Weekend BO Report: ‘Ant-Man And The Wasp’ Flies To Number 1 On A Weekend Of Big Drops

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Written by Dapo Olowu

In a result that may be disappointing to some, but with a position that’s surprising to none, Disney’s ‘Ant-Man and The Wasp’ finished its opening weekend atop the domestic Box Office charts, flying in with $75.8m — almost $50m above its closest competitor. The sequel to 2015s ‘Ant-Man’ saw a 33% boost in its first 3-days when compared to its predecessor, coming in just above MCU sequels ‘Iron Man 2’ (31%) and ‘Thor 2’ (30%), but below ‘Captain America: Winter Soldier’ (46%) and ‘Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2’ (55%). It also grossed around $85m from 41 international markets, for a worldwide opening of $161m — far better than the $113.6m earned by ‘Ant-Man’ 3 years ago.

Still, there lingers a small concern that ‘Ant-Man and The Wasp’ could’ve grown to even taller heights. Sure, it was the MCU’s 20th consecutive chart-topper, but tracking had the film well clear of $80m, with a potential of getting close to the century figure. Regardless, with its opening weekend audience hitting the four main quadrants relatively evenly (58% over 25, 55% male), Peyton Reed’s superhero sequel looks odds-on for a leggy summer run.

It was a close fight for second place, as just $200k separated ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ and ‘Incredibles 2’ in the Box Office standings. ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ brought in $28.6m for a domestic total of $333.4m, and a worldwide total of $1.06bn. ‘Incredibles 2’ held up well against ‘Ant-Man and The Wasp’s direct audience competition, to earn $28.4m. It’s already smashed through the domestic animated record in just 4 weeks and, having earned $503.8m already, it could potentially look to be the 3rd film of the year (and just the 9th film ever) to gross $600m in the U.S. alone.

The First Purge’ earned just $17.4m in its opening 3 days, but a whopping $31.3m since Wednesday to more than double its $13m budget. It’s already just $10m behind fellow horror ‘Hereditary’, in what’s proving a very valuable year for horror movies. After ‘A Quiet Place’ made $331.3m (and counting), ‘The First Purge’ aims to finish on over $100m worldwide — and its $10.9m in international markets means it’s off to a great start.

Both ‘Sicario: Day of Soldado’ and ‘Uncle Drew’ suffered from large drops this weekend, with the former dropping by 60% in wake of its mixed critical reception. A $7.6m gross for the crime sequel was $1m over the $6.6m earned by sports comedy, ‘Uncle Drew’, which saw a 57% drop after ‘Ant-Man and The Wasp’s arrival. ‘Ocean’s 8’ held steady after losing over 800 cinemas by earning $5.1m, to bring its domestic total up to $126.5m, while ‘Tag’ lost 1,000 locations on its way to make $3m this weekend. ‘Won’t You Be My Neighbor’ grew by 6% to earn $2.6m and become the biggest documentary of the year, leaving ‘Deadpool 2’ (which made $1.7m in its final weekend) to finish up the top ten.

What do you think? Did ‘Ant-Man and The Wasp’ fail to live up to expectations, or was this was a good opening for the film? Let us know your thoughts on Instagram and Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

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Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Ant-Man And The Wasp’ To Make A Big Impression While ‘The First Purge’ Offers Few Shocks

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Written by Dapo Olowu

The first half of the U.S. Box Office year was simply enormous, ending with June becoming the biggest grossing month on record. Disney’s dominance is a massive factor, but a fascinating stat reveals that, domestically, only 4 of 2018’s Box Office weekends so far have been topped by non-franchise films, with ‘Ready Player One’, ‘A Quiet Place’, and ‘Rampage’ hitting number 1 back in April. This franchise supremacy (or ‘sequel-itis’) is set to continue this weekend, as ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ and ‘The First Purge’ break into cinemas across America.

Riding on the waves of ‘Black Panther’ and ‘Infinity War’ is the MCU’s final showing of the year: ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’, and it’s looking to make a big splash at the top of the rankings this weekend. The sequel to 2015s ‘Ant-Man’, which opened to just $57.2m, sees Paul Rudd and Evangeline Lilly return in the title roles, as Scott Lang and Hope Van Dyne work to return Janet Van Dyne from the quantum realm.

MCU first-sequels have generally seen a 30%-45% boost in openings from their predecessors, with ‘Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2’s 55% leap proving a rarity. Applying a similar measure to ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ would give it an opening of $89m, just a shade over ‘Doctor Strange’s $85.1m. Taking into account the MCU’s performance this year, and ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’s pre-sale numbers tracking alongside ‘Spider-Man: Homecoming’ (which opened to $117m last July), it’s not an unrealistic figure, proving that even the smallest characters can make a big impact.

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ should stabilise after a heavy-ish 59% drop last weekend, and is in-line to perform like big-hitting, Universal franchise film, ‘Furious 7’ — which saw a 60% fall in its second weekend. A similar weekend would see ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ grossing a pretty loud $29.8m, for the film to reach the magic $1bn global gross figure in just a month. Closing in is ‘Incredibles 2’, which may find competition this weekend from ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’, but will have enough firepower to earn close to $28m.

Nearly 5 years to the day after ‘The Purge’ opened, ‘The First Purge’ takes us right back to the beginning, providing cinema-goers with the origins of the 12-hour period of horror. The first of the films not directed by James DeMonaco, the Blumhouse/Michael Bay joint production casts relatively unknown actors Y’Lan Noel, Lex Scott Davis, and Joivan Wade in lead roles; although, Oscar-winning actress Marisa Tomei also stars in the film, so it is perhaps looking to attract the teenage crowd.

The First Purge’, directed by Gerard McMurray, actually opened on Wednesday to capitalise on the Independence Day holiday, and grossed a healthy $9.3m. Comparing to other recent horror sequels, like ‘Alien: Covenant’ and ‘Annabelle: Creation’, gives the film a mid-30s 3-day opening weekend, but its 52% on the Tomatometer is more in line with ‘Insidious: Chapter 3’, which earned $22.7m. From this, a $25m opening is likely, the lowest of ‘The Purge’ franchise so far.

Although ‘Sicario 2’ over-delivered on expectations last weekend, we predict a more subdued showing in the next few days, as its critical reception leads to a $10m gross. Comedy, ‘Uncle Drew’, will hope to remain undeterred by ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’s arrival to make close to $9m. Now in its 5th weekend, ‘Ocean’s 8’ is already on track to finish ahead of both ‘Ocean’s Twelve’ and ‘Thirteen’, and should deliver just under $6m. ‘Tag’ will close in on the $50m domestic mark with $3.5m, and finally ‘Deadpool 2’ and ‘Won’t You Be My Neighbor’ finish off the weekend with around $2m each.

The MCU will hope that ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ will be its 6th successive $100m domestic opening, but will it manage it? Let us know your thoughts on Instagram and Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

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Weekend BO Report: Impressive Weekend Drops Mark The End Of The Biggest Box Office Month In History!

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Written by Dapo Olowu

June 2018 saw the biggest month (and the end of the biggest quarter) in U.S. Box Office history, with the $1.268bn earned from cinema-goers beating the $1.236bn made in June 2013. This, of course, was boosted by a stunning opening from ‘Incredibles 2’ and strong showing by ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ — both of which topped the charts this weekend with further impressive runs.

It was ‘Jurassic World 2’ that predictably stomped into first place, earning $60.9m from 4,485 cinemas (in-line with our $60m estimates on Friday) for a $265.7m domestic gross. Internationally, it was a similar story, with J. A. Bayona’s flick coming in at number one for the 4th week in a row, again grossing around $60m. Its international total stands at a mighty $669m with China its biggest non-U.S. market (the $237m made there is already more than the first ‘Jurassic World’ earned in its entire Chinese run). Worldwide, ‘Jurassic World 2’ is now sitting on a comfy $934.9m and will look to be the third film of the year to break the billion-dollar-barrier by the end of the week.

Incredibles 2’ took in $46.4m domestically, leaving it just $600k short of ‘Shrek 2’ as the 2nd biggest animated film in U.S. history. Of course, it will have passed the 2004 sequel by the time you’re reading this, and will overtake ‘Finding Dory’ as the biggest ever by next week, as it draws nearer to making $700m globally. It’s a figure that crime-thriller, ‘Sicario: Day of the Soldado’ can only dream of reaching, but its $19m opening was a shot above even the most optimistic predictions — to place it 3rd on the U.S. Box Office charts this weekend. Not even a reduced score on Rotten Tomatoes (now at 62%) could stop this from becoming Sony’s second biggest opening of the year, behind ‘Peter Rabbit’s $25m in February. Now, all ‘Sicario 2’ needs to better its predecessor’s domestic total is a 2.47x multiplier, which would be an achievable goal if its critical reception (like its bang-average B on Cinemascore) wasn’t so mixed.

The $15.2m made in the first 3 days of sports comedy, ‘Uncle Drew’s release marks director Charles Stone III’s best ever opening, and also means a solid start for the film that cost less than $20m to produce. The release of ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ next weekend provides some unwelcome competition, but ‘Uncle Drew’ will hope to use its 67% on RT and A on Cinemascore to hold its own against the MCU tentpole. ‘Ocean’s 8’ sneaked over the $200m global figure this weekend after dropping just 28% from last weekend, earning $8.3m in the U.S. Similarly, ‘Tag’ dropped by only 29% to gross $5.9m. It’s currently at a $41.1m domestic total, and lies just $2m short of $50m worldwide.

Now into its seventh weekend, ‘Deadpool 2’ grossed $3.6m to reach $310.5m domestically, trailing ‘Deadpool’ by $52m. Surprisingly, Bollywood film ‘Sanju’ grossed $2.7m from just 356 cinemas, giving it the 3rd best per-cinema average of the weekend, with $7,650. The biographical flick is based around Indian film veteran Sanjay Dutt, who has starred in over 180 movies. Finally, ‘Solo’ and ‘Won’t You Be My Neighbor?’ round off the top ten with $2.7m and $2.4m alike.

With Ant-Man 2 entering cinemas next week, which of these do you think will be hit the hardest? Let us know your thoughts on Instagram and Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

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Tag

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Year: 2018
Directed by: Jeff Tomsic
Starring: Jeremy Renner, John Hamm, Jake Johnson, Ed Helms, Hannibal Buress, Isla Fisher

WRITTEN BY ELENA MORGAN

The true story of a group of friends who, for one month every year, continue playing the same game of tag they started when they were kids. But this year, Jerry (Jeremy Renner) who has never been tagged, plans to retire from the game once he’s married and this is the last chance for his friends to get him.

‘Tag’ is a lot of fun and is laugh out loud funny. The action sequences of various characters trying to tag Jerry, and other participants in the game, are all well-shot and innovative. When Jerry is the one being ambushed, everything slows down as he takes in what’s happening, then there’s a voiceover from him as he commentates on what his friends are doing and how he’s going to beat them. Everything works so well together in those sequences.

The cast are all brilliant. They all have great chemistry and you really buy into them being childhood friends, even though they are all at different stages of their lives. Hoagie (Ed Helms) is married to super competitive Anna (Isla Fisher) who must make do with helping the guys out as the rules the friends made up when they were kids state that girls are not allowed to play. Bob (Jon Hamm) is a high-flying businessman, Chilli (Jake Johnson) is divorced and almost constantly high and Sable (Hannibal Buress) is in therapy. It’s clear that this game of tag has kept them in touch over all these years as no one wants to be the person tagged by June 1st.

Some of the supporting female cast do get short-changed. Rashida Jones has little to do when she shows up mid-way through, and Annabelle Wallis’s journalist is mainly there as a stand-in for the audience, asking the right questions at the right time to help move some of the more character-driven stuff along. Ed Helms does play a very Ed Helms-esque character but it’s always great to see Jon Hamm show off his comedy skills and it’s a pleasant surprise to see how funny Jeremy Renner can be. As an actor that’s typically seen in more serious roles, it was fun to see his droll sense of humour, and that almost cackle-like laugh, on screen.

‘Tag’ is a comedic action film and it does a fine job of balancing those two aspects. There are a few jokes that edge very close to being in bad taste, it’s almost like watching a car crash happen in slow motion as other characters know that what a character is saying is not good but there’s little they can do to stop it. At least the film seems to be aware of the barriers it’s pushing, and the rest of the jokes are funny and unoffensive.

The story does lag a bit in the middle but the chemistry and jokes between these characters see you through till the next big game of tag. The thing that’s surprising about ‘Tag’ is how heartfelt it is. In the end, this film pulls you into these guys friendship and that makes this entertaining film unexpectedly sweet.

ELENA’S RATING:

4

Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Uncle Drew’ And ‘Sicario 2’ Go To War In Tightly Contested Weekend

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Written by Dapo Olowu

There’s going to be a battle for third place in the U.S. Box Office this weekend as sports comedy ‘Uncle Drew’ looks to play ball against ‘Sicario 2’, the eagerly awaited sequel to Denis Villeneuve’s 2015 crime thriller ‘Sicario’. Both will take a backseat to J. A. Bayona’s ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ however, with the dinosaur epic looking to endure a more frustrating run than its 2015 predecessor. A drop close to 60% would still earn ‘Jurassic World 2’, the 3rd biggest film of the year so far, a pretty monstrous $60m, but it’s a far-cry from the $106.6m that Trevorrow’s ‘Jurassic World’ made just 3 years ago.

Incredibles 2’, on the other hand, is rapidly closing in on ‘The Incredibles’ worldwide total of $633m, as it looks to break through the $600m barrier by the end of the weekend. Domestically, a $45.8m gross this weekend would see it keep second place and near a $450m total, enough to become the second biggest animated film of all time in the U.S.

Stefano Sollima’s ‘Sicario 2’ can only wish for a similar performance – the first only opened to $12.1m in wide release, for a $46.9m domestic total off of a $30m budget. Director Denis Villeneuve doesn’t return this time around, alongside household name Emily Blunt, and Oscar-nominee Daniel Kaluuya. It does though see the return of Josh Brolin and Benicio del Toro, alongside acclaimed writer Taylor Sheridan of ‘Wind River’ and ‘Hell or High Water’ fame. An opening close to $20m would be a solid start, but critical reception pales in comparison to ‘Sicario’, with the sequel holding a decent 72% on the Tomatometer, compared to the first’s 93%. A gross just over $16m should therefore be on the cards.

Following closely is ‘Uncle Drew’, starring NBA superstar Kyrie Irving in the titular role. The comedy, based on his character from Pepsi Max adverts, also stars ‘Get Out’ actor Lil Rel Howery, as well as Nick Kroll, Shaquille O’Neal, and Tiffany Haddish. The presence of Haddish automatically draws comparisons between the film and last year’s breakout comedy ‘Girls Trip’, which opened to huge $31.2m, and finished on $115.2m domestically. However, ‘Uncle Drew’ doesn’t have the critical acclaim (50% on RT vs. 90%), nor the specific charm that ‘Girls Trip’ offered. A closer comparison would be to 2016s ‘Barbershop: The Next Cut’s $20.2m opening, meaning ‘Uncle Drew’ should be close to ‘Sicario 2’ this weekend by earning around $16m.

Also keeping its place in the top ten is ‘Ocean’s 8’ which looks to close in on ‘Ocean’s Thirteen’s domestic total with a $7.5m gross this weekend. Comedy ‘Tag’ may endure a bit of audience competition from the two new entries, and should earn just under $5m to continue a pretty poor year for comedies. ‘Deadpool 2’ sets to continue its trend of 40% weekend drops by pulling in $3.2m, while ‘Solo’ in theory should bounce back after being hit hard by ‘Jurassic World’ 7 days ago, for a gross of $2.7m. Finally, we round the weekend out with ‘Won’t You Be My Neighbor?’ and ‘Hereditary’; the former looks to perform similarly to documentary ‘RBG’ earlier this year to earn $1.9m from its limited release, while the latter will pull in close to $1.8m.

Who do you think will win the battle for third place between ‘Sicario 2’ and ‘Uncle Drew’? Let us know your thoughts on Twitter and Instagram – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

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Weekend BO Report: A Blistering June Weekend Sees ‘Fallen Kingdom’ In A World Of Its Own

Written by Dapo Olowu

On the biggest June Box Office weekend in domestic history, it was ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ that snatched first place with a remarkable $148m 3-day haul. Early tracking, like with ‘Jurassic World’ in 2015, saw a much more conservative $130m figure being touted by industry analysts, as well as yours truly. But, it’s becoming increasingly clear that the franchise relies heavily on on-the-day walk-ups – pre-orders and heavy anticipation just isn’t the audience preference here. This means that the duo of films, led by Chris Pratt and Bryce Dallas Howard, have become Universal’s first and second highest openings of all time (with the former pulling in a then-record $208.8m), showing that audiences in the U.S. still have a mighty appetite for the Dinosaur franchise. The same can be said for International viewers, as ‘Fallen Kingdom’ now boasts a mighty $715m global gross and is looking at finishing in the region of $1.2bn worldwide.

Flying in for a second place finish this weekend is ‘Incredibles 2’, Pixar’s record-breaking sequel. Unfortunately, it cut our dreams of a $100m 1-2 in the Box Office short, bringing in a smaller but still solid, $80.3m. The interesting bit here is the similarities in its weekend drop to both ‘Infinity War’ and ‘Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2’, whose 55.5% falls almost mirror ‘Incredibles 2’s 56%, indicating that the Brad Bird-directed hit may end up performing more like an archetypal superhero movie than a family-oriented Pixar animation. A box office run like ‘Infinity War’ would earn ‘Incredibles 2’ a domestic finish of $475m, while a run like ‘GotG2’ leaves the film at $485.9m. Disney and Pixar will be optimistic for a stronger performance, though, as the summer period should see it beat ‘Finding Dory’s record of $486.3m. Internationally, ‘Incredibles 2’ fared especially well in China, earning a Pixar-record $21.2m in the region.

A gross of $11.5m leaves Sandra Bullock’s ‘Ocean’s 8’ on a domestic total of $100.3m, and a worldwide gross of $171.6m – a fantastic return after just 3 weeks. As the film closes in on $200m, and critical reaction stands to be mostly positive, a possible sequel is looking more and more likely. True-story comedy ‘Tag’ has managed to take in $8.3m to bring its domestic total up to $30.4m – on-track with last month’s Melissa McCarthy comedy ‘Life of the Party’. The former will hope to better the $52.1m domestic total that the latter ended up on, as ‘Tag’s inflated $28m production cost requires a leggier Box Office run.

Deadpool 2’ triumphed over ‘Solo’ this weekend, earning $5.3m compared to the latter’s $4.5m, moving past ‘It’ as the 3rd biggest R-rated global hit (behind ‘The Matrix Reloaded’ and ‘Deadpool’). ‘Solo’ was hit a little hard by ‘Fallen Kingdom’, dropping 55% from last week’s gross. On the other hand, ‘Hereditary’ held steady after losing 1,000 cinemas, earning $3.6m  and leaving it just $2m short of $50m globally. The A24 film will be confident at landing somewhere close to $60m worldwide; a fantastic return for the studio with a patchy Box Office record to date.

Sony action film, ‘Superfly’, dropped by 50% from last weekend to gross $3.4m – a figure similar to Tyrese Gibson thriller, ‘Waist Deep’, from 2006, which also saw a $3.4m second weekend. While the latter’s $21.3m domestic total looks reachable for ‘Superfly’, it’ll be a disappointing run for the film that cost $16m. Finally, ‘Infinity War’ earned $2.6m in its final weekend in the top 10, while limited-release documentary ‘Won’t You Be My Neighbour’ brought in $1.8m for 10th spot.

As worldwide audiences can’t seem to get enough of the ‘Jurassic’ franchise, where do you the current film ending up? Will it break into the top ten biggest of all time? Let us know your thoughts – we’re on Instagram and Twitter at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

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Weekend BO Predictions: On A Potentially Record-Breaking Weekend, Will ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ Open With A Roar?

Written by Dapo Olowu

It’s sequel season in the Box Office sphere, with ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ following in the footsteps of ‘Ocean’s 8’ and record-breaking ‘Incredibles 2’ in its attempt to top the charts this weekend, in a live-action record 4,475 cinemas. The follow-up to Colin Trevorrow’s 2015 continuation of the ‘Jurassic Park’ franchise (which surprisingly broke the then-opening weekend record with $208.8m) looks to follow in the footsteps of last week’s ‘Incredibles 2’ and provide mass appeal. The problem is, Pixar sequel completely smashed expectations and performed brilliantly across the four main audience quadrants, providing men, women, alongside over and under-25s alike worth quality viewing. This then led to an animated record-breaking $187.2m opening for the film, practically ensuring it’s future Box Office profits. ‘Jurassic World 2’, on the other hand, has a 53% rotten rating on the Tomatometer, and is the sequel not many Americans seemingly asked for, much like ‘Solo’ some weeks ago.

Fears of this being another ‘Solo’ are quite extreme however; ‘Jurassic World 2’ has already made $450m in International markets without the film even reaching U.S. cinemas, and crossed over the $100m mark in China in its first 3 days. It aims to see a drop akin to ‘The Last Jedi’, which fell 13% from ‘The Force Awakens’ for a $220m opening. The same for ‘Jurassic World 2’ would give it a massive $181.7m domestic start, but without such a dedicated fanbase as ‘Star Wars’, even the most optimistic of analysts would roll their eyes at such a prediction. Therefore, I’m looking at ‘Rogue One’, which dropped by 37% from ‘The Force Awakens’. A similar fall from ‘Jurassic World’ would leave its sequel opening to $131m, and taking into account ‘Incredibles 2’s performance, we’re thinking ‘Jurassic World 2’ will hit $125m in its first 3 days. Fun fact: this is to be only the second time ever that a $100m opener has immediately followed another $100m opener in the next week, after ‘Pirates of the Caribbean 3’ followed ‘Shrek 3’ in 2007.

Looking to take advantage of ‘Jurassic World’s disappointing opening is ‘Incredibles 2’, which aims to make history by being the first film to ever make $100m or more in the same weekend as another. No two films have ever simultaneously achieved the feat on the same weekend; the closest this ever came was in 2015, when in a curious case of reverse fortune, Disney favourite ‘Inside Out’ opened to $90.4m during ‘Jurassic World’s second weekend (where it itself grossed $106.6m). ‘Incredibles 2’ would have to drop by 45.3% to reach $100m, and that’s where we’re hoping it reaches.

Next, is ‘Ocean’s 8’, and this continues to emulate ‘Ghostbusters’ with around a $10m 3rd weekend. Comedy ‘Tag’ would love to mirror ‘Game Night’s second weekend performance with a 38.8% drop, but will probably perform closer to ‘Neighbors 2’ and fall somewhere in the 50% region. A gross of $7.5m will be enough for fourth place, ahead of ‘Solo’, who will finally pass the $200m domestic total this weekend, for a gross of $6m, in-line with the performance of ‘Days of Future Past’. Closely trailing is ‘Deadpool 2’ with $5.6m, now reaching $700m worldwide and $300m domestically.

A24 horror ‘Hereditary’ continues its impressive run, and looks to earn $4.3m in the U.S. this weekend, leaving the film just $19m away from being A24’s biggest domestic hit, and close to making $50m globally. ‘Infinity War’ should come 8th with a gross of $3.8m, and finally ‘Superfly’ and ‘Adrift’ round off the top ten with $3.2m and $1.1m each.

Will ‘Jurassic World 2’ and ‘Incredibles 2’ make Box Office history, or will the latter fall just short of the $100m target? Let us know your thoughts on Instagram and Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

 

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Weekend BO Report: ‘Incredibles 2’ Destroys Animated Opening Record On A Memorable Father’s Day For Disney

Written by Dapo Olowu

It’s Disney’s world, and we’re all just living in it. After securing the two biggest openings of the year so far in ‘Black Panther’ and ‘Infinity War’ (the latter being the biggest domestic and global opening of all time), the studio strengthened their position as a Box Office powerhouse by breaking its own animated opening record, with ‘Incredibles 2’ making $182.7m in the first 3 days of its release. The gross, almost $50m more than ‘Finding Dory’s $135.1m in 2016, eclipsed the entire 3-day opening of ‘The Incredibles’ in just 24 hours — including, in total, a record-breaking $18.5m from Thursday previews. The $53.1m brought in from overseas gives ‘Incredibles 2’ a worldwide opening of $233.8m; a blistering start for the sequel that cost a reported $200m to make.

Looking ahead, it’s hard to see this film not going after ‘Finding Dory’s final record of being the biggest animated film of all time in the States. The $486.3m grossed by the ‘Finding Nemo’ sequel would only require ‘Incredibles 2’ to have an opening week multiplier of 2.7x to better it, and when considering that no film with an A+ Cinemascore has ever had a multiplier under 3x, ‘Incredibles 2’ looks to become the first animated film to make $500m in the U.S.

In second place is ‘Ocean’s 8’, bringing in $19m for a $78.6m domestic total. Its 54% drop mirrors that of ‘Ghostbusters’ and franchise predecessor ‘Ocean’s Twelve’, increasing the likelihood that its final U.S. gross will land in the $120m+ region. It’s currently on $115.4m globally and will need to pull in another $70m or so if it wants to start raking in a profit. Next is new release, ‘Tag’, that matched our expectations by grossing $14.9m in its opening weekend. The R-rated comedy was a surprising hit with the ladies; with 51% of viewers being female, it will hope to use the even audience demographics to its advantage, and continue to attract a wider-than-expected audience in the upcoming weeks.

Star Wars origin story, ‘Solo’, held strong against ‘Incredibles 2’, bringing in a solid $10m and leaving the film just $6m away from the $200m domestic mark (and $9m away from $350m globally). ‘Deadpool 2’ is looking at doubling that worldwide figure, and is well on the way to doing so, after this weekend saw it earning $8.7m for 5th place. It’s just $5m away from the $300m domestic mark and $10m away from earning $700m worldwide. Those over at Fox will be hopeful it passes ‘Days of Future Past’s total of $747.9m to become the second biggest ‘X-Men’ film of all time.

New release ‘Superfly’ and A24 horror ‘Hereditary’ battled it out for 6th spot, with $6.9m each. The former grossed around $15k more, but with just $9m domestically so far, off a $16m budget, it’s nothing to write home about. ‘Hereditary’, on the other hand, has already out-grossed ‘Winchester’ in just its 2nd weekend to become the third biggest horror of the year, and is already the A24’s third biggest domestic hit ever after dropping by only 50% this weekend — making a $27m domestic total.

Infinity War’ sticks with the trend of continuously smaller weekend drops, and fell by only 25% from last weekend. Its $5.4m means it’s passed ‘Titanic’ to become the 4th biggest film in the U.S. of all time, with $664.3m. Although it’s likely to remain in 4th domestically, it aims to finish 3rd globally, as it’s just $50m away from passing ‘The Force Awakens’ $2.07bn worldwide total. Finally, ‘Adrift’ and ‘Book Club’ both lost over 1,000 cinemas each, and thus saw falls close to 60%, grossing $2.2m and $1.8m respectively. While it seems as if studio STX is cutting their losses with ‘Adrift’, as it struggles to even gross back its $35m budget, Paramount can rest easy knowing that it’s costs are repaid (and then some) with ‘Book Club’ closing in on a $70m worldwide gross.

Next weekend sees ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ enter American cinemas, and after already grossing close to $400m in International markets, how will ‘Incredibles 2’ and the rest cope? Let us know your thoughts on Twitter and Instagram – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

 

Rank Last Week Rank Film Total U.S. Gross Weekend Gross Weekend drop JUMPCUT’s prediction Difference Week number
1 Incredibles 2 $182.7m $182.7m $150m $32.7m 1
2 1 Ocean’s 8 $78.6m $19m -54.4% $20.8m $1.8m 2
3 Tag $14.9m $14.9m $15m $0.1m 1
4 2 Solo $193.8m $10m -36.5% $6.3m $3.7m 4
5 3 Deadpool 2 $294.6m $8.7m -38.6% $7.5m $1.2m 5
6 Superfly $9m $6.9m $4.5m $2.4m 1
7 4 Hereditary $27m $6.9m -49.5% $6.4m $0.5m 2
8 5 Avengers: Infinity War $664.3m $5.4m -24.8% $4m $1.4m 8
9 6 Adrift $26.9m $2.2m -58.3% $2.6m $0.2m 3
10 7 Book Club $62m $1.8m -57.4% $2.8m $1m 5

 

 

 

Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Incredibles 2’ Hints At A Record-Breaking Opening Worth the 14 Year Wait

Written by Dapo Olowu

What’s new?

It’s taken well over a decade for Brad Bird and Pixar to release a sequel to the 2004 sensation ‘The Incredibles’, and ‘Incredibles 2’ looks to blast the animated opening weekend record to shreds. The current record of $135.1m was set by ‘Finding Dory’ in 2016, another Disney sequel that built upon the anticipation following one of the most popular animated films of all time. The edge that ‘Incredibles 2’ has over ‘Finding Dory’, however, is that a) it’s following a film that had always hinted toward a sequel, and b) it’s a superhero film in an age where caped crusaders regularly top the Box Office charts. From this, we believe ‘Incredibles 2’ will make around $150m in its first 3 days.

Making a sequel 14 years later does pose problems; retirement caused Jonathan Banks to replace Bud Luckey as the voice of Rick Dicker, while young Dash’s voice artist, Spencer Fox, is now too old to play a child. The World Cup kicking off on the same weekend also brings strong competition for viewers. However, a 95% on Rotten Tomatoes (and the fact that the USA didn’t even qualify) hints that the only thing that’s truly changed from its predecessor, was dropping ‘The’ from the title.

In a potential triumph in counter-programming, star-studded comedy, ‘Tag’, opens in over 3,300 cinemas in the U.S. this weekend — and hopes to use the unique premise to its advantage. It stars (amongst many others) Jeremy Renner, Jon Hamm, Hannibal Burress, and Annabelle Wallis, and is a completely different type of offering to the family-friendly (and millennial darling) ‘Incredibles 2’. First time director Jeff Tomsic helms this $28m production, which aims to emulate ‘Central Intelligence’s opening (on the same weekend as record-breakingFinding Dory’) and make around $35m. No chance here though, as its R-rating puts it in the camp of this year’s ‘Game Night’, and a bunch of others in the mid-teens region. Therefore, an opening of around $15m is likely, and it’ll look to hone in on a male, over-25 audience in the coming weeks — one that won’t have too much competition until ‘Sicario 2’ at the end of June.

Finally, there’s action crime film ‘Superfly’, which actually opened on Wednesday to avoid a complete collapse against ‘Incredibles 2’. Unfortunately, the plan backfired as it only brought in around $1.2m from its opening day. The remake of the 1972 Blaxploitation film, ‘Super Fly’, stars Jason Mitchell, Rick Ross, and Michael K. Williams, and is produced by rapper, Future. What it will inevitably lack in Box Office numbers (not helped by a 53% on Rotten Tomatoes), it’ll at least make up for in catchy songs (the soundtrack features everybody from Future to Miguel), and a stylistic look, as Director X (known for many famous music videos) takes charge. We’re not expecting this to really take off, and will only see around $4.5m from Friday to Sunday.

What else is on?

Ocean’s 8’ looks to cement second place with around $20.8m, a 50% drop from last weekend. Its daily changes almost mirror that of ‘Ghostbusters’, which saw a 54% fall in its second weekend. Superhero flick, ‘Deadpool 2’ looks to close in on the $300m domestic mark and, although it won’t hit it this week, a $7.5m gross will aid its pursuit. ‘Incredibles 2’ won’t affect it too much, but it will see a massive impact on ‘Solo’, which could have a large chunk of its audience lost to the animated blockbuster. A gross around $6.3m is similar to what we believe ‘Hereditary’ will land in its second weekend, showing that audiences weren’t as put off as its Cinemascore suggests. Although horrors are quite a front-loaded genre, ‘Hereditary’ should take advantage of a summer that promises a leggy run.

Next is ‘Infinity War’, which recently became the first ever comic book movie to make $2bn worldwide. Its run in recent weekends has been particularly impressive and will continue in the face of superhero competition, with a $4m gross. Finally, we have ‘Book Club’ with an estimated $2.8m, and ‘Adrift’, which barely remains afloat on $2.6m.

Is ‘Incredibles 2going to break the animated opening record, or will it fall just short of ‘Finding Dory’? Let us know your thoughts on Twitter and Instagram – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

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