Weekend BO Results: ‘Infinity War’ Leads The Way In Poor Box Office Weekend For New Openers

Written by Dapo Olowu

In just 11 days, ‘Infinity War’ became the quickest film to ever reach $1bn worldwide, a number bolstered by a domestic total of $453.1m (already the 15th biggest of all time) and made all the more impressive by it not opening in China until this Friday. If it wasn’t clear before, Disney (and the MCU) is a Box Office powerhouse, so it’s no surprise that this ‘must-see’ blockbuster is looking to break every record in its path.

However, one record it has missed out on this weekend was the biggest second weekend of all time. ‘The Force Awakens’ still stands strong with $149.2m, but ‘Infinity War’ only brought in a total of $114.8m, easing into second spot in the rankings (ahead ofBlack Panther’). A drop of 55.5% not only fell right in line with our prediction, but also alongside other ‘third-in-trilogy’ MCU movies (‘Iron Man 3’ – 58.4%, ‘Captain America: Civil War’ – 59.5%, and ‘Thor: Ragnarok’ – 53.5%). It may be a little premature to estimate ‘Infinity War’s final domestic gross in just its sophomore weekend, but by looking at the aforementioned films’ domestic total/opening weekend multipliers, we’d get the following numbers:

  • If ‘Infinity War’ performed like ‘Iron Man 3’: Domestic Total of $605.6m (2.35x multiplier).
  • If ‘Infinity War’ performed like ‘Civil War’: Domestic Total of $587.6m (2.28x multiplier).
  • If ‘Infinity War’ performed like ‘Thor: Ragnarok’: Domestic Total of $662.3m (2.57x multiplier).

With ‘Infinity War’ looking to be the first summer film to ever hit $2bn, it’ll need to perform similarly to ‘Ragnarok’, or even better, and look to reach closer to the $700m figure like ‘Black Panther’. A big ask, even for a film like ‘Infinity War’, with competition such as ‘Deadpool 2’ and ‘Solo’ coming later this month.

Now, onto the other films this weekend — sailing steadily in second place was Eugenio Derbez’s ‘Overboard’, pulling in $14.7m. Another strong opening for Derbez and Pantelion Films who, after ‘Instructions Not Included’s $7.9m opening (from 350 cinemas), and ‘How To Be A Latin Lover’s $12.2m opening last year, are starting to master the art of getting the most of out of target audiences in under 2,000 cinemas. This must be a sigh of relief for Anna Faris, who would have to look all the way back to 2012 for the last time she had a non-animated opening this big (2012’s ‘The Dictator’ with $17.4m). ‘Overboard’ can also be proud of its relatively small $12m budget, which should hopefully ensure a bit of profit.

Next is ‘A Quiet Place’, which posted a remarkable drop of just 29.5% — the lowest in the top 10 this weekend. The post-‘Infinity War’ stabilisation of the Box Office meant that ‘A Quiet Place’ brought in $7.8m from Friday to Sunday, pushing its worldwide gross to $255.5m, just $300k over ‘Get Out’ and into the 11th spot in the all-time biggest horror movies list (just $1m under 2014’s ‘Annabelle’ for 10th). Similarly, ‘I Feel Pretty’ held steady by grossing $5.1m (a 38% drop) and will now be hoping to cross the $40m domestic mark during the week. What’s impressive here, is how well it held up against competition from ‘Overboard’, and even though its reviews are less than spectacular, the power of original content seems to be boosting its word-of-mouth reviews.

Another impressive performance this week came from The Rock’s ‘Rampage’, dropping just 36% to take 5th place. Although its chances of making $100m domestically are dead and buried, Warner Bros will be pleased that a $90m+ total is nearly guaranteed, and its $378.8m worldwide may at least help it break-even (although the $140m spent on printing & advertisements may come back to bite its tail).

New release, ‘Tully’, was one of the 2 new releases that failed to impress in the Box Office this weekend (‘Bad Samaritan’ didn’t even make the top 10). The $3.3m gross was a disappointment, regardless of the budget, and tore a hole in our $4.5m predictions last week. To put this into context, ‘Black Panther’ also grossed $3.3m, but in its 12th week of release. In fact, ‘Black Panther’ remaining in the top 10 of the Box Office for 12 consecutive weekends has only been bettered by a handful of films in the last decade: ‘La La Land’, ‘Zootopia’, ‘Frozen’, and ‘Avatar’.

Truth or Dare’ continued this weekend’s trend of lower-than-expected drops by posting a fall of only 42%, allowing it to creep ever-so-quietly towards the $40m mark where its expected to finish. ‘Super Troopers 2’ brought in $1.9m, with a per-cinema-average gross of just $884 — a sure indication that theatres will begin to remove the film from its screens ASAP. Finally, ‘Blockers’ edged out ‘Bad Samaritan’ for the 10th spot, earning $1.8m during the weekend.

So, where do you think ‘Infinity War’ will finish? Have you ever been impressed by a Box Office performance like ‘Black Panther’s before? Shocked that ‘I Feel Pretty’ is still in the top 5, after three weekends? Let us know your thoughts on Twitter – we’re at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

 

Rank Last Week Rank Film Weekend Gross Total U.S. Gross Weekend drop Jumpcut’s prediction Difference Week number
1 1 Avengers: Infinity War $114.8m $453.1m -55.5% $116m $1.2m 2
2 Overboard $14.7m $14.7m $14m $0.7m 1
3 2 A Quiet Place $160.1m $7.8m -29.5% $6.6m $1.2m 5
4 3 I Feel Pretty $5.1m $37.9m -38.2% $4.1m $1m 3
5 4 Rampage $4.6m $84.8m -35.6% $3.6m $1m 4
6 Tully $3.3m $3.3m $4.5m $1.2m 1
7 5 Black Panther $3.3m $693.2m -31.3% $3.3m $0m 12
8 7 Truth or Dare $1.9m $38.2m -42.2% $1.3m $0.6m 4
9 6 Super Troopers 2 $1.9m $25.5m -49.8% $1.3m $0.6m 3
10 8 Blockers $1.8m $56.2m -41.1% 5

 

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Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Infinity War’ Continues To Conquer While New Openers Battle For A Top 10 Finish

Written by Dapo Olowu

While ‘Infinity War’ gets ready to enjoy another weekend at the top of the table, three new openers (‘Overboard’, ‘Bad Samaritan’, and ‘Tully’) look to establish themselves in a Box Office weekend that’s as close as ever. The question is, what will drop out of the top ten?

So, what’s opening this weekend?

Firstly, we have ‘Overboard’ starring Anna Faris and Eugenio Derbez, in a gender-swapped remake of the 1987 cult-classic, which featured couple Kurt Russell and Goldie Hawn. What’s interesting here, is its similarities to 2017’s ‘How to Be a Latin Lover’: the producers, production company, lead actor, release date, genre, age-rating, and even the reviews are mirroring the comedy that opened to $12.2m last year. ‘Overboard’ is hoping to emulate Latin Lover’s success with the Hispanic community, and opening in 500 more cinemas could give it that needed boost in the Box Office totals. Diminishing returns from the extra seats may set in, but we predict a solid $14m start nonetheless.

Opening in around 1,350 cinemas is Charlize Theron’s ‘Tully’, a difficult one to predict, as we’d usually expect such a highly rated comedy-drama to have a limited (under 600 cinemas) release at first. From this, we’ve done a bit more maths than we’d have wanted and predicted an opening of around $4.5m, based mainly on the per-cinema averages of similar films, like 2017’s ‘Lady Bird’. Its 90% on Rotten Tomatoes, as well as director Jason Reitman’s previous successes (‘Juno’, ‘Up in the Air’), gives us reason to be optimistic — but this is a poor opening regardless.

Finally, ‘Bad Samaritan’ looks to be the lowest earner from the newbies this weekend, even though it’s the only new release entering at least 2,000 cinemas. ‘Bad Samaritan’ doesn’t even have the luxury of being potential counter-programming to ‘Infinity War’, as direct competitor ‘A Quiet Place’ continues to hold strong in week 5 of its release. We’re using last year’s ‘A Cure for Wellness’s $4.4m opening as a measure: both had middling reviews, both opened during a competitor’s 5th week (‘Split’ had been out for over a month by then), and both had no true star power in the lead roles. ‘Bad Samaritan’, however, also has the looming figure of ‘Infinity War’ clouding its horizon, so we estimate around a gross around $3m.

What else is on?

Infinity War’ will comfortably top the charts by a good $100m+ margin in its second weekend, but will fall short of ‘The Force Awakens’ record of $149.2m, with an estimated $116m (a 55% drop). This is not an issue, as ‘Infinity War’ aims to reach $1bn worldwide by Sunday (without China) and could be the quickest to do this (beating ‘The Force Awakens’ record of 12 days). Even if somehow it doesn’t manage this, it’ll always have the record of out-grossing the entirety of ‘Justice League’ in 3.5 days — a lovely plaque to have on the shelf.

Next, we have ‘A Quiet Place’, which has continued to perform strongly going into its 5th weekend of release. It’ll hope to reach the coveted quarter-of-a-billion dollars mark worldwide by the end of the weekend, with still enough gas in the tank to potentially land in the $270m region. Taking into account ‘Split’s 41% average weekend drop (in wide release) and ‘A Quiet Place’s 39.4% average so far, a 40% fall is a safe bet.

After the release of ‘Overboard’, it isn’t absurd to wonder if this would have a large effect on ‘I Feel Pretty’, which suffers from poorer reviews than the comedy starring Anna Faris. However, being available to watch in 1,500 more cinemas gives it a locational advantage, which should lead to just a 50% drop this week. A similar fall is in store for ‘Rampage’, which could bounce back from the major hit it took during ‘Infinity War’s opening last week.

Black Panther’s resurgence in the wake of ‘Infinity War’ means its sights are firmly on the $700m domestic goal, a feat only two films (‘The Force Awakens’, and ‘Avatar’) have ever achieved. A 30% drop is expected this week as normal service resumes, but I won’t be surprised if it ends in a much lower drop, with filmgoers continuing their MCU double-bills.

The horror ‘Truth or Dare’ has been consistent with its 58% weekend drops, so there’s little reason to deviate from the average here, and it should pull in around $1.3m going into its 4th weekend. Finally, ‘Super Troopers 2’ shouldn’t plunge to the 75%+ depths that it did last weekend, but it won’t be impressing anybody with a $1.3m haul to round off the top 10.

What do you think ‘Infinity War’ will make in its 2nd weekend? Will the new releases impress, or will the older films prevail? Let us know on Twitter – we’re @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week’s Rank Film US Gross so far Budget Jumpcut’s prediction Weekend drop Week no. BoxOfficeMojo’s prediction Deadline’s Prediction Variety’s Prediction
1 1 Avengers: Infinity War $322.8m $300m+ $116m -55% 2 $116m $100m-$125m $100m-$130m
2 Overboard $15m $14m 1 $15.2m ~$12.2m $10m-$12m
3 2 A Quiet Place $151.4m $17m $6.6m -40% 5 $6.8m
4 Tully $4.5m $4.1m $3m-$4m $4m
5 3 I Feel Pretty $32.1m $32m $4.1m -50% 3 $4.3m
6 4 Rampage $3.6m -52% 4 $4m
7 5 Black Panther $689.6m $200m $3.3m -30% 12 $3.3m
8 Bad Samaritan $3m $2m $2m
9 7 Truth or Dare $36.2m $3.5m $1.3m -59% 4
10 6 Super Troopers 2 $23.3m $13.5m* $1.3m -66% 3 $1.8m

*I wrongly suggested ‘Super Troopers 2’s budget to be $4.4m in previous posts. Oops.

Weekend BO Results: ‘Infinity War’ Conquers The Box Office As Opening Records Are Destroyed

Written by Dapo Olowu

Just weeks after ‘Black Panther’ broke domestic and worldwide Box Office records, ‘Avengers: Infinity War’ flexes its own financial muscles to absolutely annihilate the opening weekend record gross in the United States, and demolish any fears of a superhero fatigue.

A 3-day haul of $257.7m smashes ‘The Force Awakens’ record by $10m and has set the film up to be one of the biggest of all time. Not only has ‘Infinity War’ reclaimed the opening weekend record for the MCU (‘The Avengersheld it from 2012 to 2015 with $207.4m), but it also maintains Disney’s recent Box Office dominance; as 9 out of the 10 biggest domestic openings of all time are currently all Disney movies.

With a worldwide opening weekend of $640.5m, ‘Infinity War’ cruised to the title of biggest worldwide opening of all time, around $100m over the $541.9m ‘Fate of the Furious’ made last year. All this, mind you, without ‘Iinfinity War’ opening in China (the 2nd-biggest market in the world) and Russia. While ‘F8′ can still boast about having the biggest non-US opening ($443.2m vs. IW’s $382.8m), ‘Infinity War’ will now be looking at the bigger picture: hitting the billions.

As expected, ‘A Quiet Place’ came in at number 2 with a very respectable gross of $11m – a drop of just 47%, a fantastic number considering the circumstances. What this also means, is that this was the biggest difference ever between the top 2 films in the Box Office during one weekend, at $246.7m. As the records keep trickling in, ‘A Quiet Place’ will surely be pleased that it’s now bigger than horror-hit ‘Split’ in the U.S. ($148.5m vs. $138.3m), and is now just $30m away from ‘Get Out’s domestic (and $20m from its worldwide) gross.

Next on the list was Amy Schumer’s ‘I Feel Pretty’, and similarly to ‘A Quiet Place’, this suffered an impressive drop of under 50%, a welcome surprise for the comedy that’s now just $2m short of matching its budget in the Box Office. It should be looking to make another $15-20m before it’s run is done, a nice little return on a frankly bloated production cost.

The first major calamity at the hands of ‘Infinity War’ was of course ‘Rampage’, the action-adventure flick that not even Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson could save this weekend. A 64% drop was always coming, making hopes of a $100m domestic return a distant dream, as well as the potential for $400m worldwide to break-even. Regardless, having $335m in the bank is a testament to a) The Rock’s pulling power, and b) the public’s willingness to watch giant monkeys causing havoc in urban cities.

Now we come to ‘Black Panther’, which I (rightly) predicted would see a boost from IW, but also (wrongly) predicted would actually increase from last weekend’s gross. It brought in a mighty $4.7m (in its 11th weekend!), only dropping 4%, which is a fantastic achievement. Although, I can’t be sure if Disney did embrace the ‘Disney double’ and offered discounts, but I’m sure many cinema-goers took it upon themselves to watch T’Challa and the rest before seeing ‘Infinity War’. Now officially bigger than ‘The Last Jedi’, ‘Black Panther’ will surely aim to beat ‘Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt.2’ for no. 7 on the all-time charts.

Much like last week, ‘Super Troopers 2’ surprised us all, but this time with the biggest weekend drop of the top 10, falling 75% and posting just $3.7m. The front-loaded comedy dropped like a stone this week, a bigger fall than ‘Truth or Dare’, that stayed consistent during its 3rd weekend with another 58% drop. It looks like ‘Truth or Dare’ will make another $5m max to reach a $40m domestic total, a likely profit from just a $3.5m budget.

Blockers’ posted its biggest drop yet, with just under 57%, making $3m in a weekend that is proving fruitful for comedies. The less audience crossover the better, it seems, as ‘Ready Player One’ suffered a heavy 65% loss in gross compared to last weekend. With $130.8m from the U.S. and $545m worldwide, ‘Ready Player One’ will be jumping for joy at the fact it opened a full month before ‘Infinity War’, meaning it made its money (and then some) before any meaningful competition came into play. Finally, it was ‘Traffik’, not ‘Isle of Dogs’ that snatched 10th place with $1.6m (just $200k over 11th).

Next week we’re back at the races with 3 new wide releases: ‘Bad Samaritan’, ‘Overboard’, and ‘Tully’. Who’ll fall out of the top 10, who’ll remain, and how much will ‘Infinity War’ make in its 2nd weekend? Let us know your thoughts, we’re on Twitter at @JUMPCUT_ONLINE.

Rank Last Week Rank Film Weekend Gross Total U.S. Gross Weekend drop Jumpcut’s prediction Difference Week number
1 Avengers: Infinity War $257.7m $257.7m $240m $17.7m 1
2 1 A Quiet Place $11m $148.5m -47.4% $11.7m $0.7m 4
3 3 I Feel Pretty $8.2m $29.6m -49% $7.5m $0.7m 2
4 4 Rampage $7.2m $78m -64.1% $8.2m $1m 3
5 8 Black Panther $4.7m $688.4m -4% $5.6m $0.9m 11
6 4 Super Troopers 2 $3.7m $22.2m -75.4% $5.7m $2m 2
7 5 Truth or Dare $3.3m $35.4m -58.1% $3.2m $0.1m 3
8 7 Blockers $3m $53.2m -56.5% $3.4m $0.4m 4
9 6 Ready Player One $2.6m $130.8m -65.4% $3.2m $0.6m 5
10 9 Traffik $1.7m $6.8m -58% 2

Weekend BO Results: ‘Rampage’ Triumphs In A Tight Race For First Place

Written by Dapo Olowu

There’s something about a mid-April release that really proves Dwayne Johnson’s box office prowess. Exactly a year ago, he was leading the way with $98m, alongside Vin Diesel and others, in ‘Fate of the Furious’ –  a film which had the biggest worldwide opening weekend of all time with $541.9m. Two years before that, he was again topping the charts in the US with ‘Fast 7′. This year, it was a little more reserved, with ‘Rampage ‘ making (as predicted by yours truly) the solid start of $35.8m to claim top spot.

With an A- on Cinemascore, and an 81% audience score on Rotten Tomatoes (although 50% by critics), Warner Bros will be confident in the positive word-of-mouth surrounding the film in upcoming weeks; it’ll need this if it wants to remain in cinemas, and possibly reach the $100m domestic mark. It’s very optimistic, especially as ‘Infinity War’ opens in a week, but a 2.78x domestic total/opening weekend multiple isn’t impossible – just look at another of The Rock’s flicks, ‘San Andreas’.

Coming in at a close second was ‘A Quiet Place’. Its $33m gross (don’t forget, in its second weekend) was just a shade below the opening of another much-heralded horror from last year, ‘Get Out’ ($33.4m). With $100m now in the bank from the US, and $151.7m worldwide, ‘A Quiet Place’ is looking to become a hugely profitable film after just 2 weeks of release, especially with the budget only being between $17m-$21m (depending on where you look). The real question, then, is how much can ‘A Quiet Place’ make? My unofficial prediction, based on how similar it’s performing to 2017’s ‘Split’, is around $170m. Nothing quiet (heh) about that.

Another horror is next, and it’s ‘Truth or Dare’, raking in an impressive $18.7m. The moral of the story here is pretty obvious: never write-off Blumhouse. The 15% on Rotten Tomatoes had us fooled into thinking an opening of around $12m was in play, but the under-25 target audience really ate this up. A different type of horror to ‘A Quiet Place’, this is a good example of 2 same-genre films not necessarily cannibalising each other. But, its B- on Cinemascore may indicate that it won’t stick around to cannibalise anything else either.

‘Ready Player One’ saw a 53.2% drop from last weekend (for an $11.5m weekend), much more substantial than the 41% drop in its first weekend. Although, we can attribute this to ‘Rampage’s opening, as well as Spielberg’s fantasy movie losing nearly 600 cinemas this weekend, so, this isn’t the big news. What’s really interesting here, is how ‘Ready Player One’ has nearly hit $500m worldwide, a massive figure, bolstered by its incredible popularity in China; according to Deadline, it’s now just shy of $200m over there. Wow.

Rounding off the top 5 is ‘Blockers‘, the comedy that’s starting to get a bit crowded amongst the general blockbuster noise. Its $10.8m this weekend isn’t at all bad, but you just get the feeling that more could’ve been made if Universal didn’t release ‘Truth or Dare’, a film targeted at the same young, female audience, only a week after. To make matters worse, Amy Schumer’s comedy ‘I Feel Pretty’ opens next weekend – so, let’s just hope its PG-13 rating means less of an audience overlap, for ‘Blockers’ sake.

‘Black Panther’ drops out of the top 5 for the first time since it came onto our screens 9 weeks ago. It only fell by 33.9%, giving it a current domestic total of $674.2m and a worldwide cume of $1.309bn. We’re hoping that ‘Infinity War’ may give the film the boost it needs, to not only creep past $700m in the US but also past ‘The Last Jedi’s $1.33bn worldwide number, to become the 9th biggest film of all time.

‘Isle of Dogs’ grossed a very disappointing $5.5m this weekend, just a 20% increase from last weekend even though it opened in 1,400 more cinemas. The Christian drama ‘I Can Only Imagine’ finally saw a major drop of near 50% after losing over 300 cinemas, but with $75m in the bank, it’s been a more than satisfying run. Tyler Perry’s ‘Acrimony’s $3.7m weekend gives it a total of $37.8m, and will probably end up just short of his 2017 effort, ‘Boo 2! A Madea Halloween’, which raked in a $47.3m domestic total. Finally, period-drama ‘Chappaquidick’, originally meant for a late 2017 ‘for the awards’ release, came in at number 10, with $3.1m in its second weekend.

The top 10 box office report for the weekend is below. Next weekend sees ‘I Feel Pretty’ starring Amy Schumer, ‘Super Troopers 2′ (the sequel to the 2001 cult classic), and ‘Traffik’ starring Paula Patton and Omar Epps, all opening in the US. What do you think will challenge ‘Rampage‘ for the top spot?

Rank Last Week Rank Film Weekend Gross Total Gross Weekend drop Jumpcut’s prediction Difference Week number
1 Rampage $35.8m $35.8m $36m $0.2m 1
2 1 A Quiet Place $33.0m $100m -34.3% $32.2m $0.8m 2
3 Truth or Dare $18.7m $18.7m $12.5m $6.2m 1
4 2 Ready Player One $11.5m $114.9m -53.2% $13.5m $2m 3
5 3 Blockers $10.8m $37.4m -47.6% $10.8m $0 2
6 4 Black Panther $5.8m $674.2m -33.6% $6.1m $0.3m 9
7 10 Isle of Dogs $5.5m $18.9m +20% $10m $4.5m 4
8 6 I Can Only Imagine $4.1m $75.3m -46.9% $5.7m $1.6m 5
9 5 Tyler Perry’s Acrimony $3.7m $37.8m -56.4% $3.8m $0.1m 3
10 7 Chappaquiddick $3.1m $11m -46.9% 2

Weekend BO Predictions: ‘Rampage’ Aims For The Numer One Spot

Written by Dapo Olowu

The top ten films in the US box office will have four new wide releases to contend with this weekend, including The Rock’s new action movie ‘Rampage’. After ‘A Quiet Place’s ‘ huge $50m opening last week, will it manage to keep the top spot for a second weekend in a row, or will Dwayne Johnson’s monkey madness run riot?

So, what’s opening this weekend?

After ‘Jumanji’ was officially confirmed as Sony’s biggest ever domestic hit (beating Raimi’s Spider-Man’s total of $403.71m with $403.74m and counting), Dwayne Johnson: the man, the legend, The Rock crashes into 4,000 cinemas with the $120m, ‘Rampage’. The loose adaptation of the video game of the same name also stars Jeffrey Dean Morgan and Jake Lacy, as well as Oscar-nominee, Naomie Harris.

When it comes to giant monkeys, ‘Kong: Skull Island’ immediately springs to mind as the type of movie to base ‘Rampage’ predictions around. Kong’s $61m opening, however, is way beyond what The Rock’s newest film is looking to make – so, we’re predicting a much meeker Friday-to-Sunday start for the Gorilla-flick with around $36m, similar to 2016’s ‘Tarzan’. This should be enough for number one though, unless ‘A Quiet Place’ springs in with a loud (heh) surprise. Star power is the name of the game here, so with DJ arguably being the most bankable actor in the world at the moment, we expect to see much bigger numbers overseas.

Next on the list of newbies is Blumhouse’s (‘Get Out’, ‘Insidious, Split’) horror film, ‘Truth or Dare’. With 18% on Rotten Tomatoes, ‘Truth or Dare’ comes out just a week after ‘A Quiet Place’, which’ll most probably hurt the former over the latter. Though, a nice little selling point for them is the cast; with young talent like ‘Pretty Little Liars’ Lucy Hale, and ‘Teen Wolf’s’ Tyler Posey, Truth or Dare will look to draw in the under-25 crowd this weekend and, honestly, we reckon it’ll play similar to 2017’s ‘The Bye Bye Man’ with around $12.5m. It was only made for $3.5M anyway, so with its cliff-side drop-off next week, it’ll at least break-even.

Although not technically a new release, ‘Isle of Dogs’ opens wide (anything over 600 cinemas) at 1,939 movie theatres, and looks to cement a place in the top 5. Will it? Not too sure, it’s a difficult one to predict. This’ll probably make around $10m this weekend but, it could go in any direction, so don’t quote us on that.

‘Sgt. Stubby: An American Hero’, the animated adventure film based on the WW1 hero-dog (nope, never heard of him either) rounds up this weekend’s new releases. Fun fact: this is the first time we’ve had 2 wide-release dog-centric movies in 12 years, since ‘Doogal’ opened a week after ‘Eight Below’ in February 2006. But, since it’s only opening in around 1,700 cinemas, we’re looking at 2016’s ‘Ratchet & Clank’ and 2017’s ‘Rock Dog’ for guidance, so, an opening of around $4m is likely.

What else is on?

‘A Quiet Place’ looks to dampen ‘Rampage’s’ #1 ambitions in its second week of showings. John Krasinski’s lauded horror should be immune to ‘Truth or Dare’ this weekend, so don’t be surprised if this continues to mirror the run of 2017’s ‘Split’ – whose 35.9% second-weekend drop would give ‘A Quiet Place’ a second-weekend total of $32.2m, more than enough for a number 2 spot.

‘Ready Player One’s biggest competition is ‘Rampage’, with both films combining sci-fi & adventure genres unlike typical horror, ‘Truth or Dare’. From this, we’re looking at a third weekend drop a little higher than last week’s 41%, for a total of $13.5m, just beating ‘Truth or Dare’ for third.

R-rated comedy, ‘Blockers’, is much safer in this aspect, so I’m looking at a second weekend total of $10.8m (a 48% drop). Our full predictions for the top ten films in the Box Office this weekend is below – we don’t check the estimates of experts before we do ours, so let’s hope it’s us that wins this round.

Rank Last Week Rank Film Budget Jumpcut prediction Weekend drop Week no. Deadline prediction BoxOfficeMojo prediction Variety prediction
1 Rampage $120m $36m 1 $35m-$40m $34m $37m-$40m
2 1 A Quiet Place $17m $32.2m -35.9% 2 $32.5m-$35m $30m-$32.5m $28m-$30m
3 2 Ready Player One $175m $13.5m -45% 3 $14m $12m-$15m
4 Truth or Dare $3.5m $12.5m 1 $14m-$16m $15m-$17m $16m
5 3 Blockers $21m $10.8m -47.6% 2 $12m-$14m $12m $12m-$15m
6 10 Isle of Dogs $10m +119.2% 4 $5m
7 4 Black Panther $200m $6.1m -30% 9 $6m
8 6 I Can Only Imagine $7m $5.7m -27% 5 $5.1m
9 Sgt. Stubby $25m $4.2m 1 $2m $1m-$3m <$5m
10 5 Tyler Perry’s Acrimony $20m $3.8m -55% 3 $3.6m