Weekend BO Report: ‘Mission: Impossible – Fallout’ Delivers Franchise-Best Opening As Other Films Fall Out Of Love

Written by Dapo Olowu

It’s been a mixed year for Paramount Studios so far, with the studio delivering Box Office flops in Johnny Knoxville’s ‘Action Point’, ‘Sherlock Gnomes’, and critical darling ‘Annihilation’, but also releasing Box Office bombshells, ‘A Quiet Place’ (6th biggest horror movie of all time) and leggy rom-com, ‘Book Club’. The introduction of ‘Mission: Impossible – Fallout’, starring Tom Cruise, Ving Rhames, Rebecca Ferguson, and Simon Pegg, makes it an even split in the disappointments vs. successes battle, as its $61.2m opening means it’s not only the studios biggest opening of the year, but the franchise’s biggest too.

The potential for this to beat the $57.8m of ‘MI2’ was evident; ‘Fallout’s franchise-best 98% on the Tomatometer was coupled by an A on Cinemascore, the only time the series has bettered an A-. Its gender-split of 55% male was an improvement on the more skewed audience profile of ‘Rogue Nation’s opening and, although the opening itself is only the 8th biggest of the year so far, it marks Tom Cruise’s 2nd best – just behind 2005s ‘War of the Worlds’ ($64.9m). Globally, ‘Fallout’ has hit $155.8m off a $178m budget, a fantastic start for the star-studded action-thriller.

In one of the biggest drops of the weekend, ‘Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again’ made just $15.1m (-57%) in a classic case of sequel-itis. The seemingly front-loaded musical now sits on a strong $70.5m in the U.S., and a whopping $167.9m worldwide, after just 2 weekends in release. Blasting in with $14m is ‘The Equalizer 2’, which was hit hard by ‘Fallout’, resulting in a 61% drop. ‘Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation’ earned $12.3m and is now just $50m away from franchise-best ‘Hotel Transylvania 2’s domestic total of $169.7m.

If ‘Fallout’ was a success, then ‘Teen Titans Go! To the Movies’ was the opposite, pulling in just $10.4m in its first 3 days (although its $10m budget means Warner Bros. won’t lose too much sleep over it). The issue here was two-fold: there were already two major animated films out this week, in ‘HT3’ and record-breaking ‘Incredibles 2’, and the film has a very specific audience (i.e. fans of the TV show) making this a tight squeeze. What this resulted in was ‘Teen Titans’ becoming the first superhero movie since ‘Fan4stic’ not to debut at number one. The film that did sit atop the charts back then, in August 2015? ‘Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation’.

Ant-Man and The Wasp’ continues to fly high, earning $8.8m to close in on the $200m domestic mark, and it is currently just $4m away from $400m worldwide (without China, Japan, Germany, or the U.K., mind you). ‘Incredibles 2’ is now just under $1m away from reaching $1bn globally, after earning $7.3m this weekend in the U.S., while ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ made $6.7m. Finally, ‘Skyscraper’ and ‘The First Purge’ round off the top ten with $5.3m and $2.2m alike.

So, ‘Mission: Impossible – Fallout’ reached the $60m mark, but ‘Teen Titans Go! To The Movies’ disappointed in a weekend with big weekend drops. What were you expecting? Let us know your thoughts on Instagram and Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

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Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Mission: Impossible – Fallout’ To Cruise To A Franchise Best Opening

Written by Dapo Olowu

The last weekend in July sees Tom Cruise’s first film in a year, ‘Mission: Impossible  – Fallout’, come up against a nice dose of counter-programming in ‘Teen Titans Go! To The Movies’. While it’s inevitable that ‘MI6’ will cruise to a win against the animated comedy (and to first place this weekend), the real question is, what will this film open to?

After the semi-death of the ‘Transformers’ franchise last summer (although its reboot this December may mean there’s life in it yet), Paramount’s only real profit-churning franchise is the ‘Mission: Impossible’ series. They’re a group of films that have all increased steadily in budget with each sequel, but have opened to a high of just $57.8m, achieved 18 years ago with ‘MI2’. The same film earned the franchise’s biggest domestic gross of $215.4m, while Brad Bird’s 2011 release ‘Ghost Protocol’ made $694.7m worldwide — the highest to date.

Now, with a production cost of at least $180m (Cruise’s injury actually ballooned the budget to well over $200m, but an insurance payout deflated this), ‘MI6’ needs to be the franchises big breakout, and boy do they deserve it. ‘MI6’ is coming after two films with a 93% rating on the Tomatometer, and its own 98% (and 86 on Metacritic) means it’s supposedly the best yet.

‘MI6’ sees Cruise back as the iconic Ethan Hunt; alongside Ving Rhames, Rebecca Ferguson, and Simon Pegg, we see Angela Bassett and Henry Cavill added to the Impossible Mission’s Force — and, hopefully, we’ll also see it becoming the first film to do the impossible and open to over $60m. We’re foreseeing a $63m gross, which’ll serve as Cruise’s second biggest opening, just behind ‘War of the Worlds’ in 2005 ($64.9m).

It’ll be another second place finish for ‘Mamma Mia 2’, as it aims for a similar drop to 2012s ‘Les Miserables’, to bring in around $20.6m. Just behind will be one of 3 animations in the top ten, ‘Teen Titans Go!’, which proved quite difficult to predict. Based on the TV show, and starring beloved superheroes like Robin, Cyborg, Raven, Batman, Wonder Woman, and Nicholas Cage (!) as Batman, this could go as high as ‘The Lego Movie’ ($69.1m), or as low as, well, anything. Its 88% on the Tomatometer hints towards the former and a $10m budget means a small opening may not spell trouble, but it’s most likely that these young bucks will fight their way to a $20m opening.

After the shock debut of Denzel Washington’s ‘The Equalizer 2’ last week, it’ll be back to normal in the next 3 days with a 50%+ drop, to post just under $17m. The introduction of ‘Teen Titans Go!’ may lead to some audience crossover with ‘Hotel Transylvania 3’, but the latter should hold strong to earn over $14m, clear of ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’s $10.4m. The MCU sequel will pass the domestic gross of 2015s ‘Ant-Man’ this weekend and could even pass the entire worldwide gross of Disney flop ‘Solo: A Star Wars Story’, if its international markets perform well.

Incredibles 2’ will continue its superb run as it closes in on the $1bn worldwide mark with over $8m this weekend, just ahead of ‘Jurassic World 2’ with $7.5m. Finally, ‘Skyscraper’ and ‘The First Purge’ round off the top ten, looking to gross $5.7m and $2.5m each.

Is ‘Teen Titans Go!’ to become a hit like ‘The LEGO Movie’? Will ‘MI6hit that magical $60m mark, or will it fall just short like the rest? Let us know your thoughts on Twitter and Instagram – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

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Weekend BO Report: ‘The Equalizer 2’ Guns Down The Competition In A Tight Finish

Written by Dapo Olowu

It’s weekends like these that remind me why I love the Box Office. Just when you thought ‘Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!’ would dance away with the number one spot, it was Antoine Fuqua’s ‘The Equalizer 2’ that had the last laugh — earning $36m in its opening weekend, just $1m above ‘Mamma Mia 2’s $35m. ‘E2’, Denzel Washington’s first ever sequel, went into Saturday $1m below MM2’ but had the benefit of not being as front-loaded, with Friday making up just 37% of its weekend gross (compared to ‘MM2’s 41%). This may be down to ‘MM2’s skewed opening audience (83% women) but nevertheless, it’s a solid start for both.

The opening of ‘E2’ marks Denzel Washington’s 3rd biggest ever, behind 2007s ‘American Gangster’ ($43.6m) and 2012s ‘Safe House’ ($40.2m); it’s also Antoine Fuqua’s biggest, beating another Denzel-collab, 2016s ‘The Magnificent Seven’ ($34.7m). Meanwhile, ‘MM2’s officially the third biggest musical opening of all time, just ahead of ‘Enchanted’ ($34.4m), and although the film probably won’t reach a 5.19x opening weekend multiplier like ‘MM’ did in 2008, a strong finish is still expected. The musical also opened to $42.4m overseas, including $13m from the U.K.

On a studio level, this marks a second consecutive weekend at the top for Sony, whose last double triumph was back in January, when ‘Jumanji 2’ brought in the new year at number one for three straight weeks. Looking forward to next weekend, Sony would be lucky to remain in the top 3, with the introduction of Tom Cruise’s ‘MI6: Fallout’ and DC animation, ‘Teen Titans Go! To The Movies’.

On the topic of Sony, ‘Hotel Transylvania 3’ had the biggest 2nd week drop in the franchise, falling nearly 50% to post a $23.8m gross. It’s already made $208.1m worldwide since its release, marking a very prosperous few weeks for the company who’ve had a mixed year so far. In fourth place was ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ earning a solid $16.5m to leave it $15m shy (in just its 3rd weekend) of equalling the $180.2m domestic total made by ‘Ant-Man’ 3 years ago.

With the smallest drop of the weekend, ‘Incredibles 2’s $11.9m gross (a fall of just 27%) leaves it under $50m away from being the 3rd film of the year to reach $600m in the U.S., and just $60m away from making $1bn worldwide. The Rock’s ‘Skyscraper’ only just made it past ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’, making $11.4m compared to ‘JW2’s $11.3m. Although the former was able to open in China to $47m (during the Chinese cinema’s Hollywood blackout period, too), this still won’t be enough to save it from being a flop.

Horror, ‘The First Purge’, produced no shocks, earning in-line with our expectations ($5.1m), while BH Tilt’s ‘Unfriended: Dark Web’ grossed just $3.7m from 1,546 cinemas. Finally, Boots Riley’s ‘Sorry to Bother You’ added nearly 250 cinemas to its roster, but couldn’t improve its total from last week, finishing with just $2.9m.

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Weekend BO Predictions: Two New Releases Go Head-to-Head For Top Spot, But Only Will Be Crowned The $30m Dancing Queen

Written by Dapo Olowu

Three new sequels aim to please U.S. audiences this weekend, with star-studded ‘Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!’, Denzel Washington’s ‘Equalizer 2’, and Blumhouse’s ‘Unfriended: Dark Web’ dropping into thousands of cinemas each. ‘Mamma Mia 2’, the successor of the 2008 bombshell that hit a high note of $615.7m worldwide (4th biggest musical ever), is set exactly 10 years on from the first and sees the return of (but not limited to) Donna (Streep) and Sophie (Amanda), and the introduction of Andy Garcia and Lily James.

Hoping to better ‘Mamma Mia’s unspectacular $27.8m opening, ‘MM2’ will also be aware that any opening above $30m would ensure it’s one of the 5 biggest Musical openings ever – and with a warm reception (80% on the Tomatometer), this may just happen. We’re expecting a gross around $36m, to sit comfortably between 2007s ‘Enchanted’ ($34.4m) and 2008s ‘High School Musical 3’ ($42m), but a far cry from 2017s ‘Beauty and the Beast’ in number one ($174.8m).

It’s not the size of the opening that matters here, however, as musicals generally have strong Box Office lungs (‘The Greatest Showman’ is still in U.S. cinemas 8 months on). The previous film in 2008 achieved a phenomenal 5.19x opening weekend multiplier, for a domestic finish of $144.1m. ‘MM2’ is destined to be more front-loaded, but a domestic finish over $100m is almost ensured, and a huge worldwide gross to offset its $70m production cost is a guarantee, leaving many wondering, why didn’t this film come sooner?

Two Sony films battle for second place in ‘Hotel Transylvania 3’ and ‘Equalizer 2’, and it’s looking like a close fight between the pair. While ‘HT3’ is looking to check in ahead of its prequels at just over $26m, Denzel Washington’s first ever sequel ‘E2’ is failing to hit ‘The Equaliser’s target of $34.1m – a target that then reached $101.5m in the States and $192.3m worldwide. ‘E2’s underwhelming RT score pales in comparison (41% vs. 60%), and is looking at a drop similar to ‘London Has Fallen’, which opened at 29% under director Antoine Fuqua’s ‘Olympus Has Fallen’ back in 2016. A similar-ish drop gives both Fuqua and Denzel (in their 4th film together) a $25.5m opening, a long-shot away from original tracking of over $30m.

The shoot-em-up sees Denzel back as Robert McCall, the retired CIA Blacks Ops operative, avenging the death of an old friend. It stars Pedro Pascal and Ashton Sanders, as well as Bill Pullman and Melissa Leo. It’s cast, like ‘MM2’ is stacked with talent, but unlike ‘MM2’, which is opening in 41 markets worldwide, news on ‘E2’s international release is limited, and with ‘Mission: Impossible – Fallout’ opening next weekend, ‘E2’ may find itself outgunned very quickly.

This weekend also sees ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ in its 3rd weekend, and this looks to stabilise after a heavy 2nd weekend fall with $14.8m. The disappointment of ‘Skyscraper’ looks to continue, as it’ll earn just over $10m, just above ‘Incredibles 2’ as the latter continues its impressive run. Universal’s ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ will aim to earn close to $9.7m, and ‘The First Purge’ and ‘Sorry to Bother You’ will gross $5.1m and $4m each.

Rounding off this weekend is Blumhouse Tilt’s ‘Unfriended: Dark Web’, the $1m-budgeted horror looking to cause a scare In the top ten. Opening in just 1,500 cinemas (like most of BH Tilt’s releases), the film acts as a stand-alone sequel to 2014s ‘Unfriended’, with a completely different cast, including ‘Get Out’s Betty Gabriel, and Colin Woodell. Opening in over 1,000 cinemas less than ‘Unfriended’ means any chances of ‘U2’ opening close to the former’s $15.8m is near impossible, and should earn around $4m, in-line with BH Tilt’s other releases.

With one of the first weekends ever where 8 sequels making up the top ten is upon us, what do you think will be the biggest surprise? Will ‘Mamma Mia 2’ dance ahead of the pack, or will ‘Equalizer 2’ hunt down the competition? Let us know your thoughts on Instagram and Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

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Weekend BO Report: ‘Skyscraper’ Fails To Hit Predicted Heights

Written by Dapo Olowu

Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation’ coasted to first place in the domestic Box Office this weekend, marking the third time a film in the franchise debuted atop the U.S. charts. Its $44.1m gross, in-line with the $42.5m made by ‘HT1’ and the $48.5m earned by ‘HT2’, came from an audience which gave the animated-comedy an A- on Cinemascore (exactly the same as its predecessors).

Its domestic gross was also complimented by an overseas total of $46.4m across 44 countries (including topping the charts in over 30 territories), making enough to top the international charts too. Made on an $80m budget, the film follows Dracula (Sandler) and his family (Samberg and co) taking time off from running the hotel to get a holiday of their own. They can’t rest too easily, however, as competition, in the form of ‘Teen Titans Go! To The Movies’, hits cinemas in just 2 weeks.  

Earning $15m less than ‘HT3’ was ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’, dropping like a fly in its second weekend, to post $29.1. Its 62% fall was reminiscent of MCU-fan favourite ‘Spider-Man: Homecoming’, which saw a similar drop in its second weekend, after the release of ‘War for the Planet of the Apes’. ‘SM:HC’, of course, rebounded for a domestic finish of $334.2m. A similar multiplier for ‘Ant-Man 2’ gives a U.S. total of $216.8m — a healthy return for a film yet to open in China, and for one not expected to truly break-out at all.

If ‘Ant-Man 2’s performance this week was disappointing, then The Rock’s ‘Skyscraper’ was all but a flop. Earning just $24.9m in its first 3 days from a $125m budget, it marks Dwayne Johnson’s worst opening since last May’s ‘Baywatch’. While a year may not seem long for us mere humans, it actually marks a period in which 4 (yes, 4) films starring The Rock have been released. It’s average B+ on Cinemascore, nor its 50% on the Tomatometer, can save ‘Skyscraper’ from being a domestic bomb.

The film only made $40.4m in international markets, as numbers across the globe continue to make for a depressing viewing. The film (co-financed by a Chinese-owned company) now relies heavily on the Chinese market, where it doesn’t open until Friday, to recoup the large amounts of money spent. The hope here is that Dwayne Johnson-fatigue hasn’t set in, unlike in the U.S., where audiences may just be a little too used to his presence on the big screen.

Incredibles 2’ held well against strong competition to gross a remarkable $16.3m in its 5th weekend, for a domestic total of $535.9m. This makes it the 9th biggest domestic film of all time, taking the place of ‘The Dark Knight’ (which started 2018 in 7th place). Its global take of $858.5m is the most impressive figure here, as the film hasn’t yet opened in countries such as Germany, Japan, South Korea, and Italy. The aim now is for ‘I2’ to join the list of only six (‘Frozen’, ‘Minions’, ‘Toy Story 3’, ‘Despicable Me 3’, ‘Finding Dory’ and ‘Zootopia’) animated films to break $1bn.

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ continued to perform well this weekend, earning $16.2m in the U.S., as well as a Universal Studio-record $12.7m opening in Japan — making a $364m domestic and $1.14bn global total respectively. Horror, ‘The First Purge’, delivered well against expectations, dropping by just 46% to earn $9.3m. Possibly the biggest surprise this week was Boots Riley’s ‘Sorry to Bother You’ earning $4.2m to reach 7th place, beating our $2.6m predictions by Saturday afternoon. This was more than enough to leapfrog ‘Sicario: Day of the Soldado’ ($3.9m), ‘Uncle Drew’ ($3.2m), and ‘Ocean’s 8’ ($2.9m), who are likely to leave the top ten after this week.

Just how badly will ‘Skyscraper’ do? Was it to be expected? Let us know your thoughts on Instagram and Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

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Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Hotel Transylvania 3’ Checks In At First Place In A Tight Weekend

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Written by Dapo Olowu

Real estate rules the Box Office this weekend, with Genndy Tartakovsky’s ‘Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation’ looking to tower over ‘Skyscraper’ in the U.S. The Sony-produced ‘HT3’, which stars the voices of Adam Sandler, Andy Samberg, and Selena Gomez (among many others), currently hosts 63% on the Tomatometer — by far the best of the franchise and better than ‘Ice Age 3: Dawn of the Dinosaurs’, which opened to $41.7m in 2009.

Similarly, ‘Kung Fu Panda 3’ grossed $41.3m in its first 3 days, so a $42m gross for ‘HT3’ isn’t unrealistic. This would make it the smallest opening of the trilogy (by just $500k, mind), but a strong start on an $80m budget nonetheless. Being the first summer opening of the franchise, this could see it fair better than the trilogy-best $473.2m global gross, made by ‘Hotel Transylvania 2’.

Falling just short is Dwayne Johnson’s ‘Skyscraper’, with tracking showing it’ll open its doors to a $35m gross, similar to his last film ‘Rampage’ ($35.8m). The $125m-budget action flick reunites The Rock with director Rawson Marshall Thurber, who directed hit comedy ‘Central Intelligence’ (which opened to $35.5m) in the summer of 2016. ‘Skyscraper’ also stars Neve Campbell as Sarah Sawyer, the wife of The Rock’s character, Will, as well as Chin Han and Pablo Schreiber.

‘Skyscraper’ opens across 56 foreign countries this weekend as it looks to take pole position internationally, furthering Dwayne Johnson’s overseas star-power in the process. But, its 51% on Rotten Tomatoes might just hinder its staying power in the U.S.

Ant-Man and the Wasp’ may have its wings clipped this weekend as the 2 major wide releases should gross close to $80m between them. Peyton Reed’s MCU-sequel has seen its dailies almost mirror that of the first ‘Ant-Man’, even though it opened to almost $20m less. A large ‘First Phase’-like drop may be in play, but we at JUMPCUT are an optimistic bunch, and can see ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ buzzing close to $32.6m.

This weekend finally sees ‘Incredibles 2’ leapfrog ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’, even though the former has direct animated competition in ‘HT3’. ‘Incredibles 2’ should open around $18.5m — a similar drop to last weekend’s, while ‘JW:FK’ will pull in around $16m. Blumhouse-produced horror ‘The First Purge’ will endure a front-loaded nightmare, and could see a weekend drop above 60%. A $6.6m gross will see the film close in on a $60m gross worldwide, a number ‘Sicario: Day of the Soldado’ will pass by Saturday, with a weekend gross of $3.8m.

Closing in on ‘Sicario 2’ is sports-comedy ‘Uncle Drew’, playing for a $3.7m gross this weekend, while ‘Ocean’s 8’ looks to sneak in around $2.9m. We also see rapper-turned-director, Boots Riley’s star-studded ‘Sorry to Bother You’ open in wide release by expanding into over 800 cinemas. ‘Sorry to Bother You’, released by Annapurna Pictures, stars ‘Get Out’ and ‘Atlanta’s Lakeith Stanfield, alongside ‘Creed’ and ‘Thor: Ragnarok’s Tessa Thompson, as well as Omari Hardwick, Terry Crews, and Armie Hammer. The independent film looks to open around $2.6m, based on last summer’s comedy ‘The Big Sick’s per-cinema average in wide release.

In a tight race to the top of the Box Office, who do you think will prevail? How well will ‘Sorry to Bother You’ do in its wide release? Let us know your thoughts on Instagram and Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

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Weekend BO Report: ‘Ant-Man And The Wasp’ Flies To Number 1 On A Weekend Of Big Drops

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Written by Dapo Olowu

In a result that may be disappointing to some, but with a position that’s surprising to none, Disney’s ‘Ant-Man and The Wasp’ finished its opening weekend atop the domestic Box Office charts, flying in with $75.8m — almost $50m above its closest competitor. The sequel to 2015s ‘Ant-Man’ saw a 33% boost in its first 3-days when compared to its predecessor, coming in just above MCU sequels ‘Iron Man 2’ (31%) and ‘Thor 2’ (30%), but below ‘Captain America: Winter Soldier’ (46%) and ‘Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2’ (55%). It also grossed around $85m from 41 international markets, for a worldwide opening of $161m — far better than the $113.6m earned by ‘Ant-Man’ 3 years ago.

Still, there lingers a small concern that ‘Ant-Man and The Wasp’ could’ve grown to even taller heights. Sure, it was the MCU’s 20th consecutive chart-topper, but tracking had the film well clear of $80m, with a potential of getting close to the century figure. Regardless, with its opening weekend audience hitting the four main quadrants relatively evenly (58% over 25, 55% male), Peyton Reed’s superhero sequel looks odds-on for a leggy summer run.

It was a close fight for second place, as just $200k separated ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ and ‘Incredibles 2’ in the Box Office standings. ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ brought in $28.6m for a domestic total of $333.4m, and a worldwide total of $1.06bn. ‘Incredibles 2’ held up well against ‘Ant-Man and The Wasp’s direct audience competition, to earn $28.4m. It’s already smashed through the domestic animated record in just 4 weeks and, having earned $503.8m already, it could potentially look to be the 3rd film of the year (and just the 9th film ever) to gross $600m in the U.S. alone.

The First Purge’ earned just $17.4m in its opening 3 days, but a whopping $31.3m since Wednesday to more than double its $13m budget. It’s already just $10m behind fellow horror ‘Hereditary’, in what’s proving a very valuable year for horror movies. After ‘A Quiet Place’ made $331.3m (and counting), ‘The First Purge’ aims to finish on over $100m worldwide — and its $10.9m in international markets means it’s off to a great start.

Both ‘Sicario: Day of Soldado’ and ‘Uncle Drew’ suffered from large drops this weekend, with the former dropping by 60% in wake of its mixed critical reception. A $7.6m gross for the crime sequel was $1m over the $6.6m earned by sports comedy, ‘Uncle Drew’, which saw a 57% drop after ‘Ant-Man and The Wasp’s arrival. ‘Ocean’s 8’ held steady after losing over 800 cinemas by earning $5.1m, to bring its domestic total up to $126.5m, while ‘Tag’ lost 1,000 locations on its way to make $3m this weekend. ‘Won’t You Be My Neighbor’ grew by 6% to earn $2.6m and become the biggest documentary of the year, leaving ‘Deadpool 2’ (which made $1.7m in its final weekend) to finish up the top ten.

What do you think? Did ‘Ant-Man and The Wasp’ fail to live up to expectations, or was this was a good opening for the film? Let us know your thoughts on Instagram and Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

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Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Ant-Man And The Wasp’ To Make A Big Impression While ‘The First Purge’ Offers Few Shocks

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Written by Dapo Olowu

The first half of the U.S. Box Office year was simply enormous, ending with June becoming the biggest grossing month on record. Disney’s dominance is a massive factor, but a fascinating stat reveals that, domestically, only 4 of 2018’s Box Office weekends so far have been topped by non-franchise films, with ‘Ready Player One’, ‘A Quiet Place’, and ‘Rampage’ hitting number 1 back in April. This franchise supremacy (or ‘sequel-itis’) is set to continue this weekend, as ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ and ‘The First Purge’ break into cinemas across America.

Riding on the waves of ‘Black Panther’ and ‘Infinity War’ is the MCU’s final showing of the year: ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’, and it’s looking to make a big splash at the top of the rankings this weekend. The sequel to 2015s ‘Ant-Man’, which opened to just $57.2m, sees Paul Rudd and Evangeline Lilly return in the title roles, as Scott Lang and Hope Van Dyne work to return Janet Van Dyne from the quantum realm.

MCU first-sequels have generally seen a 30%-45% boost in openings from their predecessors, with ‘Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2’s 55% leap proving a rarity. Applying a similar measure to ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ would give it an opening of $89m, just a shade over ‘Doctor Strange’s $85.1m. Taking into account the MCU’s performance this year, and ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’s pre-sale numbers tracking alongside ‘Spider-Man: Homecoming’ (which opened to $117m last July), it’s not an unrealistic figure, proving that even the smallest characters can make a big impact.

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ should stabilise after a heavy-ish 59% drop last weekend, and is in-line to perform like big-hitting, Universal franchise film, ‘Furious 7’ — which saw a 60% fall in its second weekend. A similar weekend would see ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ grossing a pretty loud $29.8m, for the film to reach the magic $1bn global gross figure in just a month. Closing in is ‘Incredibles 2’, which may find competition this weekend from ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’, but will have enough firepower to earn close to $28m.

Nearly 5 years to the day after ‘The Purge’ opened, ‘The First Purge’ takes us right back to the beginning, providing cinema-goers with the origins of the 12-hour period of horror. The first of the films not directed by James DeMonaco, the Blumhouse/Michael Bay joint production casts relatively unknown actors Y’Lan Noel, Lex Scott Davis, and Joivan Wade in lead roles; although, Oscar-winning actress Marisa Tomei also stars in the film, so it is perhaps looking to attract the teenage crowd.

The First Purge’, directed by Gerard McMurray, actually opened on Wednesday to capitalise on the Independence Day holiday, and grossed a healthy $9.3m. Comparing to other recent horror sequels, like ‘Alien: Covenant’ and ‘Annabelle: Creation’, gives the film a mid-30s 3-day opening weekend, but its 52% on the Tomatometer is more in line with ‘Insidious: Chapter 3’, which earned $22.7m. From this, a $25m opening is likely, the lowest of ‘The Purge’ franchise so far.

Although ‘Sicario 2’ over-delivered on expectations last weekend, we predict a more subdued showing in the next few days, as its critical reception leads to a $10m gross. Comedy, ‘Uncle Drew’, will hope to remain undeterred by ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’s arrival to make close to $9m. Now in its 5th weekend, ‘Ocean’s 8’ is already on track to finish ahead of both ‘Ocean’s Twelve’ and ‘Thirteen’, and should deliver just under $6m. ‘Tag’ will close in on the $50m domestic mark with $3.5m, and finally ‘Deadpool 2’ and ‘Won’t You Be My Neighbor’ finish off the weekend with around $2m each.

The MCU will hope that ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ will be its 6th successive $100m domestic opening, but will it manage it? Let us know your thoughts on Instagram and Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

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Weekend BO Report: Impressive Weekend Drops Mark The End Of The Biggest Box Office Month In History!

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Written by Dapo Olowu

June 2018 saw the biggest month (and the end of the biggest quarter) in U.S. Box Office history, with the $1.268bn earned from cinema-goers beating the $1.236bn made in June 2013. This, of course, was boosted by a stunning opening from ‘Incredibles 2’ and strong showing by ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ — both of which topped the charts this weekend with further impressive runs.

It was ‘Jurassic World 2’ that predictably stomped into first place, earning $60.9m from 4,485 cinemas (in-line with our $60m estimates on Friday) for a $265.7m domestic gross. Internationally, it was a similar story, with J. A. Bayona’s flick coming in at number one for the 4th week in a row, again grossing around $60m. Its international total stands at a mighty $669m with China its biggest non-U.S. market (the $237m made there is already more than the first ‘Jurassic World’ earned in its entire Chinese run). Worldwide, ‘Jurassic World 2’ is now sitting on a comfy $934.9m and will look to be the third film of the year to break the billion-dollar-barrier by the end of the week.

Incredibles 2’ took in $46.4m domestically, leaving it just $600k short of ‘Shrek 2’ as the 2nd biggest animated film in U.S. history. Of course, it will have passed the 2004 sequel by the time you’re reading this, and will overtake ‘Finding Dory’ as the biggest ever by next week, as it draws nearer to making $700m globally. It’s a figure that crime-thriller, ‘Sicario: Day of the Soldado’ can only dream of reaching, but its $19m opening was a shot above even the most optimistic predictions — to place it 3rd on the U.S. Box Office charts this weekend. Not even a reduced score on Rotten Tomatoes (now at 62%) could stop this from becoming Sony’s second biggest opening of the year, behind ‘Peter Rabbit’s $25m in February. Now, all ‘Sicario 2’ needs to better its predecessor’s domestic total is a 2.47x multiplier, which would be an achievable goal if its critical reception (like its bang-average B on Cinemascore) wasn’t so mixed.

The $15.2m made in the first 3 days of sports comedy, ‘Uncle Drew’s release marks director Charles Stone III’s best ever opening, and also means a solid start for the film that cost less than $20m to produce. The release of ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ next weekend provides some unwelcome competition, but ‘Uncle Drew’ will hope to use its 67% on RT and A on Cinemascore to hold its own against the MCU tentpole. ‘Ocean’s 8’ sneaked over the $200m global figure this weekend after dropping just 28% from last weekend, earning $8.3m in the U.S. Similarly, ‘Tag’ dropped by only 29% to gross $5.9m. It’s currently at a $41.1m domestic total, and lies just $2m short of $50m worldwide.

Now into its seventh weekend, ‘Deadpool 2’ grossed $3.6m to reach $310.5m domestically, trailing ‘Deadpool’ by $52m. Surprisingly, Bollywood film ‘Sanju’ grossed $2.7m from just 356 cinemas, giving it the 3rd best per-cinema average of the weekend, with $7,650. The biographical flick is based around Indian film veteran Sanjay Dutt, who has starred in over 180 movies. Finally, ‘Solo’ and ‘Won’t You Be My Neighbor?’ round off the top ten with $2.7m and $2.4m alike.

With Ant-Man 2 entering cinemas next week, which of these do you think will be hit the hardest? Let us know your thoughts on Instagram and Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

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