath it – and that could be anyone.”Fernando Andrade

 

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#6 – The Shape Of Water
[dir. Guillermo del Toro]

At a top secret research facility in 1960s America, Elisa, (Sally Hawkins) a lonely janitor, forms a unique relationship with an amphibious creature (Doug Jones) that is being held in captivity by the brutal Richard Strickland (Michael Shannon) who wants to unlock super-human secrets to use against America’s enemies…

“Utterly magical in every sense of the word, and “more” than what you could wish for in all conceivable ways….with incredible performances, absolutely stunning visuals (special nod to the underwater scenes which are totally breathtaking), masterful direction, and a unique and memorable story, ‘The Shape of Water’ deserves to be looked back on with the same fondness and reverence that ‘Pan’s Labyrinth’ is. A modern masterpiece, and a truly spectacular film.”Sarah Buddery

 

 

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#5 – First Man
[dir. Damien Chazelle]

American astronaut Neil Armstrong (Ryan Gosling) and his wife Janet (Claire Foy) must deal with pressure at work and at home when he is offered a historic NASA space mission; to become the first man to walk on the Moon. But pre-flight tests and training don’t come easy, with many highs and lows that push Neil, and the mission, almost to breaking point…

“Stunning. It’s an astounding achievement for a young director on the winning streak of his life; it has two award-worthy leading performances; it’s gorgeous to look at; it’s amazing to listen to; and it’s an utterly overwhelming experience. See it on the biggest, loudest screen you can. Chazelle, you’ve done it again.”Rhys Bowen-Jones

 

 

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#4 – Phantom Thread
[dir. Paul Thomas Anderson]

Set in 1950s London, Reynolds Woodcock (Daniel Day-Lewis) is a renowned dressmaker whose fastidious life is disrupted by a young, strong-willed woman, Alma (Vicky Krieps), who becomes his muse and lover and who turns his view on life, and himself, upside down…

“When it comes down to it, ‘Phantom Thread’ is surprisingly quotable, cinematically very pleasing and a joy to watch. The cast all share strong chemistry and with a little help from Johnny Greenwood, Paul Thomas Anderson has created another excellent film which sits very nicely with his back catalogue. If this is Daniel Day-Lewis’ last ever film, then I will happily watch his old films with a smile on my face…but I do hope he changes his mind. He is just too good. He has loads left in the tank.”Dave Curtis

 

 

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#3 – Hereditary
[dir. Ari Aster]

After the family matriarch passes away, a grieving family is haunted by tragic and disturbing occurrences, and begin to unravel dark secrets. The mother, Annie (Toni Collette), begins to see her family slow fall apart, and while she is the only one who can hold them together, the supernatural powers surrounding them become too strong to contain…

“There are clear inspirations from classics such as Rosemary’s Baby and The Omen (and even 2011’s much underrated Kill List). And like those fondly remembered shockers, Aster’s film isn’t perfect – it’s a little overlong, occasionally fumbling around the good stuff towards the end… An outstandingly horrifying achievement from a debut filmmaker, Hereditary is a classic in the making, built on rock-solid, terrifying, atmospheric terror.”Cameron Frew

 

 

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#2 – Roma
[dir. Alfonso Cuarón]

Set in the early 1970s in Mexico City, we follows the life of live-in housekeeper Cleodegaria “Cleo” (Yalitza Aparicio) to an upper-class family. It tells the story of situations; the life Cleo and her family face in and around Mexico City at a time when living and providing was nothing but a struggle for most…

“Visually striking, aurally immersive and emotionally captivating, ‘Roma’ is undoubtedly one of the finest films of the year and arguably Cuarón’s best film. It is certainly his most personal film, and the labour of love that this film represents permeates through every single frame. With exceptional performances, beautiful imagery, and the finest sound design in recent years, ‘Roma’ isn’t just a film which deserves to be seen on the big screen, it is one which deserves to be heard on the big screen. It bears repeating: ‘Roma’ is a masterpiece.” – Sarah Buddery

 

 

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#1 – Mission: Impossible – Fallout
[dir. Christopher McQuarrie]

IMF agent Ethan Hunt (Tom Cruise) and his allies must race against time to find a deadly crime syndicate intent on throwing the world into chaos. CIA agent August Walker (Henry Cavill) is also on hand to make sure IMF can do the job in hand when it becomes clear there is a mole within their ranks…

“Not only is ‘Fallout’ fun to watch, but it is also technically brilliant. From the score to the cinematography and the stunt work, it’s amazing to think about the hours of hard work the crew have had to put in to make a movie like this. They are the real MVP’s. I salute them…It is a proper popcorn flick which only has a few minor flaws. To think this franchise has been going for 22 years and it still feels this fresh and new is a testament to the director and star. I can’t imagine what they have in store for Mission Impossible 7. Surely only outer space beckons now.” – Dave Curtis


So there we have it. Agree or not, that’s the consensus for the Top 10 best films of 2018 from a team who, between them, have probably watched all that has been on offer.

Films that narrowly missed out a spot include ‘Beast’, ‘Black Panther’, ‘Isle Of Dogs’, ‘A Prayer Before Dawn’ and ‘Bohemian Rhapsody’.

We can’t wait to do it all again next year for the barnstorming 2019 offerings ahead!

The Highly Anticipated First Trailer For ‘Avengers: ENDGAME’ Has Arrived!

Directed by: Joe & Anthony Russo
Starring: Robert Downey Jr, Chris Evans, Mark Ruffalo, Scarlett Johannson, Elizabeth Olsen, Paul Bettany, Chris Hemsworth, Tom Hiddleston, Chadwick Boseman, Letitia Wright, Danai Gurira, Sebastian Stan, Winston Duke, Josh Brolin, Chris Pratt, Zoe Saldana, Tom Holland, Paul Rudd, Benedict Cumberbatch, Vi Diesel, Pom Klementieff, Jeremy Renner, Jon Favreau, Benedict Wong, Sean Gunn, Anthony Mackie, Don Cheadle, Dave Bautista, Bradley Cooper

Ant-Man & The Wasp

Year: 2018
Directed by: Peyton Reed
Starring: Paul Rudd, Evangeline Lilly, Michael Douglas, Michelle Pfeiffer, Michael Peña, Walton Goggins, Laurence Fishburne, Hannah John-Kamen, Abby Ryder Forston

WRITTEN BY CHRIS GELDERD

This 2018 American superhero film is the sequel to 2015’s ‘Ant-Man’ and the twentieth film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU). It is directed by Peyton Reed and stars Paul Rudd, Evangeline Lilly, Michael Peña, Michael Douglas, Hannah John-Kamen, Walton Goggins, Laurence Fishburne, Abby Ryder Fortson, Randall Park and Michelle Pfeiffer.

One of the most under-rated Marvel superheroes launched in 2015 with his big-screen debut, bringing together a solid cast and adding more pieces to the MCU puzzle. In ‘Captain America: Civil War’, Ant-Man stole the show by becoming Giant-Man in an all to brief but highly entertaining appearance. Now it’s time for the inevitable sequel; one that not only surpasses the original, but lets core Marvel values shine brightly in a franchise currently clouded by recent doom and gloom.

Grab your popcorn and kick back. It’s time to have some fun once again.

This film belongs to Paul Rudd and Evangeline Lilly – it’s a film about partnership, about family, friendship and being. It’s ‘Ant-Man & The Wasp‘; equal heading, equal footing on marketing and everything in-between. Rudd doesn’t need to try too hard to be humorous, but he still manages to do it in a very heartfelt and endearing way, making Scott Lang stand out as one of the Marvel heroes simply wearing a super suit and uses his heart, head, and honour to fight evil, rather than gifted God-like superpowers.

On the other side of this duo, Evangeline Lilly holds her own across the whole film. She is ballsy, brainy and badass.  She’s a real humane hero who doesn’t become a damsel in distress. She clearly takes care of herself when the heat is turned up and, along with Rudd, shows some real heart and emotion that pushes the core themes forward. Rudd and Lily are equal, neither have greater ability than the other when it comes down to fighting the good fight, and none of them are there as a spare tool. It’s equality, and then some, and so much more enjoyable for it with them being together. The trailer used lyrics It takes two to make a thing go right. It takes two to make it outta’ sight.” Never a truer phrase in this case.

With a stellar supporting cast including veterans Michael Douglas (who has even more to do this time around thankfully) and the amusing guilty-pleasure comedy of Michael Peña who all add to the story rather than be expendable, new faces also add to the overall quality. Laurence Fishburne helps expand character relations and morals, Walton Goggins as our charming black market bad guy for hire and Michelle Pfeiffer as the original Wasp and wife of Hank.

Young Abby Ryder Forston as Cassie, Lang’s daughter, shines with as much warmth and wit as Rudd in her scenes and is a joy to see on screen. But it is Hannah John-Kamen who strikes a chord as Ava Starr – our ‘Ghost’ – who has a molecular instability thanks to reasons left to be discovered. She’s pushed as the villain of the piece, but is she? Director Peyton Reed tiptoes towards MCU cliché in her goals and actions, but each time pulls back from the brink to give us something a little different and unexpected. Her story is a sad one and while she is highly dangerous in what she does and why, it’s the journey she takes mirroring the heroes that add some great moments and thrills, thrills that come thick and fast, and help define “popcorn entertainment”.

We have a brilliantly choreographed car chase that involve trucks, motorbikes, Pez dispensers and Hot Wheels racers. We have a hotel lobby and kitchen fight, once more perfectly choreographed, that showcases Lily in full force. We also have eye-popping ‘Doctor Strange’-esque quantum realm travel and bone-crunching hand to hand combat. The whole pace of the movie is perfect, and the action compliments each development and progresses everything and everyone without being pointless.

There isn’t the need for city-wide destruction and mass genocide here. It’s a family-friendly film, but one that harkens a little more to classic Marvel themes before the stakes were as high as they could be and it felt things had peaked. ‘Ant-Man & The Wasp’ takes the threat of Thanos out of the equation for a couple of hours and reduces all pointless cameos and Avenger interaction to give Ant-Man both a fair stand-alone sequel but also presenting new ideas for the future of the franchise.

The humour is on top form where you will find yourself chuckling along a lot of the time without even knowing it thanks to the snappy character exchanges. Yet, fear not, the movie isn’t stupid nor does it rely on infantile humour to get the laughs. There is a lot of heart to this film – the narrative is more about family and faith over Infinity Stones and nuclear wars – so you will certainly be able to invest in the characters, what they do and why.

Another strong reason this film seems to make great leaps forward to Marvel is the visual effects that stand amongst the best in the current franchise. There is no need for constant green screen and masses of CGI locations thanks to keeping things Earth based with practical sets and effects. The stand-out moments are the shrinking and enlarging of Ant-Man and Wasp. Split second transformations in the middle of breakneck fights are seamless and fluid, with the environment and characters reacting accordingly. Nothing feels jarred or loose. It’s tight, imaginative, entertaining and exciting. And when Ant-Man loses control of his suit’s regulator, there’s just more good fun to be had.

Ant-Man & The Wasp’ doesn’t try to compete with the juggernaut of ‘Infinity War’, it instead does the wise thing and distances itself far from it. If the bar to judge all MCU films hinges on ‘IW’, then you’ll find you miss out on these smaller gems that expand the forgotten heroes and their own stories.

However, for the ones who are worried, then don’t be. Events of ‘Infinity War’ are referenced in the film. How? When? You’ll have to find out for yourself and watch that Marvel cloud of doom and gloom smother the care-free fun you just had.

CHRIS’ RATING:

5

Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Incredibles 2’ Hints At A Record-Breaking Opening Worth the 14 Year Wait

Written by Dapo Olowu

What’s new?

It’s taken well over a decade for Brad Bird and Pixar to release a sequel to the 2004 sensation ‘The Incredibles’, and ‘Incredibles 2’ looks to blast the animated opening weekend record to shreds. The current record of $135.1m was set by ‘Finding Dory’ in 2016, another Disney sequel that built upon the anticipation following one of the most popular animated films of all time. The edge that ‘Incredibles 2’ has over ‘Finding Dory’, however, is that a) it’s following a film that had always hinted toward a sequel, and b) it’s a superhero film in an age where caped crusaders regularly top the Box Office charts. From this, we believe ‘Incredibles 2’ will make around $150m in its first 3 days.

Making a sequel 14 years later does pose problems; retirement caused Jonathan Banks to replace Bud Luckey as the voice of Rick Dicker, while young Dash’s voice artist, Spencer Fox, is now too old to play a child. The World Cup kicking off on the same weekend also brings strong competition for viewers. However, a 95% on Rotten Tomatoes (and the fact that the USA didn’t even qualify) hints that the only thing that’s truly changed from its predecessor, was dropping ‘The’ from the title.

In a potential triumph in counter-programming, star-studded comedy, ‘Tag’, opens in over 3,300 cinemas in the U.S. this weekend — and hopes to use the unique premise to its advantage. It stars (amongst many others) Jeremy Renner, Jon Hamm, Hannibal Burress, and Annabelle Wallis, and is a completely different type of offering to the family-friendly (and millennial darling) ‘Incredibles 2’. First time director Jeff Tomsic helms this $28m production, which aims to emulate ‘Central Intelligence’s opening (on the same weekend as record-breakingFinding Dory’) and make around $35m. No chance here though, as its R-rating puts it in the camp of this year’s ‘Game Night’, and a bunch of others in the mid-teens region. Therefore, an opening of around $15m is likely, and it’ll look to hone in on a male, over-25 audience in the coming weeks — one that won’t have too much competition until ‘Sicario 2’ at the end of June.

Finally, there’s action crime film ‘Superfly’, which actually opened on Wednesday to avoid a complete collapse against ‘Incredibles 2’. Unfortunately, the plan backfired as it only brought in around $1.2m from its opening day. The remake of the 1972 Blaxploitation film, ‘Super Fly’, stars Jason Mitchell, Rick Ross, and Michael K. Williams, and is produced by rapper, Future. What it will inevitably lack in Box Office numbers (not helped by a 53% on Rotten Tomatoes), it’ll at least make up for in catchy songs (the soundtrack features everybody from Future to Miguel), and a stylistic look, as Director X (known for many famous music videos) takes charge. We’re not expecting this to really take off, and will only see around $4.5m from Friday to Sunday.

What else is on?

Ocean’s 8’ looks to cement second place with around $20.8m, a 50% drop from last weekend. Its daily changes almost mirror that of ‘Ghostbusters’, which saw a 54% fall in its second weekend. Superhero flick, ‘Deadpool 2’ looks to close in on the $300m domestic mark and, although it won’t hit it this week, a $7.5m gross will aid its pursuit. ‘Incredibles 2’ won’t affect it too much, but it will see a massive impact on ‘Solo’, which could have a large chunk of its audience lost to the animated blockbuster. A gross around $6.3m is similar to what we believe ‘Hereditary’ will land in its second weekend, showing that audiences weren’t as put off as its Cinemascore suggests. Although horrors are quite a front-loaded genre, ‘Hereditary’ should take advantage of a summer that promises a leggy run.

Next is ‘Infinity War’, which recently became the first ever comic book movie to make $2bn worldwide. Its run in recent weekends has been particularly impressive and will continue in the face of superhero competition, with a $4m gross. Finally, we have ‘Book Club’ with an estimated $2.8m, and ‘Adrift’, which barely remains afloat on $2.6m.

Is ‘Incredibles 2going to break the animated opening record, or will it fall just short of ‘Finding Dory’? Let us know your thoughts on Twitter and Instagram – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

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Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Oceans 8’ To Steal Top Spot From ‘Solo’, Which May Not Even Finish Second

 

Written by Dapo Olowu

What’s new?

Ocean’s 8’ hit the screens of over 4,000 U.S. cinemas on Friday, 11 years to the day since the last of the original trilogy opened to moviegoers. The gender-swapped crime caper joins a prestigious family of films boasting over $1bn worldwide, and with the average opening weekend gross being $38m, ‘Ocean’s 8’ looks to become the first to open above the $40m mark. Similarly, 2016s ‘Ghostbusters’, which famously swapped out an all-male cast for women, got off to a $46m start, but ultimately failed to get going at the Box Office with just $229.1m from a $144m budget. ‘Ocean’s 8’s more stream-lined $70m production cost means that a similar opening (and gross) would be solid return and has the added benefit of not being plagued with pre and post-release negativity. Regardless it’ll fall just short of the target, with an opening closer to around $41m.

Indie studio A24 release original horror ‘Hereditary’ this weekend, and its 94% on Rotten Tomatoes suggests they’ve yet again struck critical gold. However, it’s when attempting to reach the same heights commercially that A24 seem to falter, with their biggest domestic hit so far being last year’s Oscar-nominated ‘Lady Bird’, with only $49m. ‘Hereditary’ wants to buck the trend, and although it contains a cast not as star-studded as ‘Lady Bird’, it does include rising star Alex Wolff (‘My Friend Dahmer’, ‘Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle’) and Golden Globe winner Toni Collette. Another plus is its release size; ‘Hereditary’ looks to scare in a record number of theatres for A24 with a shade under 3,000, and from this should break A24’s opening weekend gross record of $8.8m, made by ‘The Witch’ in February 2016. Using that horror’s per-cinema average (and then some) gives ‘Hereditary’ a strong 3-day total of $13m, for the third biggest horror opening of the year, behind ‘A Quiet Place’ and ‘Insidious: The Last Key’.

Finally, we have ‘Hotel Artemis’ which, like the other new releases, also boasts an A-List cast, with Jodie Foster, Sterling K. Brown, Sofia Boutella, Jeff Goldblum, and Dave Bautista just some of the names gracing the film. Unlike the other new releases however, ‘Hotel Artemis’ is the only one housing a rotten rating on the Tomatometer (currently 57%), and its these middling reviews that’ll inevitably hurt its Box Office run in the midst of heavy blockbuster and audience competition. It’s a real shame, as ‘Hotel Artemis’ perhaps should’ve opened on a weekend where most of its audience wouldn’t be drawn to watching ‘Hereditary’, and when behemoths ‘The Incredibles 2’ and ‘Jurassic World 2’ wouldn’t open within days of its release. From all of this, it’s clear that ‘Hotel Artemis’, with dreams of opening with numbers similar to ‘John Wick’ and ‘Atomic Blonde’s grosses, will unfortunately flop like ‘Sin City: A Dame to Kill For’, which opened to $6.3m in August 2014. Using a similar per-cinema average gives ‘Hotel Artemis’ an underwhelming start of around $5m.

What else is on?

This weekend sees ‘Solo’ close in on the $300m global mark, with a third domestic weekend total of $13.8m enough for it to drop to only second place. ‘Jurassic World’s recent international release means ‘Solo’ will drop like a stone outside the U.S., meaning its final gross most likely won’t even see $350m. Comparing this with ‘Deadpool 2’ makes for even sorrier reading, as a $12.8m gross this weekend will leave the merc with the mouth just $20m short of reaching that same $300m mark domestically. Currently the 2018s 3rd biggest film both in the U.S. and globally, I wouldn’t bet against ‘Deadpool 2’ doubling ‘Solo’s final gross.

The weekend drops for ‘Infinity War’ have lessened every weekend and this trend is set to continue. We’re predicting a gross of $6.8m, enough for the film to leapfrog ‘Jurassic World’ into 5th spot on the all-time domestic list, with $655m. ‘Adrift’ will follow closely behind, dropping by around 50% for a $6m gross. The hope here is that ‘Ocean’s 8’ doesn’t eat into its audience members, which also goes for the evergreen ‘Book Club’, that will continue its great run by only dropping 35% for a $4.7m total. BH Tilt’s horror ‘Upgrade’ won’t avoid its studio’s front-loaded trend and, coupled with ‘Hereditary’ being a director competitor, will see a pretty big drop to gross $2m, the same amount as our number 10, ‘Life of the Party’.

What do you think? Will ‘Ocean’s 8’ sink or swim this weekend? Will ‘Deadpool 2’ beat ‘Solo’? Let us know your thoughts and opinions – we’re on Twitter and Instagram at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

 

Rank Last Week’s Rank Film US Gross so far Budget Jumpcut’s prediction Weekend drop Week no. BoxOfficeMojo’s prediction Deadline’s Prediction Variety’s Prediction
1 Ocean’s 8 $70m $41m 1 $45m $40m $33m-$40m
2 1 Solo: A Star Wars Story $161m $300m+ $13.8m -53% 3 $14.5m $13m $11m-$15m
3 Hereditary $10m $13m 1 $12m $5m-$9m $5m-$9m
4 2 Deadpool 2 $265m $110m $12.8m -45% 4 $13m
5 4 Avengers: Infinity War $647.9m $300m $6.8m -35% 7 $6m
6 3 Adrift $16.7m $35m $6m -48% 2 $7.3m
7 Hotel Artemis $5m 1 $5m $5m-$9m $5m-$9m
8 5 Book Club $52.7m $10m $4.7m -33% 4 $4.6m
9 6 Upgrade $7m $3m-$5m $2m -57% 2 $2.5m
10 7 Life of the Party $48.2m $30m $2m -43% 5 $1.9m

 

Weekend BO Results: ‘Solo’ is DOA As ‘Infinity War’ Closes In On $2 Billion

Written by Dapo Olowu

If there was a lesson to be learned from ‘Solo’ bombing at the Box Office this weekend (and trust me, there are lessons), it’s that no franchise or property, however popular, is fully immune to disappointing returns. The late promotion, effects of a polarising ‘The Last Jedi’, mediocre reviews, poor release date, and a story that audiences never really asked for in the first place took its toll on the ‘Star Wars’ franchise – giving solo a 3-day opening of just $84.4m. The poor opening is further cemented by an International gross of just $68.2m; to put this into perspective, even March’s ‘Pacific Rim: Uprising’ opened abroad to $122.4m.

But what do these numbers mean? How can we already tell that ‘Solo’ is a Box Office bomb? Let’s have a look at its budget. We already know it’s the most expensive ‘Star Wars’ film of all time, but with Deadline recently reporting its production cost (before advertising charges, mind you) at well over $300m, ‘Solo’ is officially one of the most expensive films ever, and will thus need around $700m+ to break-even. From this, we can determine that a global opening of just over $150m does not cut it. We’re looking at ‘Solo’ finishing below $500m worldwide, losing well over $200m, making it one of the biggest Box Office flops of all time. It’s incredible. Just 2 and a half years ago, Disney released the biggest domestic film ever, and have now dropped a film in the same franchise that won’t even be the biggest film of the month.

We don’t want to revel in Disney’s failure here, but, there lingers a belief that Disney keeping its December release for ‘Solo’ would’ve at least ensured better Box Office legs, as well as causing potential competition to move their own release dates away. Instead, we have legitimised fears of ‘Star Wars’ fatigue, and serious questions over the future spinoffs (yes, including you Boba Fett) planned for the franchise. This, of course, comes after the $100m-budget ‘A Wrinkle In Time’ brought in just $129m worldwide recently, enough for losses well over $100m. A small consolation? Disney and Lucasfilm now have 1.5 years until ‘Episode 9’ to steer their wayward ship, and ensure profits continue for a potentially troubled franchise.

Solo’ wasn’t the only story of the Memorial Day weekend however, as ‘Deadpool 2’ dropped by 65% to pull in just $43.5m. We warned about the front-loaded sequel curse in our predictions on Friday, but this was a full $10m under our expectations. Still, its 4-day weekend total of $53.8m pushes its domestic grossing up to $218.5m, and globally it sits just a shade under the $500m mark. From a budget of $110m, Marvel are proving that R-rated franchises can also be money-makers if done well.

Next, we have ‘Infinity War’ which really benefited from ‘Solo’s weak performance, dropping by just 41% from last weekend. Now just $86m away from becoming the 4th film to ever reach $2bn, it passed ‘The Avengers’ domestically this weekend to claim 6th spot in the U.S. all-time charts. Although it won’t reach ‘Black Panther’ (which is still struggling to hit the $700m mark), Disney & Marvel studios will likely end the year with 2 of their 2018 releases in the domestic top 5 of all time.

One of the best performances of the weekend, Paramount’s ‘Book Club’, brought in a solid $10.1m in its 2nd week of release. It’s domestic total of $35.3m already gives it an opening weekend multiplier of 2.6x, putting it on track to be the one of the leggiest films of the year. ‘I Can Only Imagine’, the Christian biopic from mid-March, currently leads the pack with a 4.9x multiplier, but by the same point in its Box Office run as ‘Book Club’, it had a 2.2x multiplier. Paramount will be hoping that their rom-com continues this trend, and with the summer finally here, it’s looking likely to do so.

Life of the Party’ and ‘Breaking In’ both exceeded expectations by bringing in $5.4m and $4.3m each – their best drops yet. The Memorial Day weekend boosted this, as the big tentpole release this weekend had no impact on their audiences. Although the $30m budget may prove to be too costly for the Melissa McCarthy comedy (which is currently at $48.5m globally), the Will Packer-produced ‘Breaking In’, starring Gabrielle Union, is potentially looking at breaking-even soon, as it’s made $40m from just a $6m investment.

Show Dogs’ is performing eerily similarly to 2016s ‘Nine Lives’ (both had 2nd weekend % drops in their mid-40s), showing that the kids are pretty consistent with the whole talking-animals-in-a-poorly-reviewed-family-comedy thing (well, that isn’t ‘Alvin & The Chipmunks’). With only $12m in the bank domestically, this can officially be classed a Box Office bomb. That can’t be said for the comedy ‘Overboard’, which only dropped 32% for a $43m domestic haul, even after losing over 600 cinemas. Similarly, ‘A Quiet Place’ lost 800 and is officially coming to the end of its domestic run, pulling in $2.4m. Its worldwide gross of $312.5m has surely exceeded expectations, and from just a $17m budget, it sits alongside ‘Black Panther’ and ‘Solo’ as 2018s biggest Box Office shock. Finally, ‘RBG’ (still in limited release) grossed $1.3m for the 10th and final spot.

There we have it. ‘Solo’ bombs, ‘Infinity War’ continues its ascent, and ‘Book Club’ begins to really impress. What will happen next week, when 3 new releases enter the picture? Let us know your thoughts on Twitter and Instagram – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

 

Rank Last Week Rank Film Total U.S. Gross Weekend Gross

(4-day weekend)

Weekend drop

(4-day weekend)

Jumpcut’s prediction

(4-day weekend)

Difference (4-day weekend) Week number
1 Solo: A Star Wars Story $103m $84.4m

($103m)

$85m

($103.7m)

$0.6m

($0.7m)

1
2 1 Deadpool 2 $218.5m $43.5m

($53.8m)

-65.4%

(-57.1%)

$53m $9.5m 2
3 2 Avengers: Infinity War $627.6m $17.3m

(22.4m)

-41.3%

(-23.8%)

$14.7m $2.6m 5
4 3 Book Club $35.3m $10.1m

($13.1m)

-25.8%

(-3.4%)

$9m $1.1m 2
5 4 Life of the Party $40.9m $5.4m

($6.9m)

-29.3%

(-9.6%)

$3.8m $1.6m 3
6 5 Breaking In $37.1m $4.3m

($5.5m)

-37.2%

(-19.4%)

$2.7m $1.6m 3
7 6 Show Dogs $11.9m $3.3m

($4.3m)

-45.8%

(-28.1%)

$2.8m $0.5m 2
8 7 Overboard $42.6m $3.1m

($4.1m)

-32.3%

(-10.5%)

$2.4m $0.7m 4
9 8 A Quiet Place $180.8m $2.4m

($3.1m)

-38.3%

(-20.6%)

$2.6m $0.2m 8
10 12 RBG $6.2m $1.3m

($1.7m)

+2.8%

(+37.8%)

$1m $0.3m 4

 

Weekend BO Predictions: Han And The Gang Ride Solo This Weekend As The Lone Release Aims For The Top Spot

 

Written by Dapo Olowu

The blockbusters just keep coming. Following the Marvel double of ‘Infinity War’ and ‘Deadpool’ gracing our screens in recent weeks, it’s Lucasfilm’s turn to provide the masses with film fodder, as ‘Solo: A Star Wars Story’ looks to break a Memorial Day opening weekend record and maintain the ‘Star Wars’ brand as Box Office dynamite. Meanwhile, ‘Deadpool 2’ looks to gain ground on its predecessor, and ‘Infinity War’ edges closer to $1.9bn globally – but will this holiday weekend grant their wishes?

So, what’s opening this weekend?

Much has been made of the production of ‘Solo’ – the rumours alone could provide quite a compelling behind-the-scenes documentary (get on it, Disney). If the story wasn’t the strange late promotional push for the film (we got its first trailer during February’s SuperBowl), it was about the on-set troubles, resulting in a directorial change and around 80% of the film reshot. The media, fans, and the general public had every right to ask questions; the reshoots alone almost doubled the budget, giving the film a rumoured cost of $250m – the most expensive ‘Star Wars’ film of all time. Ron Howard’s efforts led the film, based on beloved smuggler Han Solo, to an okay 69% on Rotten Tomatoes, placing it between ‘Revenge of the Sith’ and ‘Attack of the Clones’ as the 8th best (or 4th worst) received in the franchise.

The release date wasn’t seen to be a great idea, either.

Moving the release from its now-expected December slot (which this year, by the way, is full of competition like ‘Aquaman’ andMary Poppins Returns’) to May meant that its battling ‘Deadpool 2’s second weekend, as well as ‘Infinity War’, currently the 4th biggest film ever. This, remember, comes just 5 months after the release of ‘The Last Jedi’, one of the most polarising blockbusters in history; a film that left as many ‘Star Wars’ fans jumping for joy as it left others enraged. Coupled with the fact that Disney’s recent Memorial Day weekend history (‘Tomorrowland’, ‘Pirates of the Caribbean 5’, ‘Alice Through the Looking Glass’) have all flopped to varying degrees, it’s very likely that this’ll be the lowest Star Wars opening of the Disney era. ‘Solo’ probably won’t even reach the $1bn mark – a milestone every ‘Star Wars’ film (adjusted for inflation) has achieved – especially with China’s growing dislike of the films.

The 4-day weekend does provide a platform for the film to attract a summer crowd and boost those opening numbers, but there’s a sense of dread with this film that I haven’t felt for a movie in a franchise since ‘Justice League’ opened to a lowly $93.8m in November. The 4-day weekend record of $139.8m set by ‘Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End’, way back in 2007, is out of the question, with ‘Solo’ looking to miss the $100m mark in its first 3 days. A bit of maths would tell you that historically, this weekend’s extra day gives around a 20-22% bump from the 3-day total. So, if our estimates are correct, and we’re looking at ‘Solo’ opening close to ‘Days of Future Past’, a 3-day total of $85m for the first 3 days, and thus around $103.7m for its 4-day weekend. Make no mistake about it. This is bad news.

What else is showing?

After failing to break its own R-rated opening weekend record in the States last weekend, ‘Deadpool 2’ now has to contend with ‘Solo’ potentially attracting chunks of its audience, as well as the dreaded front-loaded sequel effect, where the second weekend drop increases from the previous film, due to the stronger fanbase clambering to see the film in its first week. Although holiday will help it regain some ground on ‘Deadpool’, I can see ‘Deadpool 2’ dropping close to 60% this weekend, for a total close to $53m. Another major film to potentially suffer at the hands of ‘Star Wars’ is ‘Infinity War’, which will be enjoying its 5th weekend of release in 3rd place. A 50% drop is on the cards but that won’t matter too much as $1.9bn will be reached in the next few days. After that, ‘Infinity War’ will be closing in on hitting $2bn and may even snatch 3rd place on the all-time list away from ‘The Force Awakens’.

The counter-programming angle has worked well for Paramount this year thus far, with ‘Book Club’ catering to a crowd not historically all-too-fond of spaceships, foul-mouthed anti-heroes, and giant purple monsters with gold gauntlets. From this, we expect a strong hold in its 2nd weekend, similar to ‘My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2’s -37% drop, for a total of around $9m. With that, it’ll reach $30m domestic, with releases in mainland Europe next week to come. Comedy ‘Life of the Party’ should fair slightly better this weekend than last with $3.8m, a 50% fall from last week’s poor showing.

Next is ‘Show Dogs’, which opened very similarly last weekend to another recent anthropomorphic flop ‘Nine Lives’. If that panned flick was anything to go by, ‘Show Dogs’ will be bringing in a paltry $2.8m in its second weekend. This will be closely followed by ‘Breaking In’, which looks to have another 60%-ish fall ($2.7m), and ‘A Quiet Place’, which still has a firm grip on the top ten with a $2.6m gross. With a $300m global take (enough for 9th place worldwide), the film’s also the 5th biggest horror in American history.

Finally, ‘Overboard’ will start to seriously haemorrhage screens to make way for the blockbusters, but will gross a respectable $2.4m, and ‘RBG’ should arise from the ashes to claim 10th spot with around $1m.

What do you think? Will ‘Solo’ get the record? Do you fancy ‘Infinity War’ to beat ‘The Force Awakens’? Let us know on Twitter and Instagram – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

 

Rank Last Week’s Rank Film US Gross so far Budget Jumpcut’s prediction Weekend drop Week no. BoxOfficeMojo’s prediction Deadline’s Prediction Variety’s Prediction
1 Solo: A Star Wars Story $250m $85m

($103.7m 4-day)

1 $108m ($134.2m 4-day) $135m-$170m (4-day) $130m-$150m (4-day)
2 1 Deadpool 2 $158m $110m $53m -58% 2 $53.5m $56m $50m-$60m
3 2 Infinity War $603.3m $300m $14.7m -50% 5 $17.5m
4 3 Book Club $20.3m $10m $9m -34% 2 $10m
5 4 Life of the Party $33.4m $30m $3.8m -50% 3 $4.2m
6 6 Show Dogs $7.3m $5.5m $2.8m -53% 2 $4.4m
7 5 Breaking In $31.1m $6m $2.7m -60% 3 $3.2m
8 8 A Quiet Place $177.4m $17m $2.6m -34% 8 $2.3m
9 7 Overboard $38.2m $12m $2.4m -48% 4 $2.1m
10 12 RBG $4.4m $1m -20% 4 $1.1m

 

Weekend BO Results: ‘Deadpool 2’ Hits Its Ceiling In A Weekend Of Big Box Office Drops

Written by Dapo Olowu

The build-up to the weekend saw one major talking point in particular: would ‘Deadpool 2’ beat ‘Deadpool’s opening weekend record for an R-rated film? We here at Jumpcut were certainly optimistic with our $140m+ prediction, but ‘Deadpool 2’ ultimately came in under the $132.4m target, with a $125.5m gross. Opening a few weeks after direct competition ‘Infinity War’ certainly did it no favours, but what’s most concerning is the realisation that ‘Deadpool’s popularity came from its bold and unique approach to a superhero film; could its sequel ever really recapture that magic in a bottle?

Its drop domestically wasn’t mirrored in the International markets however, where it infact grew to $176.3m – a record for 20th Century Fox. That brings its worldwide opening to a little over $300m, the biggest global opening weekend for an R-rated film, and a massive 3-day return off of a $110m investment. Some fears remain about ‘Deadpool 2’s domestic future, as sequels tend to be more front-loaded due to the early audience demand – but the improved numbers abroad may leave the film with a similar gross to its predecessor 2 years ago.

Next was ‘Infinity War’, which finally left the top spot after grossing $29.5m in its 4th weekend. With an expected 52% drop, eyes will now be looking forward to Friday, when Solo hits and inevitably hurts ‘Infinity War’s revenue some more. Now just $5m away from a $600m domestic total, it’s global cume of $1.8bn makes it the biggest summer movie of all time, as well as having the 3rd biggest overseas gross ever (ahead of ‘Furious 7’ and behind ‘Titanic’ and ‘Avatar’).

Next was Paramount’s ‘Book Club’, impressing us all with a $13.5m take, just $4m under ‘My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2’s opening in 2016. This is Paramount’s second film of the year that’s called upon new directors and original ideas, and the strategy is seemingly paying off, with ‘A Quiet Place’ and now Bill Holderman’s romantic comedy making waves in the Box Office from small budgets. Its A- on Cinemascore also shows it performed pretty well amongst its target audience, which usually translates into stronger Box Office legs.

If you were to think this was going to be another successful week for comedies after ‘Book Club’s decent opening however, ‘Life of the Party’ wants you to think again. In a way, this panned effort by married couple Melissa McCarthy and Ben Falcone was the comedic straw that broke the camel’s back; a drop of around 58% this weekend after ‘Deadpool 2’s release meant it only brought in $7.6m, a far cry from the $10m we originally predicted. That $30m budget isn’t looking like the greatest investment anymore, as this will surely go down as one of McCarthy’s weakest performers. Similarly, ‘Breaking In’ suffered massively and took a fall of 61.3%, a mirror image to 2016’s ‘When the Bough Breaks’ 61.4% drop in its second weekend. It now stands at $31.3m worldwide and will look to end up just over the $40m mark globally by the end of its run.

Show Dogs’ expectedly ended up as the runt of the new litter with a $6m gross this weekend. Remarkably, this was just the second ever film released by studio ‘Global Road’, with the first being the drama ‘Midnight Sun’ from March, which made a respectable $22m off a $2.8m budget. ‘Show Dogs’ couldn’t live up to the unremarkable heights that ‘Midnight Sun’ set, with an opening $3.5m under that and $2m under Will Arnett’s (and Gabriel Iglesias’) last feature, ‘The Nut Job 2’.

The last comedy in the top ten this week is ‘Overboard’, with ‘I Feel Pretty’ having a momentous 66.7% collapse and finishing in 11th. ‘Overboard’ took in $4.6m for a current domestic total of $37m, and global total of $49m. Its worldwide number is just $12m away from ‘How To Be a Latin Lover’s $61.9m gross, a feat achievable if it’s able to perform well against ‘Solo’ this upcoming weekend.

A Quiet Place’ had quite a brilliant time in China this weekend, where it finally opened to $17.5m – enough for 3rd place in their weekend rankings. In the US, it brought home a solid $3.9m in its 7th weekend, finally pushing it ahead of ‘Get Out’s domestic total of $176m with a gross of $176.1m. With $300m being reached sometime this week, this is shaping up to be one of the year’s most impressive Box Office performances.

Finally, we have ‘Rampage’ with a decent $1.6m gross, and for the second week running, a surprise in 10th spot, with ‘Super Troopers 2’ beating the odds by having a 31.7% increase from last weekend (even though it lost 900 cinemas). The reason? Its distributor, 20th Century Fox, decided to promote a double feature between it and ‘Deadpool 2’, allowing it to take home a respectable $1.3m.

What film surprised you this weekend? How will ‘Deadpool 2’ and ‘Infinity War’ do against Solo next week? Let us know your thoughts on Twitter and Instagram – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

 

Rank Last Week Rank Film Total U.S. Gross Weekend Gross Weekend drop Jumpcut’s prediction Difference Week number
1 Deadpool 2 $125.5m $125.5m $143m $17.5m 1
2 1 Avengers: Infinity War $595.8m $29.5m -52.6% $29.8m $0.3m 4
3 Book Club $13.6m $13.6m $12.5m $1.1m 1
4 2 Life of the Party $30.9m $7.6m -57.5% $10m $2.4m 2
5 3 Breaking In $29.1m $6.8m -61.3% $8m $1.2m 2
6 Show Dogs $6m $6m $7m $1m 1
7 4 Overboard $4.6m $4.6m -53.1% $5.9m $1.3m 3
8 5 A Quiet Place $176.1m $3.9m -38.9% $5m $1.1m 7
9 7 Rampage $92.5m $1.6m -54.4% $2.1m $0.5m 6
10 14 Super Troopers 2 $29.1m $1.3m +31.7% 5

Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Deadpool 2’ Looks To Break Its Own Record As ‘Infinity War’ Grabs 4th on All-Time List

Written by Dapo Olowu

It’s exciting times in the Box Office this weekend, with ‘Deadpool 2’ looking to break its own opening record, as well as ‘Infinity War’s recent dominance, to truly usher in the summer movie season. If that wasn’t enough, two more films (‘Book Club’ and ‘Show Dogs’) enter the running on a weekend looking to be as close as ever.

What’s opening this weekend?

It’s safe to say that 2016’s ‘Deadpool’ was a phenomenon; there’s even an entire Wikipedia page solely dedicated to the Box Office records it broke upon its release. The R-rated, $58m, action comedy, by a first-time director, not only became the biggest X-Men film ever, but also had the biggest February opening in the U.S. of all time at $132.4m (before ‘Black Panther’ made $202m this year). So, a sequel was always to be hotly anticipated, but with the release just weeks after ‘Infinity War’, you’d be quickly forgiven to say that excitement for ‘D2’ has been relatively muted.

The fears are justified; long-range tracking had the film opening way below the heights ‘Deadpool’ reached 2 years ago. However, ‘Deadpool 2’ soon began to break pre-sale records, coupled with Ryan Reynolds & Co.’s viral marketing campaigns, and an ever-so-slightly better 84% on Rotten Tomatoes, it quickly established itself as the next big film to see. The sequel aspect is important here too, as it doesn’t need to build an audience like its predecessor did: it already has one. From this (alongside its R-rated record $18.6m from Thursday previews), we’re predicting a stronger opening of over $140m — breaking its own R-rated domestic opening records in the process, and even aiming for the global opening crown too.

Whilst the ‘Deadpool’ franchise thrives on is its edginess and meta-jokes (that are as divisive as they are appealing), this weekend also sees a more traditional release: the romantic comedy ‘Book Club’. Its middling 64% on Rotten Tomatoes shouldn’t deter the older, female audience that it’s primarily intended for, as Hollywood haven’t been fruitful with their options recently. The film, starring Diane Keaton, Jane Fonda, Mary Steenburgen, and Andy Garcia, could well be looking to emulate ‘My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2’, which opened to $17.9m alongside the superhero epic ‘Batman v Superman’ back in March 2016. However, ‘Book Club’ doesn’t have the privilege of being the sequel to the biggest ever romantic comedy of all time, and therefore may only open to around $12m-$13m.

Finally, we have ‘Show Dogs’, which boasts possibly the most ridiculous cast of the year so far, with Ludacris, Will Arnett, Natasha Lyonne, Stanley Tucci, Alan Cumming, RuPaul, and Shaquille O’Neal starring in the child-friendly comedy. The 33% on Rotten Tomatoes and lack of IP ensures this won’t open as large as anthromorpic-darling, ‘Peter Rabbit’ did in February, and instead hopes to emulate Will Arnett’s last feature, ’The Nut Job 2’, with around $8m.

What else is on?

Interestingly, ‘Infinity War’ has performed similarly to another MCU movie, ‘Guardians of the Galaxy 2’. Both had exactly 55.5% drops during their second weekends, and while ‘Infinity War’ dropped 45.9% the next weekend, ‘Guardians’ nearly matched this with 46.9%. Its 4th weekend drop of 40% won’t be matched by ‘Infinity War’ this time around, however, with ‘Deadpool 2’ proving worthy competition. A gross of around $30m is expected, which doesn’t cause too much worry — as we speak, ‘Infinity War’ has taken another scalp in its quest for the $2bn mark, in the form of ‘Jurassic World’s 4th spot on the all-time global list.

We’ve seen comedies like ‘Overboard’ and ‘I Feel Pretty’ exceed expectations, by holding firm against competition and blockbusters, regardless of critical reception. ‘Life of the Party’ looks to continue this trend with a gross of $10m this weekend, just a 40% drop from a week ago. The same can’t be said for ‘Breaking In’, which is performing very similarly to other female-led thrillers that are usually characterised by 50%-ish second weekend drops. From this, an $8m weekend is expected, similar to Halle Berry’s 2013 hit, ‘The Call’.

The introduction of rom-com ‘Book Club’ should, in theory, mean strong competition (and thus a larger fall) for ‘Overboard’, as both seem to cater for a similar market. But, if the last few weeks have taught us anything, its that comedies are not to be messed with. ‘Overboard’ should gross a solid $5.5m in its 3rd weekend, to set it towards reaching $40m domestically next week. Even better news comes from Paramount, as ‘A Quiet Place’ looks to finally overtake ‘Split’s global gross of $278.4m gross soon, with a near-20% drop this weekend. We round off this weekend’s predictions with ‘I Feel Pretty’ and ‘Rampage’ taking 9th and 10th place, with around $2.2m each.

What do you guys think? Will ‘Deadpool 2break its own Box Office records, or will it fall at the final hurdle? Let us know on Twitter or Instagram – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week’s Rank Film US Gross so far Budget Jumpcut’s prediction Weekend drop Week no. BoxOfficeMojo’s prediction Deadline’s Prediction Variety’s Prediction
1 Deadpool 2 $110m $143m 1 $138m $130m-$150m $130m-$150m
2 1 Avengers: Infinity War $562.9m $300m+ $29.8m -52% 4 $29.2m $32m $30m
3 Book Club $12.5m 1 $12m $9m-$10m $7m-$10m
4 2 Life of the Party $22.3m $30m $10m -44% 2 $9.5m
5 2 Breaking In $21.5m $6m $8m -55% 2 $7.4m
6 Show Dogs $7m 1 $6.3m $4m-$9m
7 3 Overboard $31.7m $12m $5.9m -40% 3 $5.8m
8 5 A Quiet Place $171.7m $17m $5m -23% 7 $4m
9 6 I Feel Pretty $45.1m $32m $2.2m -42% 5
10 7 Rampage $90.8m $120m $2.1m -39% 6 $1.6m